Corporate Portfolio Overview and Internal Controls Governance Details

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Explore the comprehensive agenda and status of the corporate portfolio, including internal controls establishment, budget restructuring, and HQ reorganization. Gain insights into the strategic initiatives, IT security measures, and funding details for effective management processes.

  • Corporate Portfolio
  • Internal Controls
  • Governance
  • Budget Restructure
  • IT Security

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  1. Agenda Corporate Portfolio Overview Quad Internal Controls Governance/HQ Reorganization Budget Restructure AWIPS Sub-assembly CAP IT Security 1

  2. Corporate Portfolio Portfolio Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Y Milestone Date Status Lead: John Potts, Portfolio Manager Establish Internal Controls Environment 9/30/14 Complete NOAA Leadership contribution to WMO priorities 9/30/14 Complete Scope:Corporate and Common Services which enable NWS mission for the Nation. These include Leadership Guidance; Financial, Budget, and Administrative Support; EEO; International; Human Resource Support; IT Security; and Strategic Planning. Major FY 2014 Initiatives: 1) Establishment of Internal Control Environment 2) Portfolio-based Budget Restructure and HQ Re-organization 3) Establishment of Change Management Process Delayed to FY15 Q2 New portfolio based budget process 9/30/14 HQ reorganization package to NOAA Workforce Management Organization Delayed to FY15 Q1 3/31/14 Delayed to FY15 Q1 Final Social Media guidance distributed 3/31/14 ECMWF Mid-range forecast MOU 3/31/14 In Review Estimated Benefits: 1) A high-performing organization with integrated, efficient, and effective management processes 2) Re-energized Labor Management Partnership 3) Sound resource management practices and reduced risk 4) IT security which protects integrity of scientific enterprise 80% on time closure rate for POA&Ms 9/30/14 Current 49% Issues/Risks Finances Y G Issues/Risks 1) 2) 3) Funding Sources: $70,700,252 (Original Omnibus Budget) IT Redirect - $6,400,000 Management Reserve - $1,500,000 M&A - $22,403,800 NOAA & Direct Bills - $10,207,268 Common Services - $16,768,164 Reprogrammed - $1,657,699 LWF Initiate Staffing Analysis - $500,000 LWF Reserve for Dissemination/Buoy Gaps - $1,009,044 CFG Reprogramming to NESDIS Jason - $3,000,000 complete LWF Reprogramming - $6,500,000 complete Obligation Status Annual Allocation Amount - $57,279,232 (M&A, CS, MR, IT Redirect, NOAA & Direct Bills) YTD BOP Amount - $42,848,750 (excludes transfer to other FMCs and LOs) Actuals - $35,524,492 Obligation Rate vs. BOP Amount = 83% Staffing vacancies in field/HQ and lack of WFMO resources Cannot implement Budget Restructure during CR Resources needed for Budget Restructure and Headquarters Reorganization IT Systems security posture potentially compromises mission 4) Mitigation: 1) Off loading recruitment actions to OPM and implementing hiring efficiencies Developing interim accounting code structure during CR Establishing new implementation team and prioritizing carryover Tracking of IT systems and bench marking to ensure best practices 2) 3) 4) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  3. New Internal Controls Environment Implementation Plan Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Y Milestone Status Target Date Lead: Dawn McClure, Project Manager John Potts, Project Sponsor FMC Statement of Assurance check list Checklist will be sent out to FMC. With action to be completed of 2015 1/3/2014 Scope: Identify weaknesses under current internal control environment Develop and establish a new internal control environment Document new internal controls Implement new internal control environment Monitor and modify new internal control environment NWS Appropriations Reference Manual Final updated ARM was sent out 10/1/14 12/26/2013 NWS Budget and Administrative Staff Core Training Curriculum Estimated Benefits: 1) Reliable financial reporting with resources effectively directed and monitored 2) Timely feedback/monitoring of achievement of organization s operational and strategic goals 3) Increased knowledge and communication with the FMCs 4) Reduced workload through streamlined monthly budget execution meeting with the FMCs Will be effective 11/1/14 12/17/2013 Directives- Status 18 Directives are completed; GC/NWSEO clearance 1 in draft 3/31/2014 Issues/Risks Finances Y G Issues: 1) Labor in Kind Outstanding questions related to dual structure (PPA vs Portfolio) which impacts FY15 execution/reporting and how it affects NWS internal controls Establish new audit function Evaluate and Analyze new Internal Control Environment 2) 3) Mitigation: 1) Appropriation Reference Manual a) Update Cost Assignment methodology Intro b) Revise Cheat Sheet and FAQs Establish audit functions and duties for the Enterprise Risk Management and Internal Audit Office Timely review of current NWS policies a) Updating old OCFO directives b) Analyze current internal control plan 2) 3) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  4. Budget and Headquarters Restructuring Project Project Status as of: October 2014 Y Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Milestone Date Status Lead: Andrea Bleistein, Project Manager Scope: 1) To develop the governance framework, associated management processes and HQ organization structure to operate within a new portfolio-based budget by FY 2015 while effectively managing in FY 2014 during transition. Estimated Benefits: Establish FY14 governance structure while in transition to new portfolio-based budget Dec 31, 2013 Complete Missed Q2 delivery. Expect to be Completed by FY15 Q1 Reorganization Materials and Artifacts to CFO3 (INTERNAL) March 31, 2014 1) Development of governance playbook that supports a new budget structure and a portfolio management approach to prioritizing and managing organization s resources. Development of a HQ organization structure that supports ability to plan, execute and govern under a new portfolio-based budget and also better support mission operations. Addresses significant management and organizational challenges that exist today (27 issues / gaps identified from Local Office Teams and NAPA Report Recommendations). Missed Q2 delivery. Expect to be Completed by FY15 Q1 HQ reorganization package to NOAA Workforce Management Organization March 31, 2014 2) 3) Issues/Risks Finances Y G Funding Sources: Funding from AA Reserve (Total budget for FY13 and FY14): $540,154 for contractual services, travel, supplies and equipment Top Risk: 1) RSK30:IF NWS does not dedicate resources and enforce accountability to implement its Governance Playbook in FY 2015, THEN execution in FY 2015 will be negatively impacted Obligation Status $395,679 was obligated in FY13 for Consulting Services Project Mitigation Activities: 1) Develop a FY 15 Transitional Governance Appendix outlining NWS FY 15 mission execution under a Continuing Resolution (CR) Execution Status Total amount executed in FY14 Overall: $473,373 Contract invoiced and paid for $469,523 for Consulting Services Software license expense of $2,400 Facilities expense for auditorium reservation of $450 Contractor background investigation $1,000 2) Develop overarching schedule for FY 2015 execution and work with Portfolio Leads to outline Governance in FY 2015 3) Leverage Regional Headquarters staff (MSDs, SODs, SSDs, HSDs, Budget) to support execution and planning starting in FY 2015 Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  5. Budget Restructuring Project Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Y Lead: Ken Pavelle, Project Manager Linda Rubio, Budget Specialist Portfolios, Region and FMC Budget Focal Points, Extended Team Milestone Date Status Portfolio Program Codes Complete Early May Complete Portfolio Project Codes Complete End of June Complete Scope: 1) CR Project Codes Developed September Complete Develop new program and project codes consistent with the portfolio-based appropriation structure. Identify business systems and processes impacted, develop and implement remediation, including communication and training as necessary. Estimated Benefits: Appropriations Reference Manual & Cheat Sheet September Complete 2) CR Project Code Crosswalk and Remediation Oct Dec Underway Portfolio Crosswalk Sept Nov On Track 1) Ensure ability to perform FY15 budget transactions with correct / appropriate accounting codes. Maintain ability to provide meaningful reports and controls on budget execution. Minimize rework. CONGRESS PASSES APPROPRIATIONS BILL By 9/30/14 Delayed 2) 3) Portfolio Training December On Track Portfolio Transition TBD (Q2) On Track Post-Transition Monitoring TBD +3 mos On Track Issues/Risks Finances G Y Labor in Kind Risk: Uncertain Appropriations Bill passage. Mitigation 1: Use of portfolio-specific project codes during the CR Mitigation 2: Prepare system crosswalks so we are ready for Q2 in case Congress acts quickly after the election Mitigation 3: In case of year-long CR, work with NOAA CFO / Budget Office to submit spend plan in the portfolio structure. Ken Pavelle 2/3 time Linda Rubio 3/4 time (primarily focused on spend plan) Budget Focal Points from representing Portfolios, FMCs Support from NOAA Finance Center (Germantown) Risk: Budget Restructure and HQ transition timelines overlap Mitigation: Integrate Budget Restructure and HQ Transition project schedules. Identify overlaps and potential critical path items. If possible, add a time buffer so identifies independent timelines. Subject Matter Experts Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  6. AWIPS SUB-ASSEMBLY CAP QPR Project Status as of: October 29, 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Lead: Herb Callands, Project Manager Team Member: Calaina Schneider, OOS Team Member: Vicky Alexander, Admin. Div. Chief, NWS CR SME: Joy Taylor, NOAA PPMB PMO SME: Katina Williams, NOAA PPMB Financial/Audit Advisor SME: Edwin Lewis/Marvel Kennybrew, NOAA PPMB LORs SME: Deirdre Jones, Director (A) OOS SME: Ronla Henry/John Tatum, AWIPS Program Managers SME: Ivan Navarro, Acting Director, Operations Division SME: Charles Maples, Director NRC SME: Anthony Harrison, Director NLSC SME: Michael W. Miller, Director ROC/NEXRAD Scope: 1) Development and Implementation of new procedures for the barcoding, recording, and tracking of main system accountable components in accordance with DOC/NOAA personal property policy and procedures Estimated Benefits: Milestone Date Status NWSEO notification and feedback June 12, 2014 Complete Awaiting Collection and Evaluation 8/15/2014 Nov 30, 2015 Required Purchasing Documentation Determination Establish necessary actions in phases for successful roll- out and implementation Jun 30, 2014 Complete Backload Completed Phase I Implementation Barcoding of All Monitors Jun 30, 2014 June 30, 2014 Nov 30, 2014 Establish Roll-Out Implementation Schedule per Install Site (Phase II) In Process July 31, 2014 Nov 30, 2014 Update Directive NWSI 1-708 and Amend OOS Mod-Notes according to new instructions Pending NWSEO Approval August 31, through September 30, 2014 Sep 30, 2015 Roll-Out Phase III Performing physical inventories of each site AWIPS system/components, barcoding of accountable assets 1) Achieve 100% compliance with DOC/NOAA policy and procedures for the accountability of main system components (Sub-Assembly inventory assets) Accurate recording/tracking of accountable assets Not started 2) Issues/Risks Y Finances G Issues/Risks : 1) 2) 3) 4) Implementation rests in the purchasing documentation and accuracy of data. Lack of Staffing at NLSC and NRC to accommodate increase of actions/work load Accurately Identifying all unaccounted assets as a result of previous processes Schedule risk due to complexity Funding Sources: In kind labor Obligation Status N/A Mitigation: 1) 2) Identify remaining required purchase documents NLSC Recruitment of (1) Inventory Management Specialist and (1) Inventory Management Specialist (POC) and NRC Recruitment of (1) Inventory Management Specialist (PC) and fill existing vacancies to support workload NWS-Wide Board of Review package submission to resolve unaccounted for assets as a result of barcodes on inventory no longer physically on site Accelerated schedule by eliminating pilot phase: testing HQ AWIPS Execution Status Concurrent with AWIPS refresh schedules where possible 3) 4) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  7. IT Security FY-14 Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y G Lead: Clem Boyleston, Project Manager 100 90 80 Scope: 1) NWS has 41 systems that were evaluated for TIC compliance. Of those 41, 31 were deemed complaint. 10 were required to develop POAMs to be compliant by the end of the Fiscal year. As of 9/30/2014, 34 of 41 systems are compliant (83%). NWS has 41 FISMA systems across the US that require annual assessments and re- authorization. The timely completion of POAMs is necessary to ensure that insecurities of IT systems are corrected promptly as agreed to by the Authorizing Officials . 70 60 50 2) 40 30 3) 20 10 Estimated Benefits: 0 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep 1) The NWS CIO provided support, assistance, and oversight to ensures confidentiality, integrity and availability of data and systems in support of mission assurance for the protection of life and property. TICAP (Goal 95%) POAM Closure rate (Goal 80%) A&A (Goal 100%) Issues/Risks Finances Y G (1) Issues/Risk: (OPEN) TICAP completion dependent on funding and communication paths available for each system. Mitigation: Dissemination Portfolio provides the engineering and funding necessary for successful migration. (2) Issues/Risk: (CLOSED) Authorizing Officials and System Owners fail to conduct their A&A prior to their expiration date. Mitigation: The NWS CIO has established a tracking system for the Authorizing Officials and Systems Owners and provides routine updates and reminders. (3) Issues/Risk: (OPEN) Delayed POAMs exceed the due dates which delays remediation and increases security vulnerabilities. Mitigation: NWS ACIO provides routine reminders to System Owners and Authorizing Officials prior to the POAM due dates. Authorizing Officials should assume the risk and remove the POAM prior to the delay date. Funding Sources: 1) NWS Common Services IT Program 09-01-04-000 2) NWS LO M&A Program 09-01-04-000 Obligation Status FY 14 100% A&A Support Services ($1.14M) Business Process Management Software ($140k) Option Year 2 FISMA Support ($543K) R Y G Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  8. Agenda Dissemination Portfolio Overview Quad Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System Next Generation Air Transportation System Information Technology Web Services Ground Readiness Project NWS Telecommunications Gateway Re-architecture NWSTG Operations and Maintenance Office of Operational System Network NOAA Weather Wire Service NOAA Weather Radio NWS Internet Dissemination System 8

