
NWS Dissemination Portfolio Overview FY 2014
The NWS Dissemination Portfolio FY 2014 Execution Quarterly Review provides a detailed status update as of March 31, 2014, highlighting key milestones, services, and benefits. The portfolio aims to enhance IT infrastructure, improve network reliability, and modernize weather warning and web services for the National Weather Service. It addresses financial risks, capacity enhancements, and operational support, emphasizing the importance of efficient budget management and network capacity improvements.
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Agenda Disseminate Portfolio Overview Quad Next Generation Air Transportation System(NextGen) Information Technology (IT) Services Ground Readiness Project NWS Telecommunications Gateway (TG) Re-architecture NWSTG Operations and Maintenance (O&M) Office of Operational System Network (OPSnet) NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS) NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) NWS Internet Dissemination System (NIDS) 1
DISSEMINATE PORTFOLIO FY 2014 EXECUTION QUARTERLY REVIEW Portfolio Status as of: 31 March 2014 Y G Scheduling Dissemination Portfolio Information and Highlights G Lead: Luis Cano, Disseminate Portfolio Manager (Acting) Note that schedule includes information on NWS Dissemination Portfolio corporate level milestones not covered by project quads Dissemination Services/Scope: Dissemination IT Infrastructure Services Virtualized Application Services Terrestrial and Satellite Networking Services Weather Warning Services Web and Geospatial Services NWS-Level AOP Milestones Date Status Initial geospatial capability to provide GIS Services to NWS partners & users Q3 G Process improvement in place to determine the priorities for what data goes on the SBN Q3 IWT needed Estimated Portfolio Benefits: Centralized and consolidated operational Primary and Backup dissemination IT infrastructure Increased capability and reliability for NWS networks Modernized Weather Warning Services - Finalize and initiate implementation of roadmap of NWS dissemination capabilities to provide watches & warnings to the nation's population Modernized and operationalized Web and Geospatial Services - Stand-up and maintain an enterprise GIS Infrastructure, IT Improvements Complete dissemination specific training related milestones Award of AWC LAN lifecycle replacement contract Q3 G GIS web services for Global Precipitation, Temperature, Climate Outlooks, and Snow Analysis Q4 G Weather Warning Services Roadmap Q4 Y Design PTWC High System with NIST Controls Built in for implementation at IRC Q4 G Y G Risks Finances IF the CFO does not timely provide the new FY 2015 budget codes THEN FY 2015 execution may be at risk Dissemination Portfolio is currently updating its budget management processes for more efficient execution in FY15 and the sooner budget codes provided the better IF NWS does not take the necessary steps to increase its Network reliability and capacity its mission could be at risk IDP taking steps to implement NOAA DUSO action items and increase network capacity and reliability IF NWS does not take the necessary steps to improve IT operations support its mission could be at risk Dissemination and Processing Portfolios taking steps to merge NCO and TOC Portfolio Budget Codes for FY 2015 and beyond NWS Network Reliability and Capacity Note: Assessment at 6.2% of the FY 2014 Omnibus for CFO Allocation ROM NWS IT Central Operations Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required 2
NextGen IT Web Services Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Ryan Solomon Project Manager (Acting) Milestone Date Status Scope: Note: Project scope is being revised to leverage synergies between the Enterprise GIS Project and the NIDS Integration Project Updated scope will focus on refinement of Project requirements and leveraging current solutions to deliver an expanded set of weather products to the FAA Continue to establish NWS Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS)-II Data Delivery (DD) as a Data Consumer and deliver weather products required by AWIPS DD Establish operational dissemination services provided by the NWS Aviation Weather Next Quarter s quad chart will include more refinement Key is delivery of products to FAA will be accelerated to June 2015 from September 2015 NWS