NLPGA Conference 2023: Policy Drive and Rollout Analysis
Explore the comprehensive analysis of policy drive and rollout strategies at the 13th NLPGA Conference scheduled for November 7th and 8th, 2023. Delve into crucial topics such as funding for Autogas conversion, basic assumptions, significance of Autogas adoption, and scenario planning for mini buses, tricycles, and generators.
Download Presentation
Please find below an Image/Link to download the presentation.
The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author. If you encounter any issues during the download, it is possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.
You are allowed to download the files provided on this website for personal or commercial use, subject to the condition that they are used lawfully. All files are the property of their respective owners.
The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author.
E N D
Presentation Transcript
13thNLPGA Conference Nov 7th& 8th2023 Policy Drive & Rollout
Presentation Outline Presentation Outline 1. 1. How Do We Rollout? How Do We Rollout? 2. 2. How Do We Drive? How Do We Drive?
How Do We Rollout? How Do We Fund Any Rollout? How Do We Rollout? How Do We Fund Any Rollout? In order to achieve Autogas we need funds for conversion The Govt is cash strapped, so where do we find funds? Industry has shown strong growth over time: vols now 1.5 MTPA Suppose we levy? Say N10,000/MT (Approx 1.5% of current price) This raises N15 billion per annum That is the first hurdle
What Do We Convert With Levy? Basic Assumptions What Do We Convert With Levy? Basic Assumptions ? Conversion Cost N300,000 N200,000 N50,000 Gas Consumption 9 kg/day 6kg/day 4kg/day Days Operating 24 24 30 Time To Convert 3-4 Hours 2-3 Hours 15 Mins Skill To Convert High Moderate Low User Contribution 50% 50% 50%
Why Do We Have To Have Autogas At All? Why Do We Have To Have Autogas At All? What happens if we do nothing at all Our Industry has shown strong growth over the years: 20% CAGR Should we not just sit tight? What is the base case for growth in the Do Nothing Scenario?
Base Case Scenario: Do Nothing! Base Case Scenario: Do Nothing!
Scenario 1: Convert Mini Buses With 100% Levy Scenario 1: Convert Mini Buses With 100% Levy
Scenario 2: Convert Tricycles With 100% Levy Scenario 2: Convert Tricycles With 100% Levy
Scenario 3: Convert Generators With 100% Levy Scenario 3: Convert Generators With 100% Levy
Clearly There Has To Be a Balance Clearly There Has To Be a Balance
Should We Subsidize 100%? Should We Subsidize 100%?
Presentation Outline Presentation Outline 1. 1. How Do We Rollout? How Do We Rollout? 2. 2. How Do We Drive? How Do We Drive?
How Do We Drive? How Do We Drive? - - We Have More Complex Problems Ahead We Have More Complex Problems Ahead How and where do we roll out: Geographic push? Fuel choice? How do we secure the refuelling outlets without undue regulatory delays thousands will be required? Use existing gas stations? Use add-ons to retail outlets? How do we train the armies of technicians required? How do we certify them? Joint NLPGA-NGA faculty (similar to GasSafe)? The sooner we start to address these issues, the sooner we start pulling back from the brink!