  9. Dissemination Portfolio Portfolio Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Portfolio Information and Highlights Y Scheduling Key FY 2014 Dissemination Portfolio Milestones Date Status Acting Lead: Luis Cano, Portfolio Manager Scope: 1) Dissemination IT Infrastructure Services 2) Virtualized Application Services 3) Terrestrial and Satellite Networking Services 4) Weather Warning Services 5) Web and Geospatial Services Backup Internet Access for OPSnet to Address Silver Spring Single Point of Failure FY14 Q4 Complete GRB Antenna Contract Award (enables antenna development/deployment) FY14 Q4 Complete SBN Upgraded to 60+ Mbps FY14 Q4 Complete Initiate Assessment and Audit of NWS Networks FY14 Q4 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) Centralized and consolidated operational dissemination IT infrastructure at NCWCP in College Park, MD and DSRC in Boulder, CO 2) Increased capability and reliability for NWS networks 3) Modernized and operationalized Web and Geospatial Services Stand-up and maintain an enterprise GIS Infrastructure, IT Improvements Initial NWSTG Re-architecture CONOPS and AoA FY14 Q3 Complete FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 NWWS Project: Concurrent Operations for NWWS-OI and NWWS-NLETS (End CSC contract extension) Delayed Y G Issues/Risks Finances Risks: 1) ISSUE: NWWS Project - During OI System Integration Test, the NWSTG socket feed included the entire NOAAPort feed plus the NWWS feed. OI was over- filtering and products were not transmitted by OI RISK: IF NWS networking resiliency is not addressed, THEN network outages could continue to occur during a severe weather event, impacting the dissemination of watches, warnings and overall mission operations RISK: IF NWSTG Site A (Silver Spring, MD) fails and NWSTG Site B (Fairmont, WV) is restored with 74% operational capabilities, THEN the NWSTG will not have 26% of its capabilities in operations and will be unable to have the capacity to dissemination the increase in satellite, radar and model data Mitigation: 1) The AWIPS NCF forwarded the NWWS feed to the NIDS LDM server at Silver Spring, MD; AWIPS Program advised that personnel would not be available until after the SBN expansion (in September 2014) 2) Working closely with DUSO and CIO to accelerate and implement resiliency network, implementing DUSO networking actions (short-term and long-term), initiating assessment and audit of NWS network, and continuing to execute against lessons learned from past NWS outages 3) Standing up IDP Dissemination Infrastructure at College Park, MD and Backup Site at Boulder, CO, and drafting Analysis of Alternatives and Concept of Operations for NWSTG capabilities in advance of DOC Milestone 2 Review Funding Sources: 1) IDP: $49,962 K 2) NWSTG O&M: $13,251 K 3) OPSNet: $6,508 K 4) NWWS: $5,286 K 5) NWR: $19,007 K 6) MADIS: $3,796K 7) NIDS: $1,882K 2) 3) Obligation Status: 1) IDP: $46,369 K 2) NWSTG O&M: $11,203 K 3) OPSNet: $6,111 K 4) NWWS: $4,455 K 5) NWR: $18,400 K 6) MADIS: $3,796K 7) NIDS: $1,392 K Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required 9