NextGen IT Web Services functional requirements baseline 2/21/2014 G *Award NextGen Web Services Development and Implementation Contract to Transition Prototype to IDP operations Update: Use multiple contract actions to realign the project with the IDP GIS and NIDS project to reduce overall technology and schedule risk FY14 Q4 G Expand data inventory to include data products and related metadata required to support FAA CSS-Wx FY16 Q1 G Estimated Benefits Include: New, net- centric, weather information dissemination capability to fulfill NWS s role in the congressionally mandated Next Generation Air Traffic System (NextGen) directive. Improved access and delivery of weather data products to internal and external stakeholders using national and international systems and standards OGC Web Services Common access for users to discover and retrieve NOAA weather data Provide a standards-based, general Web Services capability positioned to support wider NOAA dissemination services needs Operational deployment of NextGen IT Web Services in NCWCP College Park MD & DSRC Boulder CO FY16 Q1 G *Note: Project is currently being re-scoped to leverage synergies between Enterprise GIS Project and NIDS Integration Project. Delivery of products to FAA will be accelerated to June from September 2015 however above milestone to Award one contract will not be how capabilities are delivered. Risks Finances G Y Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 If Boundless/ESRI is not able to fulfill the NextGen IT Web Services requirements then the project could be delayed. Project will test a sample NextGen IT Web Services data sets and create a gap analysis of the NextGen IT Web Services requirements . NextGen IT Web Services Requirements Implementation Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations ORF $10,470.7K $1,536.0K $163.2K Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention 3 Y R G On Target Required
NWS Ground Readiness Project Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Milestone Date Status G Q2 Q3 GRB Assessment and Site Survey Y Lead: Brian Gockel, Project Manager (Acting) Scope: Ensure NWS infrastructure and data dissemination services are prepared for the threefold increase in model, radar, and new environmental satellite data. Provide the network (terrestrial and satellite) and IT infrastructure upgrades required to ensure NWS will have the capabilities to exploit the next generation of satellite and model data. Estimated Benefits: Provide terrestrial network bandwidth and GOES-R receiver antenna upgrades to NWS while improving acquisition, management, and security processes. Execute Satellite Broadcast Network increase from half a transponder to a full transponder to benefit all existing NWS sites with AWIPS, to support increases in data volume. GRB installations commence (based on GRB Assessment and Site Survey) Q4 Y OCONUS Network Hardware Order Complete Q3 G Q3 Q4 *Award NWS Network Upgrade & Optimization Contract Y SBN upgrade: dual illumination test Q4 G SBN (and SBN-supporting) network upgrades in place to support of testing for GOES-R and additional Numerical Weather Prediction products. Q4 G *Note: Award NWS Network Upgrade and Optimization Contract will leverage existing vehicles to deliver capabilities in FY14 and FY15 Y G Issues/Risks Finances Risks: Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Risk 1: If the NOAA-DoD network single point of failure is not addressed then NOAA and DoD operations is at risk if the current connection fails. Mitigation for Risk: Build a backup connection with DISA at DSRC Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations Risk 2: If fractured end-to-end network architecture management processes; available documentation being incomplete-- describes elements of decentralized network infrastructure is used then networking requirements could be missed. Mitigation for Risk: Develop high level IDP network architecture management diagrams and inventories Hurricane Sandy $0 $10,180.3K $353.3K PAC $11,481.4K $0 $428.4K Total $11,481.4K $10,180.3K $781.7K Risk 3: If the installation of GOES-R GRB antennas does not have enough lead time then the operational capabilities of sites with direct readout antennas maybe impacted. Mitigation for Risk: Conduct a GRB assessment & site survey for NHC, AWC, SPC, SWPC, NCWCP, Pacific and Alaska Regions leveraging GRP Engineering Support Risk 4: The competing network-related projects/resources (e.g., NOAA TICAP, troubleshooting network outages, and network O&M) could result it delays to GRP. Mitigation for Risk: Continue to add resources, balance existing resources, and work to upgrade networks to help meet the TICAP compliance mandate and provide the needed network upgrades for NWS by FY15 for GOES-R, WCOSS Phase 2, and re-competed AWIPS contract Management Attention R Potential Management Attention Needed 4 Y G On Target Required
