
ERCOT Solar PV Rooftop Projections vs. Actual 2023
This image compares the projections versus actual solar PV rooftop installations in ERCOT up to 2023. It shows the conservative, moderate, and aggressive growth scenarios along with the actual data. The graph displays MW capacity from 2016 to 2032, indicating trends and potential outcomes for solar energy in the region.
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Presentation Transcript
Annual Distributed Generation Estimate Thinesh Devadhas Mohanadhas Principal Engineer, Emerging Technologies June 26, 2024
ERCOT Estimated Total DG Growth 2015-2023 (MW) 3k Annual Estimates (MW) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 650 800 1050 1400 1710 2180 2920 3850 4770 2k MW 1k 0k Nat Gas MW > 1 MW Diesel/IC MW > 1 MW Solar MW >1MW Battery MW >1MW Other Nat Gas MW < 1 MW Diesel/IC MW < 1 MW Solar MW <1MW Battery MW < 1 MW Other Renewable MW >1MW Renewable MW < 1 MW 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 PUBLIC
ERCOT Solar PV Rooftop Projections vs Actual 2023 8k 7k 6k 5k MW 4k 3k 2k 1k 0k 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Conservative Moderate Aggressive 3 PUBLIC
Settlement-Only Distributed Generation in ERCOT 2010-2023 1200 450 SODGs Non-Renewable Renewable + Storage TOTALS # Units 332 MW 690 355 1045 400 62 1000 394 350 SODGs are: <10 MW If >1 MW and inject to grid, must register with ERCOT If <1 MW, registration optional 800 300 250 # Units MW 600 200 400 150 100 200 50 0 0 ACCUMULATED MW RENEWABLE MW ACCUMULATED COUNT 4 PUBLIC