Exploring Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Guayas River Basin
Investigating the sensitivity of hydrology to climate change parameters in the Guayas River basin under the 39 MGG context of the RCP8.5 scenario. Assessing effects of climate change planned for 2050-2070 using 39 CMIP5 models to understand water resource uncertainty. Emphasizing the importance of effective policies for adaptation in a changing climate.
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Personal presentation Name: Mercy Ilbay Affiliation: Technical university of Cotopaxi E-mail: mercy.ilbay@utc.edu.ec IPROMO Mountains in a changing climate: Threats, challenges and opportunities 28 September-09 October 2020
Education Agronomist Engineer Master in Irrigation and Drainage Ph.D. in Water Resources Employment and main activities Teacher researcher at the Technical University of Cotopaxi: The chairs in which I develop are: Hydrology hydraulics and water resource management
Other interests Spending time with family, sharing with loved ones is a great deal of happiness I like gardening, I have orchids and I spend time fixing them and observing their beauty
Presentation of a project you are working on 1/3 Competition for water for different uses and users on a different scale is increasing rapidly and environmental issues related to water quality and quantity are high among public and private concerns. Therefore, understanding changes in the course in the climate will enable effective policies for adaptation in a changing climate to be promoted. The impacts of climate change on the environment and society will depend not only on the response of the earth- atmosphere-ocean system, but also on how humanity will cope with these changes through technology, lifestyle, and economic and environmental policies. That's why I'm investigating hydrology's sensitivity to changes in climate parameters, to better understand the uncertainty of water resources in the Guayas River basin under the 39 MGG context of the RCP8.5 scenario.
Presentation of a project you are working on 2/3 This project will assess the effects of climate change planned for 2050 to 2070 for the 1968 2014 reference period were assessed using 39 CMIP5 models under the RCP8.5 emission scenario in the Guayas River basin. In this study we use the monthly standardized precipitation rate (SPI) to assess the impact of climate change on wet and dry scenarios from a meteorological perspective.
Thank for your attention!