National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) Re-architecture Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Milestone Date Status G Lead: Luis Cano, Project Manager (Acting) Scope: Re-architect the NWSTG activities include: NWSTG Technical Evaluation and Analysis Build infrastructure for NWS dissemination services to include NWSTG functions; Implement and transition the NWSTG functions into new operational dissemination architecture into operations, allowing the revamped NWSTG to begin ingesting additional model and observational data; and Deploy a fully re-designed NWSTG functions and backup into operational steady state in FY 2017. Estimated Benefits: Increased reliability of the dissemination of critical weather warnings and products Mar 14 May-14 NWSTG Re-architecture CONOPS and AoA Y *NWSTG Re-architecture Support Contract Awarded May-14 G IDP Dissemination Infrastructure Primary Facility Phase II Build Out Complete Jun-14 G Award Part 1 of DSRC Equipment Jul-14 G FY14 Q4 FY15 Complete DSCR Construction Y *Note: Milestone has been updated as the contract award for support contractors will shortly be awarded. Prior thought was that this award would cover the Re- architecture however with recent dissemination outages the path forward was updated to ensure delivery of improved capabilities in a phased approach with initial migrations of NIDS to primary dissemination infrastructure . Core switching functionality of NWSTG Re-architecture will go through the Department of Commerce s Milestone Review Board. G Risks G Finances Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations NWSTG capacity not able to support additional satellite, model, and radar data Mitigation: Standing IDP Dissemination Services at NCWCP (College Park, MD) and DSRC (Boulder, Colorado) and begin migration of critical NWSTG applications. NIDS will be migrated under IDP s NIDS Integration Project. NWSTG Lack of Capacity to Support Additional data PAC $14,020.4K $1,687.2K $675.7K Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention 5 Y R G On Target Required
National Weather Service Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG) O&M Project Status Summary as of: 31 March 2014 Y G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Lead: Bob Bunge, Project Manager Milestone Date Status Scope: Revised FIPS 199/FIPS 200 (199 Signed, 200 in final) 03/11/14 G Operations and maintenance of the NWSTG system and related hosted systems, networks and NWS mission support services; Operation of the WMO Region IV Regional Telecommunications Hub (RTH); Operation of the WMO Global Information System Centres (GISC) Washington system. Estimated Benefits: Revised System Security Plan Submitted 3/14 03/18/14 Y Authority to Operate from Authorizing Officials extended to August 30, 2014 3/31/14 Y Radar Level III system upgrade to virtual machines 4/15/14 G Security Assessment/Pen Test 6/14 G Regular operation and data flow in support of the NWS mission NWWS/NLETS Operational Testing 6/01/14 G ATO Decision Brief 8/14 G Finances Issues/Risks G Y Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Risks: Risk 1: POA&M implementation challenge with existing O&M staff Mitigation for Risk: Accept NWSTG number one priority is NWSTG operations. Balance workload and resources based on agency priorities and communicate impacts. Prioritize vulnerabilities and execute POA&Ms through Q4FY15. Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations LWF $8,401.9K $0 $3,146.2K BTG CIP O&M $4,417.9K $528.1K $309.8K Risk 2: No Facility Agreement between NWSTG and NOAA OCIO (Site B) Mitigation for Risk: Coordinate and develop SLA between NWSTG and NOAA OCIO (currently at OCIO) NWSTG Legacy Replacement - PAC $974.4K $754.5K $3.3K Total $13,803.2K $1,282.6K $3,459.3K Risk 3: NWSTG Security Self Assessment identified 71 deficiencies Mitigation for Risk: Self assessment deficiencies will be researched and prioritized as resources allow Execution Status Budget execution underway in earnest. Green flag provided by CFO to execute to Full Year CR funding levels. Risk 4: NWSTG 26% unsupported capabilities at Site B Mitigation for Risk: Staff is working capabilities as time and resources allow 6 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required
