Impact of Gentrification on Voting Trends in Brooklyn Neighborhoods
Investigating the influence of gentrification on voting behaviors in Williamsburg/Greenpoint and Bay Ridge/Bensonhurst/Fort Hamilton/Dyker Heights/Bath Beach neighborhoods of Brooklyn. Analyzing demographics, income levels, educational attainment, and voting patterns to understand the political preferences shaped by neighborhood characteristics.
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Presentation Transcript
Gentrification and Voting Habits Vladislav Borisov, Samip Delhiwala, Luis F. Carrasco
What are we doing? Researching gentrification Question: Does residing in gentrifying neighborhoods affect the voting spectrum of certain demographics? Hypothesis/Theory: Exposure to social/cultural/economic diversity and the entropy of a gentrifying neighborhood has an effect on voting patterns including political party affiliation
Where are we looking? Williamsburg/Greenpoint as a typification of a gentrifying neighborhood Bay Ridge/Bensonhurst/Fort Hamilton/Dyker Heights/Bath Beach as typifications of stabilized neighborhoods grouped together geographically and demographically
How are we looking? 2012 Presidential General Election 2014 American Community Survey Data Assembly Districts 50 & 53 (Williamsburg/Greenpoint) 40 Census Tracts: 563, 579, 575, 565, 561, 573, 589, 557, 517, 569, 571, 591, 593, 449, 499, 515, 555, 553, 519, 501, 497, 477, 488, 495, 503, 513, 523, 549, 547, 525, 545, 535, 533, 539, 537, 531, 529, 509, 507, 485 Assembly Districts 46 & 47 (Bay Ridge/Bensonhurst/Fort Hamilton/Dyker Heights/Bath Beach) 38 Census Tracts: 34, 30, 70, 126, 130, 134, 66, 36, 38, 44, 64, 136, 142, 138, 62, 46, 50, 52, 58, 160, 152, 162, 54, 56, 164, 140, 166, 148, 150, 184, 170, 168, 174, 176, 280, 282, 286, 292
What did we find? Williamsburg/Greenpoint 82.75% white $60,325 median household income 66.35% employed civilian labor force (>=16yrs old) 44.275% Bachelor s degree or more (>=25yrs old) 67,954 total voters | 56,632 (83.3%) voted for Obama Bay Ridge/Bensonhurst/Fort Hamilton/Dyker Heights/Bath Beach 67.75% white $48,486 median household income 52.55% employed civilian labor force (>=16yrs old) 38.225% Bachelor s degree or more (>=25yrs old) 55,076 total voters | 30,732 (55.8%) voted for Obama
What does this mean? Following the same demographic 15% difference in ethnic makeup Less than $12,000 difference in median household income Less than 14% difference in employment patterns 6% difference in educational attainment Reaching difference political preferences General election polarized candidates and voters Insignificant third party voting Significant bias to the left of the political spectrum
Whats Next? Improvements in data resolution Tracking of other factors Matching of tracts across geography to isolate different factors and political shifts Improvements in data collection techniques Tracking voters more effectively and efficiently Tracking voter connections between political and geographic shifts over time
Sources http://vote.nyc.ny.us/downloads/pdf/results/2012/GeneralEle ction/0000010003Kings%20President%20Vice%20President%20Ci tywide%20Recap.pdf 2012 Presidential General Election results vote.nyc.ny.us/html/voters/maps.shtml Assembly district maps American Community Survey 2014 T1, T57, T150, T37
