Implications of Twin Transition on Skills Policy and Labor Market Trends
The intersection of green and digital transitions on skills development, labor market shifts, and the impact of upskilling in the context of the European Green Deal. Discover the evolving job landscape, digitalization trends, and the need for reskilling to address the skills revolution.
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Presentation Transcript
The twin transition as a skills revolution Evidence and implications for skills policy Jasper van Loo, Cedefop department coordinator Public hearing "Competence and skill development in a context of the green and digital transition" European Economic and Social Committee, 17 February 2023
The labour market up to 2035 megatrends make jobs rapidly more skills intensive Job openings in 2021-35 Millions Jobs by skill level 250 + 3% 200 High 36% +32% 46% 150 job openings Medium replacement -7% 100 48% employment change 43% 50 Low -29% 16% 11% 0 Millions -20 0 20 40 60 80 2021 2035 Source: Cedefop skills 2021-35 forecast, unpublished results 2
Digital transition speeding up with the pandemic 87% Adult EU+ workers using digital devices at work 39% Adult EU+ workers work away from employer s premises Covid 19 pandemic and the digital transformation Compared to pre-pandemic, more use of 46% Digital communication tools 44% New digital technology introduced in 2020-21 39% Digital technologies for some work tasks 36% Online job-related learning 35% Digital upskilling to sustain job performance Source: Cedefop 2nd European Skills and Jobs Survey (2021) 3
Just digital transition via up and reskilling people and upgrading jobs Learning potential in digital activities (% adult workers) Use of knowledge and skills in EU+ jobs by qualification level in 2021 100% Small extent Higher 9% 11% 15% 80% Medium Manage or merge databases 81% Moderate extent 39% Basic 41% Use specialised software 50% 60% 46% IT systems, hard/software 87% Browsing, e- mail, social media 20% 40% Prepare presentations 60% Programme or code 92% Great extent Write or edit text 28% 49% 20% 44% Advanced spreadsheets 74% 34% Use spreadsheets 38% 0% Low Medium High Source: Cedefop 2nd European Skills and Jobs Survey (2021) 4
The jobs and skills impacts of greening EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL TRANSITIONS + numbers in thousands About 2.5 million additional jobs in the EU by 2030 Employment benefits in most sectors, but some will be negatively affected (coal mining) Indirect employment benefits mainly for service-based sectors (e.g. information & communication, real estate) Water supply & waste management 961 Construction 487 Wholesale & retail trade Administrative & support services 153 Electricity Basic metals & metal products 97 Health Accommodation & catering Legal, accounting & consulting 79 Architecture & engineering Computer programming/info services 65 - 961 487 193 153 142 97 94 80 79 74 65 193 142 94 80 74 Up-/reskilling for all workers VET for workers transitions in brown sectors (e.g. conventional electricity) IVET to prepare future workers for green(er) jobs numbers in thousands - - 58 58 - - 6 60 0 168 8 Mining & quarrying Gas, steam & air conditioning Coke & refined petroleum - - 16 Forecast employment impact of the EGD (difference EGD forecast scenario and baseline) in selected sectors, EU-27 5
Strategic foresight shows which jobs will drive greening Frontline green jobs Frontline green jobs Construction professional Repair specialist Energy professional Material extraction/recycling/reuse expert Material and process engineers Circular product designers Transport and mobility specialist Environmental protection specialist Greentech specialists Greentech specialists Industrial problem analysts Industrial symbiosis facilitators Hydrogen specialists Urban space specialist Energy expert Circular economy plant designer Agronomists Green management Green management Green/smart city manager Logistics manager (Strategic) waste manager Waste valorisation professional Renewable energy managers Digital specialists Digital specialists ICT professional Data scientists and data analysts E-commerce specialists GPS experts (precision agriculture) Waste sorting optimisation professional Green hearts and minds Green hearts and minds HR specialists Consumer behaviour specialists Sustainability trainers Waste management trainer Citizen engagement specialist Source: Cedefop green skills foresights in cities, circular economy, waste management and agri-food (2022-23) 6
VET/skills systems Thank you Incentives & support Skills intelligence Permaskilling Permaskilling Upgrading jobs Megatrends www.cedefop.europa.eu Follow us on social media
