
China's World Leadership: Challenges and Strategies
Explore the dynamics of China's world leadership through a comprehensive analysis of military, economic, technological, and diplomatic powers. Delve into the disruptive presidencies, the China stories, and the implications for America as a global leader. Gain insights into key areas such as military expenditure, GDP, trade, investment, technology, and diplomacy. Witness the shift in global leadership paradigms and understand the strategic implications for the international landscape.
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Presentation Transcript
China & World Leadership N E I L T H O M A S
1. Context 2. What is World Leadership? 3. The China Stories 4. What to do?
1. Context: Eroding Consensus Source: Foreign Affairs
Disruptive Presidencies Trump Economic war with China Election meddling by China What s the end goal? Xi Jinping Recentralization of Party Power South China Sea Xinjiang, Taiwan, Hong Kong
2. What is World Leadership? Military Power Diplomatic Power Economic Power Technological Power Cultural Power Domestic Strength is the Foundation
3. The China Stories: Military Military Expenditure (Current USD, Billions) World USA PRC 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Source: World Bank
Economy GDP (Current USD, Trillions) WORLD USA CHINA 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: World Bank
Trade Source: IMF
Investment Foreign Direct Investment Outflows (Billion US$) USA CHINA 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Source: World Bank
Technology R&D Expenditure as %GDP WORLD USA CHINA 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015 Source: World Bank
Problems Market Access FDI Restrictiveness Index 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 Germany UK Japan USA Korea Canada Russia India China Indonesia Source: OECD
Diplomacy Number of Allies 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CHINA USA Source: State Dept
Wealth GDP Per Capita (US$) WORLD USA CHINA 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Source: World Bank
Demography China s Old-Age Dependency Ratio 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Source: UN
4. What to do: Interconnectedness European Union 5% United States 9% Taiwan 6% China 47% Southeast Asia 12% South Korea 4% Japan 17% Source: Damien Ma
What should America do? More Diplomacy with likeminded friends More Investment around the world More Engagement with China More Leadership solutions, not grumbles
Parting Thought It s always wise to seek the truth in our opponents error, and the error in our own truth. Reinhold Niebuhr
Q&A Thank you for listening!