  10. Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 G G Project Information and Highlights G Scheduling Lead: Steve Pritchett, Project Manager Milestone Date Status FOC MADIS Ingest Servers Initialized at NOAA Data Centers at College Park FY14 Q2 Complete Scope: 1) Full transition from research to operations of the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) from OAR to NWS Operational in the NOAA data center at College Park, MD and backup NOAA data center in Boulder, CO by the NCO. Hardware has to be acquired for MADIS in the data centers and the transitions from OAR completed FOC MADIS Distribution Servers Initialized at NOAA Data Center College Park FY14 Q3 Complete 2) FOC MADIS Processing Initialized at NOAA Data center at College Park FY14 Q4 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) Achieve MADIS Full Operating Capability (FOC) within NWS by the end of FY15 Q1 2) Transition of the ingest and distribution servers from the NWS TOC , and the processing from WCOSS to servers in the NOAA data center 3) Leverages partnerships to integrate observations from their stations with those of NOAA to provide a finer density, higher frequency observational database for use by the greater meteorological community at a FOC MADIS FOC Achieved Including the Operational MADIS Archive FY15 Q1 On Track G Issues/Risks G Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY13 Q4: $1,234.0K 2) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to GSD FY14 Q1: $1,250.0K 3) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY14 Q2: $462K 4) FY14 Mesonet funds (MESONET PPA): $300K 5) FY14 OAR Funds: $550K If hardware acquisition delays occur then the FOC schedule will be affected Mitigation: 1) Adjustments to the FOC schedule Obligation Status: 1) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY13 Q4: Complete 2) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to GSD FY14 Q1: Complete 3) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY14 Q2: Complete 4) FY14 Mesonet funds (MESONET PPA): Complete 5) FY14 OAR Funds: Complete Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 10 On Target Required

  11. NextGen IT Web Services Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights G Scheduling Lead: Ryan Solomon, Project Manager Milestone Date Status NWS NextGen IT Web Services Functional Requirements Prioritization and Baseline Scope: 1) 2) 3) FY14 Q3 Complete Leverage synergies between the IDP Enterprise GIS and NIDS Integration projects Deliver a bilaterally agreed-upon set of weather products to the FAA to support CSS-Wx Ensure products are discoverable and interoperable in order to provide maximum value for users Establish NWS Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS)-II Data Delivery (DD) as a Data Consumer and deliver weather products required by AWIPS DD Establish NWS Aviation Weather Center web services as a Data Consumer and deliver the required weather products Leverage open-source technologies to the extent possible NWS NextGen IT Web Services Interface Requirements Baseline FY14 Q3 Complete Use of Multiple Contract Actions to Realign the Project with the IDP GIS and NIDS Project to Reduce Overall Technology and Schedule Risk 4) FY14 Q4 Complete 5) Proof of Concept Products Available in the NIDS Preview Environment for FAA and AWIPS-II Test and Evaluation 6) FY15 Q1 On Track Estimated Benefits: 1) New, net-centric, weather information dissemination capability to fulfill NWS role in the congressionally mandated Next Generation Air Traffic System (NextGen) Directive 2) Improved access and delivery of weather data products to internal and external stakeholders using national and international systems and standards OGC Web Services 3) Common access for users to discover and retrieve NOAA weather data 4) Standards-based, general Web Services capability positioned to support wider NOAA dissemination services needs Priority 1 Metadata and Schema Records Complete FY15 Q2 On Track FY15 Q3 FY16 Q1 Expand Data Inventory to Include Data Products and Related Metadata Required to Support FAA CSS-Wx On Track FY15 Q3 FY16 Q1 Operational Deployment of NextGen IT Web Services at NCWCP in College Park, MD On Track Y Issues/Risks G Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) NextGen Aviation ORF: $10,470.6K 2) NextGen Aviation ORF Carryover: $1,578.7K If an initial set of products cannot be tested with the FAA in early FY15 then the NWS NextGen Web Services IOC planned for FY15 Q Services at the IDP, NCWCP in College Park, MD may be delayed If OpenGeo NetCDF support is not completed in time to meet NextGen schedule requirements then not all priority 1 capabilities will be met 2) Obligation Status: 1) NextGen Aviation ORF: $10,244.7K 2) NextGen Aviation ORF Carryover: $1,577.6K Mitigation: 1) Communicate the importance of the early stand-up of capabilities in the IDP environment both verbally and through the project schedule; Keep the subject matter experts engaged with the NIDS developers 2) Investigate alternative options for serving the gridded NetCDF data; Keep the build-out team in touch with the Boundless team; Communicate risk status to leadership at bi- weekly status meetings; Receive feedback from leadership at bi-weekly status meetings and complete required actions Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 11 On Target Required

  12. NWS Ground Readiness Project Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights G Scheduling Lead: Brian Gockel, Project Manager (Acting) Milestone Date Status FY14 Q2 FY14 Q3 FY14 Q3 Scope: 1) GRB Assessment and Site Survey Complete Ensure NWS infrastructure and data dissemination services are prepared for the threefold increase in model, radar, and new environmental satellite data Provide the network (terrestrial and satellite) and IT infrastructure upgrades required to ensure NWS will have the capabilities to exploit the next generation of satellite and model data OCONUS Network Hardware Order Complete GRB Antenna Contract Award (enables antenna development/deployment) SBN (and SBN-supporting) Network Upgrades in Place to Support Testing for GOES-R and Additional Numerical Weather Prediction products Complete 2) FY14 Q4 Complete FY14 Q4 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) Provide terrestrial network bandwidth and GOES-R receiver antenna upgrades to NWS while improving acquisition, management, and security processes 2) Execute Satellite Broadcast Network increase from half of a transponder to a full transponder to benefit all existing NWS sites with AWIPS, and to support increases in data volume 3) Provide network upgrades and optimization to ensure that NWS networks can support the increased data volumes (e.g. satellite, model, and radar) Issues/Risks Risks: 1) If the NWS networking resiliency is not addressed, then network outages could continue to occur during a severe weather event, impacting the dissemination of watches, warnings and overall mission operations 2) If NWS systems are not integrated with PDA, then PDA/NWS testing will be curtailed (eventually compromising the exploitation of PDA data by NWS) SBN Upgraded to 60+ Mbps FY14 Q4 Complete Audit of NWS Networks (contract award Q4 FY14) FY15 Q2 FY14 Q4 FY15 Q4 On Track Refer to Risk 1 NWS Network Upgrade & Optimization Contract Award Y G Finances Funding Sources: 1) GRP PAC: $11,481.2K 2) Sandy Supplemental GRP Carryover: $10,504.0 K Obligation Status: 1) GRP PAC: $8,512.1K 2) Sandy Supplemental GRP Carryover: $10,321.9 K Mitigation: 1) Complete the audit of NWS sites/networks by March 2015 to inform the acquisition of the one NWS network, with an award by FY15 Q4, in order to transition NWS legacy networks by FY17 Q4 2) NWS engagement via PDA working groups; development of technical requirements and integration/test plans; implementing network enhancements and configurations to establish connectivity between PDA and NWS systems; NWS-side development for data ingest/decode/utilization; IDP/GRP and ESPDS leadership interactions related to resolution of integration issues Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 12 On Target Required

