Approval Trends Among Tennessee Voters - Vanderbilt University Polls

Spring 2017 - Vanderbilt University Poll May 4-15 John G. Geer & Joshua D. Clinton, Co-Directors May 30, 2017 1,004 registered voters in Tennessee MoE: +/- 3.3 percentage points

Approval of Haslam & State Legislature Over Time Among TN Registered Voters 80% 70% 67% 68% 68% 64% 65% 63% 61% 61% 61% 58% 63% 60% 55% 55% 53% 51% 51% 60% 53% 49% 52% 54% 53% % APPROVE 49% 40% 20% 0% Feb. 2012 May 2012 Dec. 2012 May 2013 Dec. 2013 May 2014 Nov. 2014 May 2015 Nov. 2015 May 2016 Nov. 2016 May 2017 Governor Bill Haslam Tennessee State Legislature Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Approval of Tennessee Senators Over Time Among TN Registered Voters 80% 60% 59% 60% 56% 55% 52% 53% 52% 52% 49% 52% 55% 60% 48% 51% 52% 53% % APPROVE 50% 51% 49% 49% 49% 48% 40% 20% 0% May 2012 Dec. 2012 May 2013 Dec. 2013 May 2014 Nov. 2014 May 2015 Nov. 2015 May 2016 Nov. 2016 May 2017 Lamar Alexander Bob Corker Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Approval of State Leaders by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters 100% 80% 75% 74% 69% 68% 68% 66% 63% 61% 60% 56% 50% 49% 47% 46% 40% 36% 35% 34% 20% 0% Haslam Alexander Corker State Legislature Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Trump Favorability/Approval November 2016-May 2017 Among TN Registered Voters 100% 80% 60% 60% 52% 42% 37% 40% 20% 0% Nov-16 May-17 Favorable/Approve Unfavorable/Disapprove Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005 &1,004

Approval of President Trump by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters 100% 90% 86% 86% 80% 60% 49% 42% 40% 20% 10% 9% 5% 5% 3% 1% 1% 0% Approve Disapprove Wait & See Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Re-Assessment of How President-elect/President Trump Will Change Washington Among TN Registered Voters Do you think that President-elect/President Donald Trump will/is changing the way things are done in Washington for the better, for the worse, or do you think the way things are done in Washington will pretty much stay the same? 60% 54% 41% 40% 31% 23% 23% 20% 20% 0% For the better For the worse Stay the same Nov-16 May-17 Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005; N=1,004

Increase in President Trump is Changing Washington for the worse by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters 100% % responding changing for the worse 80% 73% 58% 60% 40% 30% 20% 14% 7% 5% 4% 2% 0% Nov-16 May-17 Democrats Republicans Independents Tea party Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,005 &1,004

Views on Whether President Trump Cares About What People Like Me Think By Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Please tell me if you think this phrase describes President Trump or not: cares about what people like me think. 100% 80% 78% 80% 74% 69% 60% 55% 53% 45% 43% 40% 28% 25% 18% 17% 20% 0% Yes, describes Trump No, doesn't describe Trump Total Democrats Republicans Independents Tea party Approve Trump Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE +/- 3.3%

Name Recognition of Potential Gubernatorial Candidates Among TN Registered Voters 100% 80% % responding yes, have heard of 60% 49% 38% 40% 34% 28% 26% 21% 20% 14% 14% 8% 0% Karl Dean Randy Boyd Mae Beavers Beth Harwell Bill Lee Craig Fitzhugh Mark Norris Diane Black Mark Green Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004 & 846 (Green)

Name Recognition of Potential Republican Gubernatorial Candidates By Republicans Among TN Registered Voters 100% 80% % responding yes, have heard of 60% 48% 40% 30% 30% 24% 21% 20% 14% 13% 0% Randy Boyd Mae Beavers Beth Harwell Bill Lee Mark Norris Diane Black Mark Green Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=1,004 & 846 (Green)

Name Recognition of Potential Democratic Gubernatorial Candidates By Democrats Among TN Registered Voters 100% % responding yes, have heard of 80% 60% 45% 40% 20% 10% 0% Karl Dean Craig Fitzhugh Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004

