Energy Demand Forecast and Meeting Agenda for Transportation Sector
Explore the latest insights on transportation energy demand forecasts and meeting agendas by the Demand Analysis Working Group 2021. Get informed about model assumptions, stakeholder feedback, and potential exploratory scenarios for policy and behavior changes.
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Presentation Transcript
Demand Analysis Working Group 2021 Transportation Energy Demand Forecast: Inputs and Assumptions July 15, 2021
Purpose of DAWG Meetings Inform stakeholders of model assumptions and changes Solicit input/feedback from stakeholders Better understand stakeholders needs and preferences Connect analysts and contractors with stakeholders
Meeting Agenda Topic Time Facilitator Alex Lonsdale, Energy Commission Jeff Rosenfeld, ICF Misho Penev, NREL Welcome and Introductions 1:00 to 1:15 Preliminary Medium- and Heavy-Duty Attributes 1:15 to 2:00 Hydrogen Fuel Price Discussion 2:00 to 2:45 Break 2:45 to 3:00 Ysbrand van der Werf, Energy Commission Jesse Gage, Energy Commission Travel Demand Recovery From COVID-19 3:00 to 3:15 Light-Duty ZEV Uptake in Government and Rental Segments 3:15 to 3:45 Margaret Cederoth, California High Speed Rail Authority California High Speed Rail 3:45 to 4:15 Wrap-up Discussion and Comments 4:15 to 5:00 All Participants
IEPR Timeline Today: DAWG meeting on inputs and assumptions September: DAWG meeting on load shapes September: Complete statewide forecast results October: Complete regional, load shape, and exploratory scenario(s) forecast results November: Transportation DAWG meeting on forecast results and exploratory scenario results December 2: IEPR Commissioner workshop on forecast results
Potential Exploratory Scenarios The following exploratory scenarios, based on policy and/or behavior changes, are being considered: Policy based scenario including the proposed 2035 statewide ban on ICE LDV sales Policy based scenario incorporating CARB s Mobile Source Strategy and looking at grid impact Behavior change based scenario accounting for increased telework Additional discussion of exploratory scenarios may be subject of a future DAWG meeting.