  13. National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) Re-architecture Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Kevin Conaty, Project Manager Milestone Date Status NWSTG Re-architecture Support Contract Awarded FY14 Q3 Complete Scope: 1) 2) 3) IDP Dissemination Infrastructure Primary Facility Phase II Build Out Complete FY14 Q3 Complete Complete the NWSTG Technical Evaluation and Analysis Build the infrastructure for NWS dissemination services to include NWSTG functions Implement and transition the NWSTG functions into the new operational IDP dissemination architecture Deploy a fully re-designed NWSTG into operational steady state by FY17 Initial NWSTG Re-architecture CONOPS and AoA FY14 Q3 Complete Award Part 1 of DSRC Equipment Contracts FY14 Q4 Complete 4) Complete NWSTG Re-architecture DOC Scalable Acquisition Framework Milestone 2 Review Complete Migration of 4 of 26 NWSTG Re-architecture Capabilities at IDP's Dissemination Infrastructure in NCWCP at College Park, MD Complete the IDP Dissemination Infrastructure build-out and augmentation at DSRC in Boulder, CO FY15 Q1 On Track Estimated Benefits: 1) Reliable dissemination of critical weather warnings and products 2) Fully deployed backup NWSTG infrastructure 3) Ability to support increased volume of model , radar, and observational data FY15 Q4 On Track FY15 Q4 On Track Y Issues/Risks G Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC: $14,241.0 K 2) NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC Carryover: $1,687.2K If the NWSTG is not re-architected then it will not have capacity to support additional satellite, model, and radar data If NWSTG Site A in Silver Spring, MD fails and the NWSTG Site B in Fairmont, WV is activated with 74% operational capabilities, then the NWSTG operational capabilities will be degraded. Unable to support projected increases in satellite, radar and model data 2) Obligation Status: 1) NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC: $14,114.6K 2) NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC Carryover: $1,598.3K 3) Mitigation: 1) Standing up IDP Dissemination Services at NCWCP in College Park, MD and DSRC in Boulder, CO and begin migration of critical NWSTG applications; 2) Drafting Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) and Concept of Operations (CONOPS) for NWSTG Capabilities in advance of the DOC Milestone Review 2; Conducted IDP Dissemination Infrastructure Location AoA and obtained NOAA and NWS Approval on IDP Dissemination Infrastructure at NWCP in College Park, MD and at DSRC in Boulder, CO; Standing-up IDP Dissemination Infrastructure at NCWCP in College Park, MD and at DSRC in Boulder, CO Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 13 On Target Required

  14. National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) O&M Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Y G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Lead: Bob Bunge, Project Manager Milestone Date Status HRRR Model Testing/Production FY14 Q4 Complete Scope: 1) ATO Decision Brief FY14 Q4 Complete Operations and maintenance of the NWSTG system and related hosted systems, networks and NWS mission support services Operation of the WMO Region IV Regional Telecommunications Hub (RTH) Operation of the WMO Global Information System Centres (GISC) Washington system FY14 Q2 FY15 Q1 Security Pen Testing Delayed 2) 3) FY14 Q4 FY15 Q1 NWWS/NLETS Operational Testing Delayed Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) DOI Surface Observation Product Testing FY15 Q1 On Track Estimated Benefits: 1) Regular operation and data flow in support of the NWS mission Security Assessment FY15 Q2 On Track WMO Region IV Metadata meeting support FY15 Q2 On Track Authority to Operate from Authorizing Officials Extended to May 31, 2015 FY15 Q3 On Track Y Issues/Risks G Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) LWF: $8,401.9K 2) BTG CIP O&M: $3,120.9K 3) NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC: $1,728.9K If operational priorities and POA&M implementation is not balanced then both could be impacted If the 71 deficiencies identified in the NWSTG security self assessment are not remediated then NWSTG operations could be negatively impacted If the remaining 26% of NWSTG s unsupported capabilities at Site B are not addressed then NWSTG operations could be impacted Closed: If there is no Facility Agreement between NWSTG and NOAA OCIO then operations could be impacted by unclear responsibilities. 2) 3) Obligation Status: 1) LWF: $7,840.6K 2) BTG CIP O&M: $2,285.1K 3) NWSTG Legacy Replacement: $1,077.5K 4) Mitigation: 1) Balance workload and resources based on agency priorities and communicate the impacts; Prioritize vulnerabilities and execute POA&Ms through FY15 Q4 2) Self assessment deficiencies have been researched and prioritized as resources allow 3) Staff is working capabilities as time and resources allow 4) Complete: Coordinate d and developed SLA between NWSTG and NOAA OCIO for Site B (currently at OOS) Execution Status: 1) Carryover BTG CIP O&M: $531K 2) Carryover NWSTG Legacy Replacement PAC: $597K 14 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required

  15. Office of Operational System Network (OPSnet) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 G G Project Information and Highlights G Scheduling *Milestone Date Status Lead: Bernie Werwinski, Project Manager Complete New FIPS 199/200 Submitted FY14 Q2 Frame-relay Comms Circuits Replaced by OPSnet in Juneau and Fairbanks Implement Alternate Transport Bandwidth Solution to at least 60% of SR WFOs and RFCs Upgrade Bandwidth at 2 WFOs through the NWS Alternate Transport Pilot Project (WR) Implement Alternate Transport Bandwidth Solution to at least 50% of CR WFOs and RFCs Backup Internet access for OPSnet to Address Silver Spring Single Point of Failure VSAT Backup Installed at all Alaska WFOs to Ensure Redundancy in Forecast/Warning Dissemination. FY14 Q2 Complete Scope: 1) Provide an enterprise wide network using Request for Comments (RFC) compliant carrier provided Multi-Protocol Label Switching System (MPLS) transport services across a true IP backbone with any to any capability Utilize RFC compliant MPLS Virtual Private Network (VPN) services offered by the carrier allowing it to establish multiple, private intranet backbones across the same network Provide VSAT capabilities to NWS field offices FY14 Q2 Complete FY14 Q2 Complete 2) FY14 Q4 Complete 3) FY14 Q4 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) Regular network operation in support of the NWS mission FY14 Q2 FY15 Delayed *Note: Many of these milestones belong to projects other than OPSnet. They have been included here for information only. G Issues/Risks G Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) LWF: $4,649.2K 2) BTG CIP O&M: $1,859.3K If the bandwidth as originally designed is insufficient then the bandwidth will not support WFO needs. Closed: If the single point of failure for Internet access at Silver Spring, MD (NWSTG) and Fairmount, WV (BTG) are resolved then NWS could be negatively impacted a) Internet access is available at Boulder TICAP over OPSnet. A follow up project has been established to test and route NWSTG Site B traffic out of Boulder. A PM has been identified and the goal is to complete Q4 FY15 2) Obligation Status: 1) LWF: $4,252.3K 2) BTG CIP O&M: $1,859.3K Execution Status: 1) Unobligated LWF funding reallocated. Used to partially fund NWWS 6 month extension Mitigation: 1) Utilize alternate transport methods to provide additional bandwidth at minimal cost 2) Complete: Utilize N-WAVE to get Internet access diversity at an additional TICAP compliant location Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 15 On Target Required

  16. NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights Y Scheduling Milestone Date Status Lead: Gregory Zwicker, Project Manager OT&E Phase 1 (Sat and EUC) FY14 Q3 Complete Scope: 1) 2) 3) 4) Estimated Benefits: 1) Cost avoidance by ending the contract with Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC) and using the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) Satellite Broadcast Network (SBN), NWS Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG), and NWS Internet Dissemination System (NIDS) to host the components of NWWS Deploy NWWS-Sat and NWWS-EUC FY14 Q4 Complete NWWS-Sat (Satellite) and End User Satellite Terminal (EUST) NWWS-EUC (End User Client) NWWS- OI (Open Interface) NWWS-NLETS (National Law Enforcement Telecommunications System interface) GSA Accept RWA for Vertex Building Modifications for EUST at Backup TG Concurrent Operations for NWWS-Sat and NWWS- EUC FY14 Q4 Complete FY14 Q4 Complete FY15 Q1 FY15 Q2 OT&E Phase 2 (NLETS, OI, and EUC) Delayed Deploy NWWS -OI and NWWS-NLETS, and Upgrade NWWS-EUC Concurrent Operations for NWWS-OI and NWWS- NLETS (End CSC contract extension) FY15 Q2 On Track FY15 Q2 FY15 Q3 Delayed Y Issues/Risks G Finances Issues: 1) Issue 1: During OI System Integration Test, the NWSTG socket feed included the entire NOAAPort feed plus the NWWS feed. OI was over-filtering and products were not transmitted by OI Issue 2: Raytheon resources will be reallocated to SBN Expansion (priority). This reallocation will delay critical change implementation prior to OT&E resulting in delay of 15-30 days Issue 3: State-Federal; Partners Change in SBN/NOAAPORT frequency impacts 1.8m dish users; increased errors & lost messages 4) Issue 4: Commercial Partners; Change in SBN/NOAAPORT frequency impacts 1.8m dish users; increased errors & lost messages. Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplemental: $1,291.0K 2) LWF: $2,735.5K 3) C&S NWR PAC: $1,259.8K 2) Obligation Status: 1) Sandy Supplemental: $979.0K 2) LWF: $2,735.5K 3) C&S NWR PAC: $741.4K 3) Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete Mitigation: 1) The AWIPS NCF forwarded the NWWS feed to the NIDS LDM server at Silver Spring, MD; AWIPS Program advised that personnel would not be available until after the SBN expansion (in September 2014) 2) Accept delay in schedule 3) 2.4m dish, Nlets access, EUC dual feed, NWS FOS or 3rd party vendor 4) 2.4m dish, 2) Nlets access, 3) EUC dual feed, 4) NWS FOS or, 3rd party vendor 16 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required

