ECMWF GEO Contributions: Weather Prediction Expertise & Environmental Services
Explore ECMWF's significant contributions to GEO, including expertise in weather prediction, observing system experiments, reanalysis work, and atmospheric environmental services such as climate forcing, pollutant transport, and air quality data provision.
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Presentation Transcript
Future ECMWF Contributions to GEO Main contributions to GEO offered by ECMWF: - Long-standing expertise in numerical weather prediction - Observing System Experiments (OSEs) - TIGGE - MACC - Reanalysis work Participation: - Ministerial meetings - Plenary meetings - GEO HLWG - User Interface Committee (UIC) Slide 1 - Science and Technology Committee (STC) GEPW-5, London, February 2011
Floods in Pakistan ANALYSIS 40 E 60 E 80 E Analysis and ECMWF VarEPS-Monthly Forecasting System 40 N 40 N Precipitation anomaly Verification period: 26-07-2010/TO/01-08-2010 30 N 30 N ensemble size = 51 ,climate size = 90 20 N 20 N Shaded areas significant at 10% level Contours at 1% level 10 N 10 N 40 E 60 E FORECAST 22-07-2010: DAY 5-11 80 E FORECAST 15-07-2010: DAY 12-18 40 E 60 E 80 E 40 E 60 E 80 E 40 N 40 N 40 N 40 N <-90mm 30 N 30 N 30 N 30 N -90..-60 20 N 20 N 20 N 20 N -60..-30 -30..-10 10 N 10 N 10 N 10 N -10.. 0 40 E FORECAST 08-07-2010: DAY 19-25 60 E 80 E 40 E 60 E 80 E FORECAST 01-07-2010: DAY 26-32 40 E 60 E 80 E 40 E 60 E 80 E 0.. 10 40 N 40 N 40 N 40 N 10.. 30 30 N 30 N 30 N 30 N 30.. 60 Slide 2 20 N 20 N 20 N 20 N 60.. 90 10 N 10 N 10 N 10 N > 90mm 40 E 60 E 80 E 40 E 60 E 80 E GEPW-5, London, February 2011
GMES Atmosphere Services related to the chemical and particulate content of the atmosphere Climate forcing by gases and aerosols Weather services Long-range pollutant transport Atmospheric environmental services European air quality provide data & information on Dust outbreaks Solar energy Slide 3 UV radiation Environmental agencies GEPW-5, London, February 2011
MACC Daily Service Provision Air quality Global Pollution Biomass burning Aeros ol UV index Slide 4 GEPW-5, London, February 2011
Implications of coverage differences on trends Temperature anomaly (K) relative to 1989-1998, averaged over all land areas ERA sampled to have same coverage as CRUTEM3 ERA-40 for 1973-1988 ERA-Interim from 1989 Full ERA coverage Slide 5 12months running means GEPW-5, London, February 2011
Reanalyses provide a complete picture of recent trends example: temperature Deg C/decade, 1979-2001 Slide 6 GEPW-5, London, February 2011
