Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment in Connecticut
Conducting a comprehensive study to assess energy efficiency opportunities in Connecticut's agricultural sector, focusing on economic growth, energy requirements, participation analysis, and future potential. The study aims to provide baseline and forecast economic size, energy use estimates, equipment characteristics, technical requirements, recommended efficiency measures, and program strategies for specific markets. Various activities include segmentation, data collection, surveys, site visits, market actor interviews, analysis, reporting, economic forecasts, and efficiency measures development. Anticipated segments include indoor and outdoor agriculture categories, with a memo deliverable to enhance utility filings by providing accurate agriculture segment details.
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Presentation Transcript
Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment Kickoff Meeting December 13, 2022
Agenda 1. Study Objectives and Background 2. Overview of Study Activities 3. Timeline & Budget Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment 2
Study Objectives Provide a market assessment of energy efficiency opportunities within the whole CT agricultural sector Forecast economic growth and energy requirements by market type and indoor/outdoor class. Assess current EE participation and future potential Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment 3
Study Outcomes Estimates of baseline and forecast economic size and energy use for the major agriculture markets in Connecticut Characteristics of energy-using equipment and technical requirements for agricultural production Recommended EE and DR measures and associated savings estimates Recommended program delivery strategies focusing on specific markets or equipment Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment 4
Overview of Study Activities Segmentation and Sample Development Data Collection Surveys Site Visits Market Actor Interviews Analysis and Reporting Market Characterization Economic and Energy Forecasts Development Efficiency Measures and Program Strategies Development Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
Segmentation Merged master data set for segmentation and sampling Tax records includes segment, building SF, and acreage CT Open Data portal includes farm category, contact information Utility data includes segment, contact information, rate class, and historic consumption Anticipated Segments Indoor agriculture o Commercial plants / nursery o Fruit & vegetable production o Fruit & vegetable storage o Cannabis Poultry and egg production Dairy cattle and milk production Outdoor agriculture o Fruit, vegetable, sod, tobacco, nurseries, ornamentals, crops Outdoor animal farming o Beef cattle, sheep, goats Others, e.g., aquaculture Memo deliverable Provides utilities with more accurate picture of agriculture segment Facility counts and usage by subsegment Will be delivered before May 2023 deadline Can be used in utility filings 6 Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
Data Collection Surveys Interest for site visit Verify segment Basic site information Type of products Production levels Respondent role in operation Efficient equipment adoption questions Basic equipment information Leads for market actor interviews Site Visits Detailed information on: Equipment Systems Operations Production Market Actor Interviews Industry standard practices for new equipment, systems, and facilities Expected trends 7 Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
Data Collection, Contd Stratified random sample, stratified by segment and size Also set soft quotas geographic or subtypes where needed Target Number of Market Actor Interviews 10 Estimated Farm Population Target Number of Surveys Target Number of Site Visits Segment 850 70 15 Indoor Agriculture 220 30 8 6 Poultry & Egg Production 130 20 7 6 Dairy Cattle & Milk Production 2,200 70 15 6 Outdoor Agriculture 1,070 70 15 6 Outdoor Animal Farming 1,130 70 15 6 Other 5,600 330 75 40 Total 8 Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
Analysis and Reporting Data Cleaning and Weighting Market Characterization Facility characteristics Penetration, saturation, and characteristics of key energy- using equipment Market drivers and barriers Economic and Energy Forecast Total loads and market size by segment Market trends with time Efficiency Measures and Program Strategy Recommendations Leverage algorithms from other TRMs Develop program concepts based on collected data and challenges not met by current go-to-market strategy User-friendly Database Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment 9
Timeline and Budget Task Budget Timeline Segmentation and Sample Design Data Collection $50,000 Jan-Mar 2023 $233,000 Mar-Aug 2023 Analysis and Reporting Total $117,000 Sep-Dec 2023 $400,000 10 Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
Questions? Jake Millette jbmillette@michaelsenergy.com Jeff Pritchard japritchard@michaelsenergy.com 11 Connecticut C2203: Agricultural Market and Baseline Assessment