  17. NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights G Scheduling Lead: Craig Hodan, Project Manager Milestone Date Status 15 of 39 NWR Sites Complete OOS FY14 Q1 Complete Scope: 1) Operates and maintains a broadcast network of 1023 VHF transmitters to provide continuous weather information from the nearest NWS office Broadcasts official warnings, watches, forecasts and other hazard information 24 hours a day, 7 days a week Refurbishing 400 stations established in the 1970s, eliminating single points of failure and improving network reliability Technology refresh / replacement of CRS with the AWIPS hosted Broadcast Message Handler (BMH) 25 of 39 NWR Sites Complete OOS FY14 Q2 Complete Replace NWR Transmitter and Antenna at Kokee, Kauai PR FY14 Q2 Complete 2) NWR expansion. Install New NWR Site at Malibu, CA WR FY14 Q2 Complete 3) 39 of 39 NWR Sites Complete OOS FY14 Q3 Complete 4) Procurement of 60 NWR Solid State Transmitters OOS FY14 Q4 Complete Installation of 10 Solid State Transmitters OOS FY14 Q4 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) An all hazards radio network providing the public a direct source for comprehensive weather and emergency information 2) An all hazards radio network that works with/activates the Federal Communication Commission's Emergency Alert System 3) Tech refresh eliminates single points of failure and improves network reliability Y FY14 Q4 FY15 Q4 Move NWR transmitter and Antenna in Guam from Nimitz Hill to Mount Alutom PR** Delayed **Note: Will not meet milestone as PR is waiting on RPMD to obtain a lease/permit from the Navy for space at Mount Alutom. Issues/Risks G Finances Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplemental: $289.2K 2) NWR PAC: $6,445.7K (includes $885.3K carryover) 3) NWR LWF: $9,908.8K (includes $23.3K carryover) 4) ORF PPA: $2,363.4K (includes $69.2K carryover) Issue: 1) Risks: 2) Project costs are escalating due to increase in rents/leases and utilities If obsolete Audio telecommunications technology service is discontinued by service providers then alternate and possibly more costly telecommunication technology will need to be implemented for WFO to transmitter site connections immediately If CRS obsolescence causes an inability to repair failed parts/components then a shortage of available spare parts/components will increase the risk for sustaining broadcast availability and continuous operations If Radio Frequency interference problems impact broadcast operations at certain locations then broadcasts will be suspended, reducing broadcast availability and operations until interference problems are mitigated or resolved Mitigation: 1) Working with RPMD to obtain cost effective/gratuitous terms for transmitter site leases outreach to benefactors and supporters 2) Evaluating alternative IP based telecommunications services including wireless service between WFO and transmitter sites 3) Developing a CRS replacement using a AWIPS hosted BMH system 4) Relief and/or resolution of interference problems are investigated and solved /mitigated on a case by case basis Obligation Status: 1) Sandy Supplemental: $289.2K 2) NWR PAC: $5,675.9K (includes $769.8K carryover) 3) NWR LWF: $10,081.1K 4) ORF PPA: $2,353.9K (all FY13 carryover obligated) 3) 4) Execution Status: 1) FY14 execution complete 17 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required

  18. NWS Internet Dissemination System (NIDS) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights Y Scheduling Lead: Kolly Mars, Project Manager Milestone * Date Status Process to Prioritize NIDS Web Service Requirements FY14 Q2 Complete Scope: 1) Complete 80% of ER Web Content Migration to NIDS CMS Make NDFD Available to Partners via OGC-compliant WMS Provide environmental, weather, hydrological, and tsunami advisories, watches and warnings as well as outlooks, text and data forecasts, weather radar displays, river hydrographs, future and past climate information, forecasts, air quality data, ocean and high seas forecasts, atmospheric model data, and surface and buoy observations Provide Chat services via the NWSChat service to facilitate more effective communication with partners Provide Global Telecommunications System (GTS) Internet File Service (GIFS) for World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional Association IV (RA-IV) Member States, and other WMO Regions that are adjacent to RA-IV. The GIFS is the primary service for GTS data within RA-IV FY14 Q3 Complete FY14 Q3 Complete 2) STSD Transition of a Subset of SR WFO pages to NIDS FY14 Q3 Complete Strategy for an Integrated Path Forward for NWS Web Page Information to be Adapted and Displayed on Mobile Devices 3) F14 Q4 Complete FY14 Q4 FY15 Q2 FY14 Q4 FY15 Implementation of NWWS-OI Delayed Estimated Benefits: 1) Dissemination of information in easily accessible, highly reliable protocols and formats 2) Consolidate weather presentation to the public by fully integrating the Content Management System Operational National Marine Weather Web Portal on NIDS Delayed *Note: Many of these milestones belong to projects other than NIDS. They have been included here for information only Y G Issues/Risks Finances Risks: 1) Funding Sources: 1) LWF: $1,882.0K If the NWWS-OI receives products with discrepancies from redundant AWIPS systems feed then the design of the feed will need to re-evaluated and implementation will be delayed If the National Web Portal underlying system does not get approved by NWS then the system will need redevelopment causing delay in implementation If the NIDS Missouri site is not TICAP compliant then NIDS cannot be compliant causing a delay in implementation If the NIDS address space is not IPV6 compliant then NIDS cannot become compliant causing a delay in implementation Mitigation: 1) Determine a programmatic way to get product discrepancies resolved upstream from NIDS 2) Working with OCWWS, nowCoast, and others to perform a gap analysis and provide requirements to close the gaps 3) Complete migration of NIDS into IDP infrastructure 4) Complete migration of NIDS into IDP infrastructure Obligation Status: 1) LWF: $1,392.1K 2) 3) Execution Status: 1) $489.9K not required and reallocated to NWR. Funded National Maintenance Contract through FY15 Q1 4) Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G 18 On Target Required

  19. Agenda STI Portfolio Overview Quad DAM Air Quality WRN NextGen Aviation Science National Blender Storm Surge Enabling Ecological Forecasting Training NGGPS: Next Generation Global Prediction System HFIP 19

