DSWG Meeting and Retail Demand Response Survey Overview
In this content, you will find information about the DSWG meeting with ERCOT staff on December 12, 2022, as well as details on the Retail Demand Response Survey headcounts for 2022. The content covers demand response categories, including 4-Coincident Peak, Advise-Control, Conservation Voltage Reduction, Free Days and/or Time Periods, Indexed Day Ahead, and more. Get insights into annual surveys of REP and NOIE administered demand/price response programs from 2013 to 2022.
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DSWG Meeting, ERCOT Staff December 12, 2022
Retail Demand Response Survey Headcounts 2022 Carl L Raish Principal Load Profiling and Modeling DSWG Meeting December 12, 2022
DR Survey Overview Annual surveys of REP and NOIE administered demand/price response programs 2013 2022. Demand response categories: 4-Coincident Peak (4CP) Advise-Control (4CP) - REP/NOIE advises Customers to curtail or directly controls Customer Load on expected 4-Coincident Peak (4CP) days. For NOIEs, a rate incentive also may be provided to the Customer to reduce load. 4-Coincident Peak (4CP) Incentive - (NOIEs only) Rate incentives provided to Customers to encourage or cause them to reduce Load during actual or potential 4CP intervals during summer months (June through September). Customer determines when to curtail Load without advice or control from a NOIE. Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) - (NOIEs only) The NOIE Transmission and/or Distribution Service Provider (TDSP) reduces voltage at selected substations to reduce Load when conservation is needed. Free Days and/or Time Periods (FDH) - (REPs only) Customer is not charged for consumption on specified days of week, holidays, and/or time periods of the day. For example: free nights and weekends. Alternatively, Customer is allowed to designate days during a billing period for which consumption is not charged. Indexed Day Ahead (IDA) - May or may not include fixed pricing for a defined volume of usage, but does include pricing for some or all usage, indexed to the Day-Ahead Settlement Point Prices for the premise Load Zone. Charges are based on Customer's actual interval data. 3 PUBLIC
DR Survey Overview Demand response categories (continued): Indexed Real-Time (IRT) - May or may not include fixed pricing for a defined volume of usage, but does include pricing for some or all usage, indexed to Real-Time Settlement Point Prices. Charges are based on Customer's actual interval data. Indexed Other (IOT) - May or may not include fixed pricing for a defined volume of usage, but does include pricing for some or all usage, indexed to something other than Day-Ahead or Real- Time prices. Other Direct Load Control (OLC) - Agreements that allow the REP/NOIE/third party to control the Customer s Load remotely for economic or grid reliability purposes. This category applies to Direct Load Control (DLC) not associated with other categories. Other Voluntary Demand Response (OTH) - Any retail program not covered in the other categories that includes a Demand response incentive or signal. General conservation messages to all or a majority of a REP s or a NOIE s Customers are not applicable. Peak Rebates (PR) - A retail offering in which the Customer is eligible for a financial incentive paid for Load reductions taken during periods of time identified by the Load Serving Entity (LSE) and communicated to the Customer during the prior day or the event day or both. LSE has defined a method to identify whether a Customer has responded and to quantify the response amount. Payment (rebate) to Customer is based upon the magnitude of the Customer s response. Time of Use (TOU) - Prices that vary across defined blocks of hours, with predefined prices and schedules. (As used here, does not apply to seasonal adjustments.) 4 PUBLIC
