Accurate Module Performance Predictions Using New IEC-61853 Model
Comprehensive details about a new model for accurate module performance predictions based on IEC-61853 data presented by Janine Freeman at the 7th PV Performance Modeling Workshop. The System Advisor Model (SAM) software enables detailed performance and economic analysis for renewable energy systems, including photovoltaics, battery storage, concentrating solar power, wind, geothermal, and more. Learn about the detailed photovoltaic model in SAM, covering aspects like irradiance transposition, shading, module efficiency models, inverter models, system sizing, battery storage, degradation, and simulation. Get insights into the upcoming stochastic model for PV system reliability and performance, as well as the IEC-61853 module model. Dive deep into understanding the system advisor model's single diode model and its applicability across various conditions.
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Presentation Transcript
More Accurate Module Performance Predictions Using A New Model Based on IEC-61853 Data Janine Freeman 7thPV Performance Modeling Workshop Canobbio, Switzerland March 30, 2017
System Advisor Model (SAM) System Advisor Model Free software that enables detailed performance and economic analysis for renewable energy systems Technologies Technologies Photovoltaics, Detailed & PVWatts Battery Storage Concentrating solar power Wind Geothermal Biomass Solar water heating Financials Financials Behind-the-meter residential commercial Power purchase agreements single owner equity flips sale-leaseback Simple LCOE calculator http://sam.nrel.gov/download 2
Detailed photovoltaic model System Advisor Model Irradiance Irradiance Transposition using Isotropic, HDKR, or Perez Measured plane of array (POA) input Shading Shading Irregular obstruction shading from 3D scene Self-shading for regularly spaced rows External input from SunEye, Solar Pathfinder Snow cover loss model Module Module Simple efficiency model Single diode model (CEC database or datasheet) Extended single diode model (for IEC-61853 tests) Sandia PV Array Performance Model Inverter Inverter Sandia/CEC grid-tied inverter model Datasheet part-load efficiency curve System System Sizing wizard or electrical layout Multiple subarrays Fixed, 1 axis, backtracking, azimuth axis, 2 axis Battery storage Degradation Degradation Extrapolated single year Lifetime simulation of all years Simulation Simulation 1 minute to 1 hour time steps 3
Stochastic Model for PV System Reliability & Performance System Advisor Model Coming soon: a newly developed Beta version of the Photovoltaic Reliability Performance Model (PVRPM) that has been implemented in SAM. This model samples failure distributions for components in a PV system and predicts failure times, replacement costs, and performance/cost impacts for a more realistic representation of LCOE of PV systems. 4
Background System Advisor Model Single diode model Great at STC, but what about all these conditions? 6
Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model 7
Estimating Parameters at Any Condition System Advisor Model 8
Map Boundaries System Advisor Model If desired operating condition is sufficiently near edge of convex hull defined by test points, nearest known point used Too far away, model reverts to standard single diode model equations 9
Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model 10
Comparison with 6 Parameter Model System Advisor Model 88% reduction in error on average across 20 modules 11
How can you access SAM models? System Advisor Model Desktop Application Advanced Analysis Features Parametric Stochastic P50/P90 Built-in Scripting Language Macros Software Development Kit (SDK) C/C++ Matlab Python C# Java Web Services API (PVWatts Only) o o o o o o o o Dobos, A.; Freeman, J.: Significant Improvement in PV Module Performance Prediction Accuracy Using a New Model Based on IEC-61853 Data, forthcoming 13
Open-Sourcing SAM System Advisor Model This summer, we will be open-sourcing the SAM project under a permissive license. Ultimate code transparency Ability for users to modify/add capabilities to better suit their particular modeling needs Greater collaboration with industry through user contributions 14
Our team Janine Freeman Nick DiOrio Steve Janzou Paul Gilman Ty Neises Mike Wagner Nate Blair Project lead, PV and wind models Software architecture, Battery storage models Programming, financial structures User support and documentation Concentrating solar power models Concentrating solar power models Emeritus lead, financials, costs, systems (subcontractor) (subcontractor) http://sam.nrel.gov System Advisor Model