  20. Science and Technology Integration Portfolio Status as of: 30 Sept. 2014 Y Scheduling Portfolio Information and Highlights Y Milestone Date Status G DAM: major model upgrades: HRRR Q4 Completed Acting Lead: Ming Ji DAM: major model upgrade: GDAS/GFS Q1FY15 On schedule Scope: 1) Develop and improve NWS operational environmental prediction modeling suite and data assimilation for all time scales. 2) Manage systematic R&D and R2O within NWS and with partners 3) Enhanced products, services and forecast processes (e.g., storm surge) 4) Manage end-to-end R2O process (R&D incl. Social Science-transition-training) HFIP Q1-Q4 On schedule NGGPS: implementation plan and FY14 spend plan Q2-Q4 completed NextGen Aviation Wx Science and Applications Q1-Q4 On schedule Estimated Benefits: Storm Surge: experimental inundation graphic Q3 completed 1) 2) 3) 4) Accelerated improvements for NWS decision support services Demonstrate centralized approach for local applications Tools to facilitate improved consistency Capitalize investments in observing, high performance computing, modeling to enhance NWS services Nationally coordinated and managed R2O for effective enhancements of field operations. Storm Surge: experimental warning graphic Q3FY15 On schedule Arctic: Exp. seasonal sea ice melting/freezing outlook Q2FY15 On schedule National blender project: key decision point to proceed Q4 Completed 5) WRN: Pilot projects and metrics for DSS efficiency Q4 Complete Training Q1-Q4 On schedule AirQuality (CMAQ upgrade) Q1FY15 On Schedule Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) FY15Q3 On schedule Enable E.F.: VIIRS imagery on AWIPS-2/NCP demo. FY15Q4 On schedule Y G Finances Issues/Risks Issues/Risks: 1) GFS risk testing downstream dependencies, WCOSS upgrade schedule reduced backup machine availability 2) FY15: discrepancies between CR allocation vs Portfolio spend plan 3) GEFS upgrade impacts on downstream users, e.g., HEFS 4) Experimental storm surge watch/warning back on track Funding Sources: HFIP: $13M R2O: $14.8 Sandy Supplement (FY13 Carry Over): NextGen Aviation: $3.77M Obligation Status Sandy Supplement 100% NGGPS/R2O: carry over to FY15 Execution Status Mitigation: 1) 2) 3) Watch: regular review by NCEP management on GFS, keep leadership informed Working with CFO to address funding gaps Develop temporary and long term strategies to address new requirements (reforecasting) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  21. Data Assimilation and Modeling (DA&M) Status as of 1 October 2014 Y Y Scheduling Project Information and Highlights G NWS Milestone Delivery Status Lead: Hendrik Tolman, Project Manager Great Lakes WAVEWATCH III Q1 Completed Real Time Mesoscale Analysis Q2 Completed Contracting Officer: Catherine Perrin North American Ensemble Forecast System Q3 Completed Scope: Develop and maintain the NOAA operational numerical modeling capability. Includes data assimilation, dynamic models, ensembles and post processing for atmosphere, land, ocean, ice, space weather on time/spatial scales ranging from minutes/local to seasonal/global. Rapid Refresh Q2 Completed Hi-Res Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Q4 Completed North American Model Q4 completed Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast Q3 Completed Benefits: The Data Assimilation and Modeling project delivers foundational environmental numerical guidance used by government, public and private industry to improve public safety, quality of life and make business decisions that drive U.S. economic growth. Short Range Ensemble Forecast System Q4 Completed Global Data Assimilation / Forecast System Q1FY15 On schedule Smoke (HYSPLIT /CTBTO) Q4 completed North American Land Data Assimilation Q4 completed Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (CMAQ) Q1FY15 On schedule Issues/Risks Y Finances Issues/Risks: 1) GFS schedule risk - need to test impacts on down stream applications. 2) WCOSS upgrade schedule in Q1 reduces availability of the backup machine for downstream code testing 3) Very tight fit for GFS in WCOSS phase-1. 4) GEFS (Q3FY15) new requirements for downstream user impacts (e.g., reforecasting) Funding Sources: NWS Base: LWF: $106,000; CFG: $12,937,604 NWS HFIP: $3,268,000 NWS Sandy CFG: $1,984,048; LWF: $1,086,000 Obligation Status NWS Base: LWF: 100%; CFG: 99.21% ($102,146 carryover) NWS HFIP : 99.61% ($12,809 carryover) NWS - Sandy CFG: 100%; LWF: 99.89% Risk Mitigation Strategy: 1) Watch 2) Watch and coordinate with NCO 3) Adjust scheduling in the jig saw puzzle 4) Keep legacy GEFS production for up-to one year Execution Status All: Dominantly labor support contract. R Y G Red = Management attention required Yellow = Potential management action required Green = Necessary and on-track 21

  22. National Air Quality Forecasting Capability (NAQFC) Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 G G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Milestone Date Status Maintain operational dispersion predictions of wildfire smoke, windblown dust, volcanic ash and dispersion predictions in support of the emergency management community. Lead: Ivanka Stajner, Project Manager Sept. 30, 2014 Completed Scope: Ongoing implementation of NOAA/NWS National Air Quality Forecast Capability operationally to provide graphical and numerical guidance, as hourly gridded pollutant concentrations. Maintain operational ozone predictions and developmental particulate matter predictions. * Sept. 30, 2014 Completed Complete the transition of air quality upgrade to emissions/chemistry. Q1FY15 On schedule Estimated Benefits: Provide predictive information to help prevent loss of life and adverse health impacts from exposure to poor air quality (Exposure to fine particulate matter and ozone pollution leads to premature deaths: 50,000+ annually in the US, Science, 2005; recently updated to 100,000 deaths; Fann, 2011, Risk Analysis). Complete the transition of HYSPLIT upgrade to operations. * Sept. 30, 2014 Completed * Program milestones not in AOP Issues/Risks Finances Y G Funding Sources 1. $755K carryover from FY13 Air Quality Forecasting. 2. $865K from FY14 Air Quality Forecasting. Issue: Schedule delay for completion of AOP milestone "Complete the transition of air quality upgrade to emissions/chemistry" from FY14 Q4 to FY15 Q1. Mitigation: did not have adequate access to WCOSS computing resources. Began real-time testing of upgraded code at EMC in July and transitioned to pre-implementation parallel testing at NCO in October, postponing the implementation to FY15 Q1. Obligation Status Per AA guidance of Dec 18, 2013, OST coordinated FY14 tasks with NCEP and OAR/ARL based on FY13 carryover funding and appropriated FY14 funding. Transferred $375K to NCEP and $375K to ARL from FY13 carryover funding. From FY14 funding, $300K was transferred to NCEP, $294K to ARL and $32K to MDL; OST obligated $151K on a support contract. Testing of code updates for CMAQ was delayed while developers Execution Status As of September 30th all planned BOPs were completed transferring funds to NCEP and ARL. $742K of FY13 funds and $781K of FY14 funds have been obligated. Carryover was requested for the remaining $10K of FY14 funds. Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target Y G R

  23. Weather Ready Nation Initiatives and Pilot Projects Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Kevin Scharfenberg Milestone Date Status Sep 30, 2014 End-of-term report on WRN Pilot Projects Completed Scope: 1) Draft end-of-term report on WRN Pilot Projects 2) Proposal to develop a system of metrics to measure efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services (DSS) 3) Draft WRN Implementation Plan for FY15 Proposal to develop a system of metrics to measure efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services and progress toward enabling Weather- Ready Nation goals for NWS Leadership Sept. 30, 2014 Completed Evaluation of proposed DSS metrics at WRN Pilot Project Offices Sept. 30, 2014 Estimated Benefits: 1) Best practices and lessons learned identified for future WFO evolution. 2) Measurements identified for efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services. 3) Implementation Plan links AOP and PGM to WRN Roadmap. Completed Sep 30, 2014 WRN Implementation Plan for FY15 Completed Issues/Risks Finances G G Risks: 1) 2) Pilot budget LWF: $174K non-labor budget allocation, executed $118.3K. Pilot Project final report draft completed with no issues. Metrics proposal to develop a system of metrics has been completed; but examination of metrics used by the pilot project offices on efficacy of DSS yielded unsatisfactory results (were neither sufficiently quantitative nor based on societal outcomes of DSS efforts). WRN Implementation Plan draft completed with no issues. Metrics LWF: $115K (STI) contract support awarded WRN Implementation Plan support LWF: $150K (AFS) contract support awarded Annual options for FY15-16-17 3) Mitigation: Metrics Social science contractor has been brought on board to help improve societal outcome-based metrics through Q4/FY15. Will include further field testing with goal of finding satisfactory outcome-based DSS metrics. Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  24. NOAA NextGen Weather Program: Science and Applications Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Lead: Jason Chasse, Program Manager Jason replaced Mark Miller as PM effective Oct 1, 2014 Aviation Forecast Verification Tool PDR 11/29/13 Comp. 11/20/13 Scope: 1) Develop, deploy, and support capabilities in a multi-agency effort to improve and enhance weather information and services to facilitate more efficient management of the National Airspace System Estimated Benefits: KDP for INSITE V3 development 12/31/13 Comp. 12/17/13 MRMS test software transferred to NCO 1/7/14 Comp. 12/17/13 GLAMP Convective Enhancements Operational 3/31/14 Comp. 4/8/14 INSITE V3 delivery 6/1/14 Comp. 6/1/14 1) Adverse weather impacts on air transportation cost nearly $30B annually; FAA estimates 2/3 are preventable, saving nearly $20B in economic impacts 2) Greater access to better weather information developed by NextGen Program critical to realizing these savings 3) NextGen capabilities and improvements extensible across NWS service areas GLAMP C&V Enhancements Running Experimentally 6/30/14 Comp. 9/30/14 MRMS IOC at NCEP (NWS AOP Milestone) 9/15/14 Comp. 9/29/14 Issues/Risks Finances G G Risks and Issues: 1) NWS Forecast Process Evolution (R) 2) FAA Weather Requirements Instability (R) Funding Sources: 1) $3,767,000 Aviation Weather PPA (ORF) Non-labor 2) $851,880 Sandy Supplemental for MRMS Implementation Mitigation: 1) Obligation Status 1) FY14: $3,610,920 Obligated 2) FY13: $794,089 Obligated FY14: $57,306 Obligated Working with Digital Aviation Services to define aviation forecast process and identify how it fits in the broader NWS processes Engaging senior management in NWS and FAA, and working with FAA to participate in requirements development process 2) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  25. Sandy Supplemental Project #NWS-13: Blend of Global Models Project Status as of: 30 Sept. 2014 Scheduling Milestone Date Status Project Information and Highlights G Lead: Kathryn Gilbert -Project Manager, Steve Lord - Technical Advisor G Review and finalize project scope with Plenary Team 12/17/2013 Completed Develop initial set of blended guidance for limited internal evaluation 6/30/2014-9/30/14 Completed Scope: 1) Apply emerging and mature research together with existing techniques in post- processing to develop optimal guidance from numerical guidance information Develop and test an improved verification product set that minimizes bias and can be used to verify the blended output Test and prepare for implementation an initial product set consisting of sensible weather elements comprising the National Digital Forecast Database Fully support , and work together to improve, an agreed upon proxy for truth for use in calibration and verification by NCEP centers, MDL, and NWS Regions. Downscale GFE, MDL and NCEP guidance supporting NDFD to a consistent terrain Reach Key Decision Point to proceed with full evaluation 9/30/2014 Complete Develop standard NWS terrain to ensure consistency between NDFD, RTMA and blended output (Raytheon task) 9/30/2014 Delayed to Q2FY15 2) Expand prototype blended guidance and develop tools to evaluate performance for stakeholder review 2/2015 On track 3) 4) RTMA/URMA upgrade HRRR NAMnest blend background, add Tmx/Tmn 2/2015 On track RTMA/URMA upgrade to expand CONUS domain, upgrade obs QC 9/2015 On Track 5) Common NWS terrain file implemented at EMC, MDL, and AWIPS II 9/2015 Begun Estimated Benefits: Prototype blended guidance ready for evaluation 9/30/2015 On track 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) Provides initial optimized guidance for forecasters Provides improved verification product set for future use Improves consistency in the official NWS forecast Promotes a common analysis for downscaling, verification, and calibration Minimizes edits at WPC and WFOs due to terrain differences Implement first phase of blended guidance on WCOSS 12/2015 Not begun Implement final phase on WCOSS 4/2016 Not begun Complete the publication of training modules 6/2015 Not begun Y Issues/Risks Finances Risks & Issues: 1) Available science/technology may not meet goals of project 2) ECMWF may not allow its products to be used in blender 3) WCOSS phase-2 upgrade schedule reduces the availability of the backup machine for development. 4) More effort needed to communicate goals of this project to the field 5) AOR for calibration and verification still needs improvement Mitigation: 1) Use current products and techniques as performance benchmark 2) NWS and ECMWF are proceeding to complete Cooperative Agreement. Techniques will allow for blended output with or without ECMWF inputs 3) Increase use of Zeus for development work. 4) Outreach team led by NWSEO and field reps will improve transparency of project, National webinar scheduled for November 12. 5) RTMA/URMA upgrades are progressing, MDL viewer is improving feedback mechanisms. G Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplement (Gap Mitigation- Leveraging European Models) - $2,185,530 Spend Plan: 1) $340 K to ESRL/PSD 2) $843 to EMC ($560 K for RTMA/URMA, $283 K to NAEFS PP/GEFS Reforecasts) 3) $174 K to NCO 4) $723.5 K to OST/MDL 5) $105K for Training Grant CIRA/COMET Status: 1) All funds obligated. Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed G Y On Target V.2013 05 08

