Democracy Update in Indonesia: Concurrent Local Election Impact
Indonesia's 2018 local elections were a crucial test for political parties, election organizers, and candidates, setting the stage for the upcoming presidential election. The strategic implications of the election results, especially in key provinces, will shape future political landscapes and coalition formations.
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Presentation Transcript
Democracy Update in Indonesia Bambang EC Widodo
Concurent local election 2018 In 2018, Indonesia held 171 local election : 17 provinces, 39 cities, and 115 District Very important election because : the last local election before presidential election in 2019. This election can be regarded as a warm-up of political machines owned by political parties participating in the election. Victory and defeat in this election have a strategic meaning for all political parties, namely whether their political machines work or not in collecting votes to win the candidates they hold. These political machines need to be tested and recalibrated before they are actually used in actual combat, namely fighting for the highest political positions in the executive and legislative branches.
Second, in the pattern of a very pragmatic and fluid regional election coalition, it can be a field of trial for the ability of political parties to manage issues and manage conflict with changing coalitions in every political entity. The 2018 simultaneous regional election could be a rehearsal for political parties in managing political issues and conflicts. Third, for election organizers in this case the KPU and Bawaslu, the simultaneous local election implementation in 2018 could be a means to check the readiness to hold the 2019 simultaneous general election, even though the election organizer recruitment process is in progress and processes simultaneously with the simultaneous regional election, there is still enough time for KPU and Bawaslu improve and fix the shortcomings and weaknesses in the practice of holding elections by studying and evaluating this 2018 simultaneous local election.
Fourth, the 2018 simultaneous local election became politically strategic because it was implemented in several strategic provinces. Call it West Java, Central Java, East Java, South Sulawesi, North Sumatra and South Sumatra, these provinces are the provinces with the largest number of voters as well as contributing to the largest legislative seats. Legislative candidates who are projected to fight over seats in the simultaneous elections in 2019 from the electoral districts in this strategic province, will take advantage of the momentum of this election as well as to start building political communication with the voting community. For the organizers and participants of the election, the 2018 election can be said to be very strategic to check preparations for the implementation of the general election in 2019.
Simultaneous local election results on June 27, 2018, basically will provide an overview for political parties participating in the election about the will of voters, issues of concern and patterns of voting behavior that characterize the results of simultaneous elections in 2018. both for short term issues and long term issues. On the other hand the results of the 2018 simultaneous local election will provide an overview of the real political power of political parties in the strategic provinces, so that it will determine the coalition patterns that will be formed in the 2019 presidential election. , then whoever wins in the elections in the strategic provinces will influence the determination of the victory in the 2019 presidential election.
2018 Local Election Result (Provincial) Province North Sumatera The Winner Edy Rahmayadi Musa Rajekshah Coalitions PAN,PKS,NASDEM, GOLKAR,HANURA, GERINDRA PAN,PKS,Nasdem Nasdem, Hanura, PAN 1.394.438 Vote 2.986.648 Riau South Sumatera Syamsuar Edy Natar Herman Deru- Mawardi Yahya Arinal Djunaidi - Chusnunia Ridwan Kamil UU Ruzhanul Ulum Ganjar Pranowo- Taj Yasin 799.289 Lampung Golkar, PAN,PKB 1.548.506 West Java Nasdem, PKB,PPP,Hanura PDIP,Nasdem,PPP,De mokrat,Golkar 7.226.254 Central Java 10.362.694
2018 local election result East Java Khofifah Indar Parawansa Emil Dardak Wayan koster Tjokorda Oka Artha Ardana Sukawati Zulkifliemansyah Sitti Rohmi Djalillah Viktor Laiskodat- Josef Nai Soi Sutarmidji-Ria Norsan Isran Noor-Hadi Mulyadi Demokrat, Golkar, Nasdem, PPP,PAN, Hanura, PKPI PDIP, PKPI,PAN,HANURA, PKB Demokrat, PKS 10.465.218 Bali 1.213.075 West Nusa Tenggara 811.945 East Nusa Tenggara Nasdem, Golkar, Hanura PKB, Golkar, Nasdem, PPP,Hanura, PKS PKS,PAN,Gerindra 838.213 West Kalimantan 1.334.512 East Kalimantan 417.711
2018 local election result South Sulawesi Nurdin Abdullah Andi Sudirman Ali Mazi Lukman Abunawas Ahmad Hidayat Mus- Rivai Umar Murad Ismail- Barnabas Orno PDIP, PKS, PAN 1.867303 Southeast Sulawesi Golkar,Nasdem 495.880 North Maluku Golkar,PPP 176.993 Maluku PDIP, Nasdem, PKB, PPP, Gerindra, PAN,PKPI,Hanura Demokrat, Golkar, Nasdem, Hanura, PAN, PKB, PKS,PKPI,PPP 328.982 Papua Lukas Enembe- Klemens Tinal 1.939.539
Presidensial Election 2019 There are two pair candidates already register to KPU Joko Widodo and KH.Ma ruf Amin Supported by coalition of 9 political party, namely PDIP , Golkar, Nasdem, PKB,PPP, Hanura,PKPI, Perindo,PSI. Prabowo Subianto Sandiaga Uno, supported by coalition of 5 political Party namely : Gerindra, PAN,PKS,Demokrat,Berkarya. The choose of KH Ma ruf Amin as vice president candidate seems like President Joko Widodo worried about the criticize to him that he is not close enough to Islamic group. The increasing issu about relationship between state and islam after the case blasphemy Islam by former governor of Jakarta, become more important in the next presidensial election.