Total Participation REPs and NOIEs REP and NOIE Total Participation 2014 763,014 2015 847,498 2016 906,992 2017 978,525 2018 1,231,110 2019 1,165,493 2020 764,773 -34.4% 2021 810,274 2022 692,719 -14.5% REP Percent 11.1% 7.0% 7.9% 25.8% -5.3% 5.9% NOIE Percent N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 395,768 N/A 854,628 115.9% 1,021,005 1,021,005 1,177,944 19.5% 0.0% 15.4% Total Percent 1,626,878 2,020,121 1,785,778 -11.6% 1,831,279 1,870,663 24.2% 2.5% 2.2% 5 PUBLIC
Overall Participation - REPs REP ESIIDs Participating Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 4CP 247 - - - - 156 393 221 418 Block & Index Real Time Pricing Indexed Real Time Indexed Day Ahead Indexed Other Total Indexed 6795 9,534 5,621 14,372 9,806 20,967 16,339 27,153 22,905 47,109 42,090 10,701 103,531 104,471 96,877 170 75,336 1,062 940 - 48 - 17,496 15,155 24,178 37,306 50,058 89,199 97,095 76,398 Other Load Control 19,296 14,927 8,729 7,292 3,597 2,739 10,461 19,428 21,562 Other Voluntary DR 1,458 4,923 35,958 60,489 235,647 6 - 18 18 Peak Rebate 709,664 494,141 512,162 468,484 486,429 502,589 94,329 94,011 82,074 Time Of Use Free Days/Hours Total TOU/FDH 293,314 328,628 336,365 412,493 479,559 587,507 104,094 469,354 573,448 112,799 486,702 599,501 321,121 214,708 535,829 Total Unique ESIIDs 763,014 847,498 906,992 978,525 1,231,110 1,165,493 764,773 810,274 692,719 6 PUBLIC
Overall Participation - NOIEs NOIE Customers Participating Category 4CP Incentive 4CP Advise Control 2018 n/a n/a 2019 223,125 2020 2021 2022 202 217 2,113 51,185 4,080 80,510 72,449 Conservation Voltage Reduction 39,065 118,002 621,865 692,481 737,582 Indexed Real Time 12,402 34 5 5 8 Other Load Control 200,736 176,694 21,118 194,814 194,459 Other Voluntary DR 137,091 325,950 303,385 344,788 356,876 Peak Rebate 2,390 2,040 2,188 2,436 1,321 Time Of Use 4,084 4,703 2,949 3,046 3,593 Total Unique 395,768 854,628 1,021,005 1,021,005 1,177,944 7 PUBLIC
Indexed Pricing - REPs Business 2014 16,495 2015 14,155 5,820 8,335 10,675 1,381 9,020 -14.2% 2016 22,850 7,387 15,463 6,768 1,778 4,764 61.4% 2017 35,657 16,392 19,265 6,458 5,747 56.0% 2018 40,112 26,036 14,076 9,621 8,650 12.5% 2019 73,254 30,868 42,386 9,244 1,561 7,241 82.6% 2020 83,947 58,146 25,801 15,108 1,042 13,828 14.6% 2021 64,101 53,941 10,146 29,992 11,139 1,471 17,382 -23.6% 2022 62,187 45,358 16,793 18,707 1,694 16,752 Total Stayed on Indexed Pricing Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 312 399 538 433 238 261 274 226 442 -3.0% Residential 2014 1,001 2015 1,000 -0.1% 2016 1,328 1,223 32.8% 2017 1,649 24.2% 2018 9,946 9,196 503.2% 2019 15,945 1,001 14,944 8,945 8,532 60.3% 2020 20,524 7,015 13,261 8,682 8,118 28.7% 2021 32,994 7,601 25,407 12,937 12,107 60.8% 2022 14,337 3,849 10,476 29,133 2,935 25,816 -56.5% Total Stayed on Indexed Pricing Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 106 894 895 14 105 836 813 492 14 750 895 17 16 862 899 69 354 59 390 174 627 203 5 6 8 382 876 472 822 2014 2019: Block & Index plus Real-Time Pricing 2020 2022: Indexed Day-Ahead plus Real-Time plus Other 8 PUBLIC
