Credit Exposure Update and Monthly Highlights for ERCOT Public - July 2023

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Stay updated on the credit exposure and market trends for ERCOT in July 2023. Discover insights on total potential exposure, discretionary collateral, adjustment factors, and more. Explore detailed analysis and data to make informed financial decisions.

  • Credit Exposure
  • ERCOT
  • Financial Analysis
  • Market Trends
  • Collateral

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Presentation Transcript


  1. Credit Exposure Update Credit Finance Sub Group ERCOT Public July 2023

  2. Monthly Highlights May 2023 June 2023 Market-wide average Total Potential Exposure (TPE) slightly increased from $1.10 billion in May 2023 to $1.46 billion in June 2023 TPEA increased due to higher forward adjustment factors and Real-Time and Day-Ahead Settlement Point prices Discretionary Collateral is defined as Secured Collateral in excess of TPE,CRR Locked ACL and DAM Exposure Average Discretionary Collateral increased from $3.10 billion in May 2023 to $3.66 billion in June 2023 No unusual collateral call activity 2 PUBLIC

  3. TPE and Forward Adjustment Factors Jun 2022 - Jun 2023 *TPE adjusted to exclude short pay entities eliminating data skew 3 PUBLIC

  4. TPE/Real-Time & Day-Ahead Daily Average Settlement Point Prices for HB_NORTH Jun 2022 - Jun 2023 * TPE adjusted to exclude short pay entities eliminating data skew 4 PUBLIC

  5. Available Credit by Type Compared to Total Potential Exposure (TPE) Jun 2022- Jun 2023 Numbers are as of month-end except for Max TPE Max TPE is the highest TPE for the corresponding month TPE less Defaulted Amounts: TPE Short-Paid Invoices 5 PUBLIC

  6. Discretionary Collateral May 2023 - June 2023 * Discretionary Collateral adjusted to exclude short pay amounts eliminating data skew 6 PUBLIC

  7. TPE and Discretionary Collateral by Market Segment - Jun 2023* Load and Generation entities accounted for the largest portion of discretionary collateral *Discretionary collateral doesn t include Unsecured Credit Limit or parent guarantees 7 PUBLIC

  8. Discretionary Collateral by Market Segment Jun 2021 - Jun 2023 * Discretionary Collateral adjusted to exclude short pay amounts eliminating data skew 8 PUBLIC

  9. TPEA Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; and 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice TPEA closely approximates actual/invoice exposure TPEA adjusted to exclude short pay entities eliminating data skew 9 PUBLIC

  10. TPEA Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice *TPEA exceeds invoice exposure *TPEA adjusted to exclude short pay entities eliminating data skew 1 0 PUBLIC

  11. TPEA Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice *TPEA generally exceeds invoice exposure 11 PUBLIC

  12. TPEA Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice Invoice exposure generally exceeds TPEA TPEA adjusted to exclude short pay entities eliminating data skew 1 2 PUBLIC

  13. TPEA Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice * TPEA generally exceeds Invoice exposure 1 3 PUBLIC

  14. TPES Coverage of Settlements May 2022 - May 2023 Invoice Exposure Historical Future Existing Invoice Exposure RTLCNS + UDAA M1 Days (including current day) Forward Charge Invoice Amounts New Invoice Exposure 7 Days Back Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits) M1 Days (including current day) Forward Net Invoice Amounts (Charges & Credits); Excluding: 1) Securitization Invoices; 2) CRR Auction Invoices; 3) Subchapter N Funds Distribution Invoice *TPES exceeds actual/invoice exposure 1 4 PUBLIC

  15. Questions 1 5 PUBLIC

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