  26. Storm Surge Warning Project Status as of: 3 Oct 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Lead: Jamie Rhome, Project Manager G Milestone Date Status Implement Operational P-Surge 2.0 (NAVD-88, AGL, Tide, 6hr) July 8, 2014 Completed Scope: 1) Develop and transmit an experimental storm surge warning graphic by 2015 Develop a new collaborative process in AWIPS/GFE to enable file sharing between NHC and WFOs for the purpose of creating a new storm surge watch/warning Develop a new national TCV which merges wind and storm surge hazards by 2016 Operationalize/baseline entire system within AWIPS2 by 2017 Re-scope project and develop consensus Aug-Nov, 2014 On Track Reconfiguration of NHC-R for testing and evaluation Sep-Oct, 2014 On Track 2) Test code on AWIPS National Center s testbed system and NHC-N Nov, 2014 On Track Completion of final AWIPS development and delivery to APO Dec, 2014 On Track 3) Upgrade Psurge2.X on WCOSS Jan-Mar, 2015 On Track 4) Finalize NHC Web graphic for experimental offering Apr, 2015 On Track Estimated Benefits: Transition final AWIPS code to WFOs via build 14.x.x Apr, 2015 On Track 1) Increase public awareness of storm surge threats during landfalling tropical cyclones resulting in reduced fatalities Improve efficiency and effectiveness of tropical cyclone evacuations Improve efficiency and effectiveness of NWS tropical cyclone watch/warning collaboration process and dissemination Conduct forecast training at NHC and WFOs Apr-May, 2015 On Track Complete end-to-end test May, 2015 On Track 2) 3) 2015 Milestone of Experimental Storm Surge Watch/Warning graphic and public comment period June 1, 2015 On Track Issues/Risks Finances G Y Risks: 1) 2) NHC-N unable to handle final AWIPS code in 2015 Lack of necessary staffing at NHC Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplemental (Line 7): $245.3K 2) Sandy Supplemental (Line 23): $990.6K Mitigation: 1) Status: 1) 2) Additional APO/Raytheon support and/or modification of NHC-N NHC pursuing staffing options via NCEP OD All funds received. All funds received. 2) Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed Y On Target G V.2013 05 08

  27. Enabling Ecological Forecasting Project Status as of 1October2014 G G Scheduling Project Information and Highlights Task/Milestone Target Status Expand Vibrio pathogen models to 4 domains Q2 2014 Completed Leads: Anthony Siebers / David Plummer Requirements analysis July 2014 Completed Scope: VIIRS visualization plugin in CAVE>NCP July 2014 Completed Ocean Color imagery data/viz plugin Oct 2014 On Track Demonstrate suitability of AWIPS2 software, hardware and dataflow capabilities for the emerging ecological forecasting requirements of NOAA Gridded data displays in CAVE>NCP Nov 2014 On Track GNOME (General NOAA Operational Modeling Environment) trajectory model data/display Jan 2015 On Track Expected Benefits: Water samples data/viz plugin Feb 2015 On Track Health Reports data/viz plugins Mar 2015 On Track Utilizing NWS infrastructure to enable NOAA ecological forecasting process NOS inclusion into an operationally-supported framework and conops PGEN support for HAB Q3 2015 On Track Final product generation (PDF?) Q4 2015 On Track Finances G G Issues/Risks: (* = new) 1. Unable to complete prototyping because AWIPS2 architecture does not support one or more NOS data or display requirements Mitigation: Determine what advances would be needed to implement requirements. Associated Costs: NCO 1 Contractors - $150K FY14, $150K FY15 Funding Sources: EF Funding through STI 1. R Y G Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target v1.0 10/02//06

  28. Training Project Status as of: 30 September 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Milestone Date Status LeRoy Spayd, Chief Training Division, OCWWS John Ogren, Director, NWS Training Center WCM/DSS Bootcamp class held at NWSTC Dec 13, 2013 Complete Begin WSR-88D DLOC workshops at WDTB Jan 27, 2014 Complete Scope: 1) Hold Fall Protection class in PR Jan 31, 2014 Complete Provide training and education to all NWS staff to help them meet the duties of their position. This includes maintenance training for technicians, science infusion training for SOOs and forecasters, DSS training for WCMs and forecasters, safety training for staff and those who climb towers, appropriate law and budget officer training, leadership and management training, training for new hires, and training for advanced warning operations. Conduct first of 4 DSS Bootcamps at OPG Mar 20, 2014 Complete 2) Post AWIPS-2 Delta training on Web for ESAs Mar 31, 2014 Complete Conduct last of 4 DSS Bootcamps at OPG Aug 29, 2014 Complete Conduct last of 2 Management & Supervision class at TC Sept 19, 2014 Complete Estimated Benefits: Release HRRR training FY15Q1 On schedule 1) To meet recommendation in NAPA report "examine NWS training and development strategies and technology to build an improved training and development framework that marries the science, leadership, and decision support skills needed to ensure the success of Weather-Read Nation" Release GFS training FY15Q2 On schedule Complete CLC transition Q4FY15 Need FY15 funds Release Himawari-8 Training for PR/AR Q4FY15 On schedule Issues/Risks Finances G Y Funding Sources: 1) FY13 Carryover Base: $477.3K - includes NWSTC auditorium upgrade 2) FY14 LWF Omnibus: $1,142K 3) NEXRAD: $992K 4) AWIPS: $1,007K 5) ASOS: $116K 6) Dual Pol: $267K 7) NWR: $228K 8) Sustain COOP: $ 100K 9) Sandy Supplemental: $ 921K Obligation Status: 1) FY13 Carryover Base: $441.7K 2) FY14 LWF Omnibus: $1,116K 3) NEXRAD: $932.2K 4) AWIPS: $1,003K 5) ASOS: $98.5K 6) Dual Pol: $266K 7) NWR: $213.5K 8) Sustain COOP: $102K 9) Sandy Supplemental: $918K Issues: 1) 2) Current vacancies will limit ability to expand training to all employees. Decision by DOC to switch LMS vendors effective June 1 presents huge workload for NWS as we are #1 power user within DOC. Mitigation: 1) 2) Will prioritize vacancies waiting for WFMO action. STI plans to fund LMS transition request of $ 85K but funds need to be released very early in 2Q to be executed in time. (Carry over funds requested) Execution Status -On Track Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target

