European Security in the 21st Century
Explore the future of European security in the context of President Trump's policies, NATO's relevance, conflicts in Europe, and potential defense dynamics. Could rising tensions lead to a reemergence of historical patterns? Delve into this thought-provoking analysis.
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Presentation Transcript
President Trump and the Future of European Security Graham Allison November 14, 2016
Wake Up to Trump Trump on Foreign Policy This video is about Trump on Foreign Policy
Trumps Coordinates on NATO and Europe NATO is obsolete European members are freeloaders NATO committed to defending countries his supporters never even heard of
Europe at War? Conflict Afghanistan (2001- present) Iraq (2003-2011) Troop Contributions 39,500 (peak) European Fatalities 923 53,300 (peak) 306 Conflict Kosovo (1999) Libya (2011) Aircraft Contributions 300 3,800 Sorties 15,000 18,000
Who Would Fight For Estonia? Should our country use military force to defend another NATO ally in a serious military conflict with Russia?
Thucydides 21st Century German Question Is a war between a rising Germany and its European neighbors unthinkable? If in the next decade, Brexit leads to further unraveling of the EU, and the U.S. withdraws its security guarantee and renegotiates its relationship with NATO, could we see a renationalization of defense in Europe? Could we see a reemergence of Thucydidean dynamics?
