Israel Elections 2021 Analysis: Results, Parties, and Voter Turnout
Explore the final official results and analysis of the 2021 elections in Israel, including party maps, evolution of the party system, voter turnout, fragmentation levels, and comparisons with other democracies. Dive into the numbers, party breakdowns, and the effectiveness of the Israeli democracy system.
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Presentation Transcript
The 2021 Elections: Analysis FINAL OFFICIAL RESULTS PROF. OFER KENIG The Israel Democracy Institute
Frequency of Elections, in years averages since 1996 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.0
The Party Map Following the 2021 Elections UTJ 7 Yisrael Beitenu 7 Joint List 6 Yesh Atid 17 Likud 30 Labor Party 7 New Hope 6 Rel. Zionism 6 Yamina 7 Meretz 6 Blue & White 8 Ra am 4 Shas 9
Evolution of the Party System 2009-2021 UTJ Arab Parties Labor Kadima Likud Yisrael Beitenu Shas 3 4 4 3 13 28 27 15 5 11 3 4 2009 Meretz HaTnua Likud Beitenu Yesh Atid Jewish Home 3 4 4 6 15 6 2 19 31 7 11 12 2013 Joint List Kulanu Zionist Union Likud 13 5 24 11 10 30 6 6 7 8 2015 Labor Blue & White 4 6 4 6 35 4 35 5 8 8 5 APR2019 Labor- Gesher Yisrael Beitenu Yamina 13 5 6 33 8 32 7 9 7 SEP2019 Labor-Gesher- Meretz 15 7 33 7 36 7 9 6 2020 Religious Zionism Meretz Labor New Hope Yesh Atid 4 6 6 7 17 8 7 6 30 7 9 7 6 2021
Fragmentation: the Effective Number of Parties 10 8.69 9 8.52 7.84 8 7.28 6.94 7 6 6.77 5.57 6 5.37 6.17 5.61 4.72 5 4.38 4.37 5.05 5.01 5.24 4.92 4 4.39 3.86 3 3.57 3.35 3.13 2 The effective number of parties is an index that reflects the fragmentation level in parliament. It takes into account not only the number of parties but also their proportional size.
Voter Turnout 90 85 78.7 80 72.3 75 71.5 69.8 67.8 70 67.8 68.5 67.4 65 64.8 63.5 60 55 50
Turnout: Israel Compared to Other Democracies (last elections) 72.8 72.975.6 76.278.2 78.782.284.687.188.891.9 66 66.267.3 67.4 53.757.960.861.762.9 48.6
Number of Lists Running for Elections stayed out elected 29 25 16 21 20 19 12 21 11 14 20 21 12 9 15 15 9 2 11 9 6 4 3 3 15 15 15 15 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 12 12 12 11 10 11 10 11 10 10 9 8 16.06.2025
Wasted Votes (votes given to parties which did not pass the electoral threshold) Number of competing parties 26 1984 Electoral Threshold 1% Number of wasted votes 58,978 Share of wasted votes 2.8% Election Year 1988 55,505 2.4% 27 1% 1992 1.5% 130,989 5.0% 25 1996 1.5% 78,550 2.6% 20 1999 1.5% 197,093 6.0% 31 2003 1.5% 131,740 4.2% 27 2006 2% 182,688 5.8% 31 2009 2% 3.1% 33 103,904 2013 2% 7.1% 32 268,795 2015 25 3.25% 189,517 4.5% April 2019 40 3.25% 366,016 8.5% September 2019 29 3.25% 126,704 2.9% 2020 29 3.25% 36,901 0.8% 2021 38 3.25% 64,752 1.5% 16.06.2025
New MKs Yamina 3 Religious Zionism 4 Labor Party 4 19 New MKs Likud, Shas, Blue & White, Meretz and Ra am 1 each Yesh Atid 3 Yisrael Beitenu, UTJ, New Hope and The Joint List none
Incumbent, Newcomers and Returnees new returnees incumbents 1 3 29 1 1 1 13 1 3 1 4 8 4 2 7 7 7 1 6 5 1 3 3 3 1 2 1 Rel. Likud Yesh Atid Shas Blue & White Yamina Yisrael Beitenu Labor Party UTJ New Hope Joint List Meretz Ra'am Zionism 16.06.2025
Women MKs 35 30 30 29 2928 30 27 25 21 20 1817 14 15 11 1112 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 7 5 0 16.06.2025
MKs, by Gender 40 women men 30 8 20 5 22 10 3 1 12 2 1 4 2 2 2 9 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 0 Likud Yesh Atid Shas Blue & White Yamina Yisrael Beitenu Labor Party UTJ Rel. Zionism New Hope Joint List Meretz Ra'am 16.06.2025
Non-Jewish MKs 2015 April 2019 September 2019 2020 2021 Ra am 4 The Joint List 12 12 14 5 Hadash-Ta al 5 Ra am-Balad 4 Zionist Union 1 Labor Party 1 Likud 1 1 1 1 Yisrael Beitenu 1 1 1 1 Meretz 1 1 2 Blue and White total 1 1 1 16 12 14 17 14 16.06.2025
Non-Jewish MKs 17 16 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 11 10 8 7 6 5
Non-Jewish MKs 17 16 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 11 10 8 7 6 5 1981 1984 1988 1992 1996 1999 2003 2006 2009 2013 2015 Apr-19 Sep-19 2020 2021 16.06.2025
