Analyzing Fall 2015 Capacity Data and Enrollment Trends at Northern Michigan University

EPC Data Oct 26, 2015 GEORGE R. WILSON NORTHERN MICHIGAN UNIVERSITY

Presentation Outline Presentation Outline Fall 2015 Capacity Data and Low Enrollment Duplications Winter 2015 Preliminary Low Enrollment Duplications Winter 2015 to Winter 2016 Preliminary Course Losses Student/Faculty/Administrative Trends 2006 to Present Financial Notes

Fall 2015 Capacity Data Fall 2015 Capacity Data Excludes labs, directed studies, practicums, studios, internships, and zero enrollment courses Only a single semester at this point (some preliminary Winter 2015/2016 data available) Prepared by 1-2 people outside of teaching, research, and other service obligations Data is not uniform and capacities may not be accurately set

At or above 100% capacity At or above 100% capacity 15 disciplines Avg. Capacity 28.52 Avg. Enrollment 30.76

90% to 99.99% Capacity 90% to 99.99% Capacity 16 disciplines Avg. Capacity 32.20 Avg. Enrollment 30.34

80% to 89.99% Capacity 80% to 89.99% Capacity 18 disciplines Avg. Capacity 32.83 Avg. Enrollment 28.12

70% to 79.99% Capacity 70% to 79.99% Capacity 13 disciplines Avg. Capacity 32.52 Avg. Enrollment 24.79

50% to 69.99% Capacity 50% to 69.99% Capacity 10 disciplines Avg. Capacity 28.46 Avg. Enrollment 17.25

Below 50% Capacity Below 50% Capacity 5 disciplines Avg. Capacity 27.67 Avg. Enrollment 10.64

Fall 2015 Low Enrollment Multi-Sections 48 potential low enrollment, multi-section courses 13 UN100 sections 2 SW sections 1 seminar, 1 field placement 2 PN sections both clinical labs 2 PA sections unclear if this was one section listed twice or two sections 9 NU sections all labs and practicums 5 MU sections all labs 1 MGT section evening section 2 MA sections teacher education courses set with low caps 5 EN sections 1 off campus, 2 senior seminars, 2 portfolio projects 5 ED sections all sections with low capacities 2 CLS sections both are labs, unclear if multi-listed

Winter 2015 (Undergraduate Only) Winter 2015 (Undergraduate Only) 119 Multi-section courses 38 have 100% or greater enrollments 9 could drop a section without producing overload 7 could drop a sections without producing a significant overload

Winter 2016 (Undergraduate Only) Winter 2016 (Undergraduate Only) Very Preliminary Does not include graduate courses or courses below 100 level Current results show 485.5 CrHrs added and 1738.5 CrHrs lost (net loss of 1253 CrHrs)

Trend Data Trend Data 2006 2015 FTE Students down 12.68% 2006 2015 Total SCH down 12.88% 2006 2015 Total FT faculty down .64% (using publicly reported number for F15) 2006 2014 Exec/Senior Administration up 15.45% (F15 data not yet available)

Pension Refund Pension Expense in last reported year was $230,000 $3.38 MM @ 3.5% covers $230,000 in pension expense for 21 years Avg. Change in pension expense since 2006 is approximately $200,000 with variability $6.8 MM @ 3.5% covers $447,004 for 21 years $9.4 MM @ 3.5% covers $617,917 for 21 years

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