Top 3 Priorities of TN State Government Over Time Among TN Registered Voters Which of the following do you think should be the top priority of the Tennessee state government? 80% 60% 60% 60% 50% 48% 48% 44% 40% 36% 40% 31% 31% 28% 27% 30% 30% 27% 29% 24% 24% 21% 18% 24% 18% 21% 20% 21% 18% 12% 20% 19% 17% 17% 18% 10% 15% 0% May 2012Dec. 2012May 2013Dec. 2013May 2014Nov. 2014May 2015Nov. 2015May 2016Nov. 2016May 2017 Economy Health Care Education Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Perceptions of the Economy Among TN Registered Voters 80% 73% 69% 66% 67% 67% 66% % VERYGOOD OR FAIRLYGOOD 60% 64% 53% 61% 60% 52% 50% 49% 44% 44% 40% 48% 39% 32% 33% 24% 31% 32% 23% 20% 0% Feb. 2012 May 2012 Dec. 2012 May 2013 Dec. 2013 May 2014 Nov. 2014 May 2015 Nov. 2015 May 2016 Nov. 2016 May 2017 TN economy U.S. economy Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Attitudes Towards Scientific and Medical Research Among TN Registered Voters People have frequently noted that scientific research/medical research have produced benefits and harmful results. Would you say that on balance, the benefits of scientific research/ medical research have outweighed the harmful results, or have the harmful results been greater than the benefits? 100% 80% 72% 66% 60% 40% 20% 18% 20% 12% 9% 2% 1% 0% Scientific Research Medical Research Benefits have outweighed the harmful results Harmful results have been greater than the benefits About equal Don't know Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=469 & 535

Future of the Health Care System Over Time Among TN Registered Voters Which of the following comes closest to your view of the future of the U.S. health care system? 40% 35% 33% 29% 28% 24% 22% 21% 21% 20% 18% 17% 16% 14% 0% Affordable Care Act should be repealed and NOT replaced Affordable Care Act should be repealed and replaced with a Republican- sponsored alternative Lawmakers should build on existing health care law to improve affordability and access to care U.S. should establish guaranteed universal health coverage through a single government plan May-2016 November -2016 May-17 Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=485, 493 & 512

Views on Allowing Health Insurance Companies To Deny Coverage Due to Medical History Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing health insurance companies to decide whether or not to provide coverage based on a person s medical history? 100% 87% 83% 79% 80% 72% 71% 61% 60% % Oppose 40% 20% 0% Total Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Trump Approval Source: Vanderbilt University Poll May 2017 Poll N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

Views on Allowing Health Insurance Companies To Charge Different Rates Due to Medical History Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing health insurance companies to charge different rates for the same benefits based on a person s medical history? 100% 88% 78% 76% 80% 75% 72% 65% 60% % Oppose 40% 20% 0% Total Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Trump Approval Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

Views on Allowing Young Adults To Stay on Their Parents Health Insurance Plan Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose allowing young adults to stay on their parents health insurance plans until age 26? 100% 92% 79% 79% 80% 74% 71% 67% % Support 60% 40% 20% 0% Total Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Trump Approval Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

Views on Providing Coverage For Alcohol/Drug Addiction Treatment Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about the future of the U.S. health care system do you support or oppose health insurance companies providing coverage for treatment services for alcohol or drug addiction? 100% 86% 78% 77% 80% 74% 72% 72% 60% % Support 40% 20% 0% Total Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Trump Approval Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll N=1,oo4; MoE : +/-3.3%

Views on Illegal/Undocumented Immigrants Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closest to your view about illegal/ undocumented immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.? (a) They should be allowed to stay in the country and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship, (b) they should be allowed to stay in the country only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S. citizenship, or (c) They should be required to leave the country * 60% 51% 56% 47% 44% 48% 40% 32% 28% 28% 31% 23% 20% 20% 21% 15% 20% 18% 0% December 2012 May 2013 May 2014 November 2016 May 2017 Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave the U.S. Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=550 * Beginning in May 2017, wording was changed from illegal to undocumented immigrants.

