Insights into Texas Demographic Trends and Census Updates 2021

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Explore the latest data on Texas demographic trends and 2020 Census highlights, including population growth, shifts, and components of change. Stay informed about the evolving landscape in Texas based on the latest research and findings from the Texas Demographic Center.

  • Texas Demographics
  • Census Updates
  • Population Trends
  • Data Analysis
  • Texas Research
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  1. Updates on Texas Demographic Trends and the On-going Research at TDC Commission on Community College Finance Working Group March 7, 2021

  2. Highlights on Texas Demographic Trends from the 2020 Census With 3,999,944 added population between 2010 and 2020, Texas ranked 1stin numeric growth among all the states and was the only state that gained two congressional seats; Texas growth rate of 15.9% more than doubled the growth rate of the nation (7.4%); Over 95% of the state s growth were attributed to the increase of persons of color; The fastest growing areas in Texas are the suburban ring counties, the counties along the I-35 corridor and the golden triangle counties. 143 of the 254 counties in Texas have lost population between 2010 to 2020.

  3. Estimated Population by Community College Service Area, 2020 143 counties lost population 3 SOURCE: Texas Demographic Center

  4. Updates from the Census Bureaus V2021 National and State Population Estimates Since April 1, 2020, the nation s population increased from 331,449,281 to 331,893,745, a gain of 444,464, or 0.13%, the slowest rate since the nation s founding ; With a population of 29,527,941 in 2021, Texas had the largest numeric gain, increasing by 382,436 (1.3%), or 1.1% annual growth.

  5. Estimated Components of Population Change for Texas, 2000-2010, 2010-2020 and 2020-2021 2020-2021 2010-2020 2000-2010 22% 31% 36.6% 48% 54.7% 55% 23% 8.7% 21% SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau. 2020 Evaluation Population Estimates and 2021 Vintage Population Estimates

  6. Estimated Components of Population Change 2011-2021 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Births Deaths International Migration Domestic Migration SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau. 2020 Evaluation Population Estimates and 2021 Vintage Population Estimates

  7. Generational Population Pyramids, Texas, 2010 and 2020 2010 2020 2010 Year of birth 2015 2020 SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 and 2020 Vintage Population Estimates

  8. Population Change by Type of Driving Force in Counties in Texas, 2010-2018

  9. Average Characteristics of Counties by Rural/Urban Status, 2015-2019 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 - Percent HH with Person Aged 65 and Over Average HH Size Percent with Bachelor's Degree or Higher Percent Living in Different County Last Year Percent Born in Texas Percent Foreign Born Percent Language Other than English and ELTVW Metro 1 million plus Metro 250,000-1 million Metro <250,000 Nonmetero Urban Pop > 19,000 Nonmetero - Urban Pop. 2,500-19,99 Nonmetero <2,500 Completely Rural 9 SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2015-2019, DP02

  10. Average Median HH Income and Per Capita Income for Counties by Rural/Urban Status, 2015-2019 $80,000 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- Median HH Income Per Capita Income Metro 1 million plus Metro 250,000-1 million Metro <250,000 Nonmetero Urban Pop > 19,000 Nonmetero Urban Pop 2,500-19,99 Nonmetero Urban Pop <2,500 10 SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample, 2015-2019, DP03

  11. Percent Distribution by Race/Ethnicity of Non-Migrants (Texans), Immigrants, and Net-In Domestic Migrants Aged 25 Years and Over, Texas, 2015-2019 50.0% 45.0% 42.9% 42.1% 39.5% 40.0% 35.0% 29.3% 28.3% 30.0% 26.1% 25.0% 22.0% 21.6% 20.0% 15.2% 15.0% 11.7% 10.3% 10.0% 4.6% 3.3% 5.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0% NHWhite NH Black/African American Hispanic NH Asian NH Other Residents Immigrants Net Domestic Migrants 11

  12. Percent Distribution by Educational Attainment of Texas Residents (Non-Migrants), Immigrants (international) and Net-Migrants (domestic) Aged 25 Years and Over, Texas, 2015-2019 30.0% 28.5% 27.4% 25.3% 25.0% 21.7% 21.3% 19.4% 19.2% 20.0% 18.9% 17.2% 17.0% 16.5% 16.5% 15.0% 10.8% 10.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.0% 7.2% 4.4% 5.0% 0.0% LT HS HS or Equiv Some College No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree Residents Immigrants (International) Net-Migrants (Domestic) SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, PUMS, 5-Year Samples, 2015-2019

  13. Change in Undergraduate College Enrollment by State, 2010 to 2019 70,000 45,803 20,000 (30,000) (80,000) (130,000) (148,341) (180,000) New York Nebraska Nevada Missouri New Jersey Montana Delaware Colorado Michigan Ohio Indiana California Wisconsin Tennessee Massachusetts Pennsylvania Alabama Oregon Washington Iowa Mississippi Arizona Louisiana Hawaii Vermont Florida Texas West Virginia Maine Kentucky Kansas Utah Connecticut Georgia South Carolina Oklahoma Arkansas Wyoming Illinois Minnesota Maryland Puerto Rico Idaho Alaska North Dakota District of Columbia Virginia New Mexico South Dakota New Hampshire Rhode Island North Carolina SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample, 2010-2019 Table B14007

  14. College and Graduate Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2008-2019 900,000 800,000 759,798 708,644 700,000 Hispanic 685,789 600,000 500,000 NH White 438,441 400,000 Black 285,459 300,000 224,917 200,000 Asian 142,856 91,473 100,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates, 2008-2019

  15. Educational Attainment of Persons Age 25 Years and Older by Race/Ethnicity, Texas, 2019 100% Bachelor, Graduate, Professional Degree 16.1% 18.4% 90% 25.7% 80% 39.4% 39.9% 23.8% 70% 60.6% 24.7% Some College or Associate Degree 70.1 % 60% 35.9% 50% 28.4% 31.7% 26.9% High School or Equivelant 40% 15.7% 30% 29.6% 20% 23.3% 13.2% 31.7% 30.0% Less than High School 10% 10.6% 8.8% 5.6% 0% Black Asian Non-Hispanic White Hispanic All Other SOURCE: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 1-Year Sample, 2019

  16. TDC Swipe Map Series https://idser.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=72199d30188d4469a161659dbf0 dd16c 16 Source: US Census ureau, ACS 5-Year Estimate, 2015-2019

  17. Upcoming releases The 2016-2020 American Community Survey 5-year Summary File will be released Mar. 17th; Census Bureau s Vintage 2021 Population Estimates will be released on a rolling bases through June; TDC s 2021 population estimates and population projections for 2020- 2060 will be released in fall.

  18. Helen You, Ph.D. (210) 458-6543 TDC@UTSA.edu Demographics.Texas.gov @TexasDemography

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