Data Mining and Football Predictions
Explore the intersection of data mining and football predictions, showcasing innovative strategies for accurate results. From logistic regression to competitor analysis, uncover novel approaches to targeted audience engagement and team contributions in the realm of football analytics.
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Presentation Transcript
Ximing Yu Ying Jin Cai Chen
Business Model Targeted audience attract targeted advertisements $ Co-operate with betting companies by bringing in new customers through our bond with the visitors Charged membership service such as more critical information expose
Data Mining Logistic Regression: Probability of each class label Input Pool(23 input) week, h/a points4week, h/a points10week, h/a points30week, h/a teamhomeawaywinratio, h/a drawratio, h/a avggoalfor10week, h/a avggoalfor40week, hometeamhomewinratio, awayteamawaywinratio, hometeamhomedrawratio, awayteamawaydrawratio, h/a avggoalagainst10week, h/a vggoalagainst40week Output: Result(hw-home win, aw-away win, draw-dr)
Data Mining Accuracy: 85% Average Odds as benchmark Predicted Probability V.s. Probability from odds Match hwin 0.65 0.52 0.82 0.84 0.70 0.44 0.45 0.38 0.14 0.68 draw 0.21 0.30 0.12 0.10 0.19 0.28 0.28 0.52 0.25 0.21 awin 0.13 0.17 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.26 0.25 0.08 0.60 0.10 hwin 0.546 0.599 0.692 0.684 0.575 0.451 0.374 0.438 0.309 0.37 draw 0.298 0.264 0.219 0.236 0.277 0.343 0.336 0.316 0.381 0.415 awin 0.156 0.138 0.089 0.08 0.148 0.206 0.29 0.246 0.31 0.215 Napoli - Atalanta Udinese - Bari AS Roma - Cagliari Inter - Chievo Juventus - Parma Palermo - Sampdoria Genoa - AC Milan Bologna - Catania Livorno - Lazio Fiorentina - Siena
Novelty Google App Engine Intelligent Spider Data Duration: 12 Years Quick Search Engine for Clubs and Players
Competitor Analysis Rich History Data Information Integration Website Entertain Prediction BetExploror Football- Italian La Gazzetta dello Sport.it BetSmart
Team Contribution Team Member Tasks Architecturing, Spidering Data pre-processing Ximing Yu Ying Jin Web Design, Data Mining, API Integration Project Manager, API Integration, Data Mining Cai Chen