Views on Undocumented Immigrants by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closest to your view about undocumented immigrants who are currently working in the U.S. (a) They should be allowed to stay in the country and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship, (b) they should be allowed to stay in the country only as temporary guest workers, but not to apply for U.S citizenship, or (c) they should be required to leave the country 80% 73% 57% 60% 40% 40% 39% 38% 40% 22% 21% 21% 20% 17% 20% 8% 0% Stay and apply for citizenship Stay as temporary guest workers Required to leave the U.S. Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=550

Views on Children of Undocumented Immigrants and In-State tuition Among TN Registered Voters Now thinking about children of undocumented immigrants who are brought to this country when they are young If these children attend Tennessee public schools, graduate from a Tennessee high school and are accepted at one of Tennessee s public colleges and universities, do you think they should be eligible for the in-state tuition rate, or shouldn t they? 80% 66% 60% 40% 30% 20% 3% 0% Yes, they should be eligible No, they should not be eligible Don't know Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/-3.3%

Views on Children of Undocumented Immigrants and In-State tuition eligibility by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Now thinking about children of undocumented immigrants who are brought to this country when they are young If these children attend Tennessee public schools, graduate from a Tennessee high school and are accepted at one of Tennessee s public colleges and universities, do you think they should be eligible for the in-state tuition rate, or shouldn t they? 100% 87% 80% 66% 55% 60% 49% 48% 43% 40% 29% 20% 10% 0% Yes, they should be eligible No, they should NOT be eligible Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/-3.3%

Support For State-funded Scholarship Program for Higher Education In Tennessee Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about higher education in Tennessee, do you support or oppose a state-funded scholarship program that would allow all Tennessee adults to attend a community college tuition-free? 80% 60% 56% 40% 27% 20% 8% 8% 0% Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=499

Support For State-funded Scholarship Program for Higher Education In Tennessee by Party ID Among TN Registered Voters Thinking about higher education in Tennessee, do you support or oppose a state-funded scholarship program that would allow all Tennessee adults to attend a community college tuition-free? 80% 73% 60% 54% 48% 45% 40% 34% 29% 28% 24% 20% 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 2% 1% 0% Strongly support Somewhat support Republicans Somewhat oppose Independents Strongly oppose Democrats Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=499

Opinions on Abortion Among TN Registered Voters As you may know, the state legislature has discussed bills that would further regulate abortion within the state. As I read the list, please tell me whether you would favor, neither favor nor oppose or oppose each of the following in Tennessee. 60% 57% 41% 41% 40% 38% 40% 29% 17% 20% 15% 12% 3% 3% 2% 0% Prohibit abortions for women who are 20 weeks pregnant or more, except in cases of medical emergency Charge physicians with a felony if they perform abortions on women who are 20 weeks pregnant or more Prohibit abortions once a fetal heartbeat is detected by a doctor or other medical professional Favor Neither favor or oppose Oppose Don't know Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Views on Believability of the News Media Among TN Registered Voters In general, how much of what you see, hear, or read in the news media these days do you think you can believe? 60% 43% 40% 32% 20% 17% 5% 2% 0% All or most of it Most of it Only some of it Very little of it None of it Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=504

Views on Believability of the News Media By Party ID Among TN Registered Voters In general, how much of what you see, hear, or read in the news media these days do you think you can believe? 60% 51% 44% 42% 42% 41% 39% 40% 32% 25% 20% 17% 16% 13% 13% 8% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% All or most of it Most of it Only some of it Very little of it None of it Democrats Republicans Independents Tea Party Members Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=504

Views On Greatest Threat to U.S. National Security Among TN Registered Voters Which ONE of these countries or entities, if any, poses the greatest threat to U.S. National Security? 100% 80% 60% 40% 34% 28% 21% 20% 5% 5% 1% 0% ISIS North Korea Russia China Iran Syria Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll N=1,004; MoE: +/- 3.3%

Views on Marijuana Legalization Among TN Registered Voters Which comes closer to your view about the use of marijuana by adults? 60% 48% 45% 47% 44% 48% 42% 40% 42% 31% 29% 33% 31% 26% 32% 25% 22% 23% 22% 26% 25% 21% 20% 24% 0% May 2014 Nov. 2014 May 2015 Nov. 2015 May 2016 Nov. 2016 May 2017 It should be legal for personal use It should be legal only for medicinal use It should not be legal Source: Vanderbilt University Polls May 2017 Poll: N=505