Other Direct Load Control - REPs Business 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total 64 -85.9% 9 6 3 -33.3% 6 4 1 4 10 5 5 1 11 3 8 7 -36.4% 7 2 5 9 4157.1% 298 -26.8% 218 158 60 140 34 - 106 413 209 204 Stayed on OLC Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 4 294 58 15 3 9 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - 43 4 1 7 9 3 7 66.7% 10.0% 89.4% Residential 2014 19,232 2015 14,918 -22.4% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 10,163 1,841 8,322 272.0% 2021 19,210 5,315 13,895 4,848 1,077 3,730 89.0% 2022 21,149 9,764 11,385 9,446 8,975 10.1% Total 8,723 6,809 1,914 8,109 910 7,282 5,513 1,769 3,210 869 3,586 409 3,177 6,873 1,175 2,732 Stayed on OLC Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 9,280 5,638 9,952 3,094 120 6,738 16 2,716 3,570 182 891 75 402 69 60 31 16 14 7 41 7,139 -41.5% 2,310 -16.5% 5,682 -50.8% 3,374 -23.8% 809 9 PUBLIC
Peak Rebate - REPs Business 2014 30,207 2015 32,342 24,127 2016 35,372 25,543 2017 40,612 29,258 11,354 2018 43,754 32,667 11,087 2019 45,257 35,255 10,002 2020 24,395 15,953 36,815 34,917 -46.1% 2021 20,517 15,689 -15.9% 2022 Total 20,350 19,868 -98.9% 216 167 49 Stayed on PR Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 8,442 8,215 6,080 9,829 6,799 160 1,255 5,384 9.4% 4,828 8,706 1,701 430 6,575 6,114 7,945 122 1,561 6,262 7.7% 8,499 187 1,558 6,754 3.4% 85 46 112 64 418 1,190 4,805 7.1% 1,398 4,670 14.8% 1,786 Residential 2014 409,457 2015 461,799 281,256 180,543 128,201 12,969 109,129 2016 476,790 305,673 171,117 156,126 30,091 119,679 2017 427,872 310,882 116,990 165,908 14,633 144,724 -10.3% 2018 442,675 305,022 137,653 122,850 17,949 99,602 2019 457,332 302,491 154,841 140,184 18,420 116,863 2020 69,934 55,933 14,001 401,399 17,830 378,746 -84.7% 2021 73,494 51,978 21,516 17,956 11,865 2022 81,858 57,941 23,917 15,553 13,302 Total Stayed on PR Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 5,706 385 1,844 407 6,103 6,356 6,551 5,299 4,901 4,823 12.8% 3.2% 3.5% 3.3% 5.1% 11.4% 10 PUBLIC
TOU - REPs Business 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1,266 -46.0% 2021 11,839 11,162 1147.5% 2022 13,471 11,027 2,444 13.8% Total 3,007 6,757 1,339 5,418 1,668 4,914 3,262 1,652 3,495 155 215 3,125 -27.3% 3,911 2,927 984 1,987 112 165 1,710 -20.4% 1,699 1,113 586 2,798 148 120 2,530 -56.6% 1,758 928 830 771 949 492 457 Stayed on TOU Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 677 272 30 17 225 812 20 404 388 36 113 46 73 652 3.5% 652 71 543 1,519 124.7% Residential 2014 290,307 2015 321,871 164,944 156,927 125,363 10,059 110,787 2016 331,451 197,011 134,440 124,860 110,066 2017 408,582 204,648 203,934 126,803 112,617 2018 477,860 231,562 246,298 177,020 17,855 153,392 2019 585,749 276,788 308,961 201,072 13,773 181,162 2020 103,145 76,722 26,423 509,027 264,882 6,260 237,885 -82.4% 2021 100,960 69,162 31,798 33,983 11,044 22,404 -2.1% 2022 307,650 79,755 227,895 21,205 1,100 19,482 204.7% Total Stayed on TOU Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase 9,994 4,800 9,116 5,070 4,517 5,773 6,137 535 623 10.9% 3.0% 23.3% 17.0% 22.6% 11 PUBLIC
FDH - REPs Business 2020 2021 2022 Total 990 - 990 - - - - 885 645 240 345 34 22 289 352 226 126 659 176 28 455 Stayed on FDH Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase -10.6% -60.2% Residential 2020 2021 485,817 264,398 221,419 203,966 11,037 187,965 2022 214,356 125,557 88,799 360,260 119,262 235,939 -55.9% Total 468,364 Stayed onFDH Gains Losses Loss Different Program Loss - Deenergized Loss - No Program Percent Increase - 468,364 - - - - 4,964 5,059 3.7% 12 PUBLIC
ERS Dec22Mar23 SCT Procurement Mark Patterson Manager Demand Integration DSWG Meeting December 12, 2022
ERS Dec22Mar23 SCT Procurement For each of the 8 ERS Time Periods there were significant increases in the offer prices for the last couple MWs ERS Rule 25.507 paragraph (b)(2) allows ERCOT to reject any offer that is determined to be unreasonable Upon review with ERCOT Executive Management, PUCT Staff, and IMM, ERCOT rejected offers that were determined to be unreasonable 14 PUBLIC