  29. Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Research to Operations Initiative (R2O) Project Status as of: 30 September Scheduling Project Information and Highlights G Lead: Fred Toepfer & Steve Lord Project Managers G Milestone Date Status Complete and Approved Scope:Build NGGPS - Coupled NWP to 30 days - for Improved Model Guidance 1) Expand and accelerate critical weather forecasting research to operations 2) Accelerate development and implementation of improved global weather prediction models 3) Improve data assimilation techniques 4) Improve software architecture and system engineering 5) Promote hurricane forecast models that meet societal requirements 2014 Appropriation Spend Plan 06/25/2014 Planning Teams submit near- and long- term plans 05/28/2014 Complete Begin Coupled System Development using NEMS 04/01/2014 Begun NGGPS Implementation Plan 9/30/2014 Complete Internal Grant Awarded 3/31/2015 AO Posted Estimated Benefits: 1) Address growing service demands 2) Increased accuracy and lead time for high impact weather forecasts 3) More reliable probabilistic forecasts 4) Effectively mitigate economic disruption from hurricanes and other predictable weather phenomena 62 Proposals Received External Grants Awarded 4/15/2015 Complete phase-1 dyn.core evaluation Q3FY15 On schedule NEMS Physics Interoperability Interface Implemented 9/30/2015 Begun Demonstrate Coupled NWP System Q1FY16 Not Begun Issues/Risks Finances Y G Risks & Issues: 1. Most of R2O funding carried over a) Additional R2O funds were received after AGO deadlines b) Subordinate to obligating Sandy Supplemental Funds 2. Increased WCOSS Developmental Computing Capacity Needed 3. Coordination with/completion of effort started under Sandy Supplemental Appropriation Funding Sources: FY 2014 ORF $14,297,934 $7,797,934 03/12/2014 $3,000,000 07/08/2014 $3,500,000 07/24/2014 Obligation Status: FY2014 1,457,000 $500,000 CPO & NCEP Joint Support for Grants $650,000 ESMF CIRES grant support $307,000 PO Mitigation 1. Carryover of funds to be obligated 1Q and 2Q FY2015 2. Waiting for WCOSS upgrade decision to increase Developmental Computing Capacity 3. Close coordination with HIWPP and Gap Mitigation Effort Carry Over $12,840,934 to be obligated first half FY2015 Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08

  30. Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) HFIP Project Status as of: 1 October, 2014 Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Lead: Fred Toepfer, Project Manager Evaluate /report results of 2013 experiments 03/31/2014 Completed Upgrade HWRF for 2014 hurricane season 06/01/2014 Completed Scope: 1) Improve numerical hurricane forecast system to reduce error in track and intensity by 50% (20% in first 5 years) Make better use of observing systems and define requirements for future systems to enhance research and operations capabilities Expand and improve forecaster tools and applications to enhance model guidance Experimental HWRF in WPAC (started 06/01/2013) 12/01/2014 Begun 2) Update consolidated HFIP Products webpage 07/01 2014 Complete 3) Acquire & Install additional HPC capacity in Boulder 08/01/14 Complete Estimated Benefits: 1) Reduce Unnecessary Evacuations a) Increase accuracy and reliability of hurricane track and intensity forecasts b) Extend forecast skill beyond 7 days c) Improve prediction of rapid intensification; reduce false alarms 2) Overall reduction in preventable losses 08/01/2014- 10/31/2014 Real-time experiment for 2014 hurricane season Begun Plan, Develop and Demonstrate HWRF/COAMPS-TC Multi-model ensemble (joint EMC-NRL effort) 06/01/2015 Begun Issues/Risks Finances G G Risks & Issues: Funding Sources: 1) $6,662,062 Sandy Supplemental Carryover (HS) 2) $9,274,827 FY2014 ORF 3) $3,854,578 FY2014 PAC Mitigation Obligation Status All of Sandy Supplemental obligated ; $2,360 will carryover All ORF funds obligated; $604,773 will carryover to cover anticipated SBIR and about one-half of FY15 FFO extensions All PAC funds obligated; $49,892 will carryover Execution Status HS funds: NOAA organizations and labs contracts and grants executed ORF funds: PO support contracts, MOU extensions for NRL, NSF (TCMT, MMM & DTC); NOAA organizations and labs transfers complete contracts and grants; University Grants Federally Funded Opportunities executed PAC funds : O&M support and HPC upgrade Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08

  31. Backup slides

  32. Improving Arctic Sea Ice Prediction Services Project Information and Highlights NCEP (CPC, OPC, EMC, NCO), AR Scheduling Lead: G G Milestone Date Status Scope: 1) Develop seasonal outlooks for Arctic Sea Ice melting and freezing time Use Pan Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation (PIOMAS) sea ice analysis to initialize sea ice in CFS v2 Provide experimental seasonal outlook for melting/freezing time for 2015 season 2) Enhance short range (1-3 days) Alaska Region sea ice forecast services Incorporation realtime Evaluation Environment Canada and U.S. Navy operational sea ice forecast model guidance into NWS operational data flow and AWIPS-2 Incorporate model guidance to enhance AR operational sea ice forecast products and DSS services Incorporate NESDIS Synthetic Aperture Radar winds/ice product display capability into AWIPS II for AR and OPC Develop a plan to incorporate NCEP ice drift prediction into AR ice operations Establish Navy Arctic Cap model data to NCEP (NCO) Complete Establish data flow for EC RIPS model data to NCEP (NCO) Q4 On Track Begin sea ice initialization development using PIOMAS (CPC) Complete Incorporate Navy model guidance into AWIPS-2/NCP (OPC) Q1FY15 On Track Incorporate Canadian model guidance into AWIPS-2/NCP (OPC) Q2FY15 On Track Extending AR sea ice service from 5 to 7 days/week Complete Experimental/operational enhanced sea ice forecasts (AR) Q1FY15 On Track Develop a plan to incorporate NCEP ice drift predictions into AR operations (AR, EMC) Q1FY15 On Track Develop netCDF4 decoder / plug-in for AWIPS II for RADARSAT-2 SAR winds/ice (NCO) Q2FY15 On Track Estimated Benefits: 1) Seasonal sea ice outlook for melting/freezing time to support marine transportation/recreation planning, and support BOEM for management for Arctic oil/gas exploration activities; Enhanced DSS services to a broad Alaska coastal and marine users Complete the sea ice initialization development (CPC) Q1FY15 On Track Complete hindcasts melting season (CPC) Q2FY15 On Track 2) Complete hindcasts freezing season (CPC) Q3FY15 On Track Issue experimental melting outlook for 2015 season (AR, CPC) Q2FY15 On Track Issue experimental freezing outlook for 2015 season (AR, CPC) Q3FY15 On Track Coupled operational atmosphere-ocean-wave-sea ice NWP model demonstrated (EMC) Q3FY16 On Track Issues/Risks Finances Issues: 1) 2) Funding Sources: 1) LFW/STI for CPC: $150K (FY14,FY15) 2) LFW for NCO: $50K (FY14) 3) LWF/STI for OPC: $50K (FY14,FY15) 4) LWF for AR: $200K (FY14,FY15) 5) STI for EMC: Base FTE and contactor support + NGGPS development funds G G Need R&D HPC resource. NOAA R&D HPC resource is over subscribed Navy Arctic Cap Model to be discontinued once capability is fully integrated into Navy Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) Initial reliance on outside sources for ice prediction services Re-distribution of NAVY GOFS output limitations or restrictions? For coupled demonstration, waves are not a critical element. Mitigation: 1. Demonstrate coupled model capability 3) 4) 5) Status: Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed On Target Y G V.2013 05 08

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