Linking Vital Events to the Longitudinal and Mortality Studies
This content discusses the vital links between longitudinal studies and mortality, as presented at the NISRA Conference in 2013 by Joanne Cartland and Karen McConnell of the Demography & Methodology Branch. It covers the background of NILS/NIMS, the significance of the NILS and NIMS, and the research possibilities they offer through analysis of census and event data. Additionally, it explores the unique features of these databases and the importance of vital events data for demographic research.
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Linking Vital Events to the Longitudinal and Mortality Studies NISRA Conference 13 February 2013 Joanne Cartland & Karen McConnell Demography & Methodology Branch www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Summary of Presentation Background NILS/NIMS Background Vital Events Linking Vital Events to NILS & NIMS www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Background NILS/NIMS www.qub.ac.uk/nils www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
What is the NILS? Longitudinal database NILS Sample members (28% sample) Linked to 2001 Census & Other data www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
What is the NILS? 27 year old Female in 1991 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1991 2001 2011 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
What is the NIMS? Census Record Linkage Study 2001 Census linked to all deaths Linked Census-Mortality Database www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
What NILS Research can be done? Analysis of Census and Event data Analysis of Successive Events Births Migration Mortality Analysis of successive censuses 1991 2001 2011 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Whats Different? Individual Level Microdata High Quality Representative Dataset Security Secure Setting access only www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Background Vital Events www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Vital Events Data General Public General Register Office (GRO) Births, deaths, marriages & civil partnerships Live link to RCM system Data not validated Registrars Courts Service Divorces & civil partnership dissolutions Quarterly download Data not validated RCM system Vital Events Team www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Vital Events Outputs Outputs Quarterly Reports Annual Bulletins Annual Report Baby Names UTV NI couples opt for unusual weddings 25/07/12 Lowest number of deaths yet County Down Spectator, 6/12/12 All reports and data are available at www.nisra.gov.uk/demography It s a flood of Noahs: Biblical name floats the boat of parents The Belfast Telegraph, 21/12/12 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Vital Events Interesting Figures The Numbers Births: 25,000 Deaths: 14,000 Marriages: 8,000 Divorces: 2,000 Civil Partnerships: 100 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Vital Events Interesting Facts The Facts Popular days (2011) Births: 8 & 21 July Marriages: 27 August Popular marriage venues (2011) Clarion Hotel Clandeboye Lodge Popular baby names (2012) Jack, James, Daniel Sophie, Emily, Grace www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Linking Vital Events to NILS and NIMS www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Aims and Method Aims Vital Events Statistics by 2001 Census variables High User Demand (e.g. Education Area-Plans) Highlight potential use of the NILS & NIMS Method Vital Events data linked to NILS/NIMS (SQL) Tables built in Stata Tables exported to MS Excel www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Births Linkage Process 207,905 births to NI mothers (2001-9) 100% (207,905) NILS 28% sample linked (1-1 match) NILS Match NILS data linked to 2001 Census. Unlinked individuals increase each year. Census Match www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Results Births www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Community Background (2001) of Births by Year 100% 80% Percentage of Births 60% 50% 49% 40% 48% 47% 20% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Registration Year www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Protestant & Other Christian Catholic
Community Background (2001) of Births by Year 52% 50% 51% 49% 50% Percentage of Births 49% 48% 48% 47% 47% 46% 45% 44% 43% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Registration Year www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Protestant & Other Christian Catholic
Births to Mothers Aged 35+ by Registration Year 22% 21% 20% Percentage of Births 20% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Registration Year
Results Deaths www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Community Background (2001) of Deceased by Year 70% 65% 66% 63% 60% Percentage of Deaths 55% 50% 45% 40% 36% 33% 35% 30% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Registration Year www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils Protestant & Other Christian Catholic
Age of deceased by Community Background (2001) Deaths Aged Deaths Aged All Ages Community Background Under 50 2001 2005 2009 2001 2005 2009 2001 2005 2009 50 or more Catholic 43% 47% 50% 32% 33% 35% 33% 34% 36% Protestant & Other Christian 54% 50% 46% 67% 66% 64% 66% 65% 63% Other Religions & No Religion 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Note: Percentages may not add to 100 due to rounding. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Household Tenure (2001) of Deceased by Year 70% 60% 64% Percentage of Deaths 50% 49% 40% 25% 30% 22% 20% 24% 10% 4% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Owner occupier 2001 Social rented 2001 Communal establishment 2001 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Summary of Results Births Catholic births marginally greater than Protestant births Deaths Protestant deaths outnumber Catholic deaths (2:1) Increase in births to mothers aged 35 or more Even in 2009 - 4% of deaths were to people who lived in a communal establishment in 2001 www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Future Directions Publish tables on NILS website Use Linked 2011 Census - Vital Events in NILS/NIMS to update figures www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Thank you www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Acknowledgements The help provided by the staff of the Northern Ireland Longitudinal Study/Northern Ireland Mortality Study (NILS/NIMS)and the NILS Research Support Unit is acknowledged. The NILS/NIMS is funded by the Health and Social Care Research and Development Division of the Public Health Agency (HSC R&D Division) and NISRA. The NILS-RSU is funded by the ESRC and the Northern Ireland Government. The authors alone are responsible for the interpretation of the data and any views or opinions presented are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of NISRA/NILS. www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
Linking Vital Events to the Longitudinal and Mortality Studies NISRA Conference 13 February 2013 Joanne Cartland & Karen McConnell Demography & Methodology Branch www.nisra.gov.uk/demography www.qub.ac.uk/nils