Office of Operational System Network (OPSnet) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G *Milestone Date Status Lead: Bernie Werwinski, Project Manager New FIPS 199/200 submitted G 1/15/2014 Frame-relay comms circuits replaced by OPSnet in Juneau and Fairbanks Implement alternate transport bandwidth solution to at least 60% of SR WFOs and RFCs Upgrade bandwidth at 2 WFOs through the NWS Alternate Transport Pilot Project (WR) VSAT back up installed at all Alaska WFOs to ensure redundancy in forecast/warning dissemination. Implement alternate transport bandwidth solution to at least 50% of CR WFOs and RFCs Backup Internet access for OPSNet to address Silver Spring single point of failure Q2 Complete Scope: Providing an enterprise wide network using Request for Comments (RFC) compliant carrier provided Multi-Protocol Label Switching System (MPLS) transport services across a true IP backbone with any to any capability. Utilizing RFC compliant MPLS Virtual Private Network (VPN) services offered by the carrier allowing it to establish multiple, private intranet backbones across the same network. Providing VSAT capabilities to NWS field offices. Q2 Complete Q2 Complete (Q4 Target) Q2 Q3 Y Q4 G Estimated Benefits: Regular network operation in support of the NWS mission 9/30/2014 G *Note: Many of these milestones belong to projects other than OPSnet. They have been included here for information only. Issues/Risks Finances G G Risks: Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Risk 1: Bandwidth as originally designed is insufficient to support WFO needs Mitigation for Risk: Utilize alternate transport methods to provide additional bandwidth at minimal cost Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations LWF $4,649.2K $0 $1,939.7K BTG CIP O&M $1,859.3K $0 $843.6K Risk 2: Single Point of failure for Internet Access at Silver Spring (NWSTG) and Fairmount (BTG) Mitigation for Risk: Utilize N-WAVE to get Internet access diversity at an additional TICAP compliant location Total $6,508.5K $0 $2,783.3K Execution Status Budget execution underway in earnest. Green flag provided by CFO to execute to Full Year CR funding levels. Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention 7 Y R G On Target Required
NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Jim McNitt, Project Manager Scope: NOAA Weather Wire Service (NWWS) has four components: o NWWS-Sat (Satellite) and End User Satellite Terminal (EUST) o NWWS-EUC (End User Client) o NWWS- OI (Open Interface) o NWWS-NLETS (National Law Enforcement Telecommunications System interface) Estimated Benefits Include: Milestone Date Status 9/12/13 3/21/14 5/12/14 7/4/14 Testing Review Board scheduled for 5/15/14. TRB will make a recommendation on deployment NOAA OCIO working with OPS17 to complete the SOW for the Reimbursable Work Authorization (RWA) CFO directed OOS to fund CSC through 12/31/14 OT&E Ph 1 (Sat and EUC) Deploy NWWS-Sat and NWWS-EUC GSA accept RWA for Vertex building modifications for EUST at Backup TG 6/30/14 Cost avoidance by ending the contract with Computer Sciences Corporation and using the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) Satellite Broadcast Network (SBN), NWS Telecommunications Gateway (NWSTG), and NWS Internet Dissemination System (NIDS) to host the components of NWWS Accomplishments: MS-3 decision made on 2/27/14. Slipped end date by 3 months. Operational Test and Evaluation (OT&E) Phase 1 completed on 3/21/14. NLETS Developmental Test and Evaluation (DT&E) completed on 4/25/14. TOC/SB Chief decided that NLETS will have its own DB. AWIPS NCF installed Line 52 to NWSTG to provide the redundant feed to NLETS and OI Concurrent operations for NWWS-Sat and NWWS-EUC 7/7/14 10/3/14 7/25/14 10/30/14 1/14/15 2/3/15 2/4/15 3/31/15 OT&E Phase 2 (NLETS, OI, and EUC) Not started Deploy NWWS -OI and NWWS-NLETS. Upgrade NWWS-EUC Concurrent operations for NWWS-OI and NWWS-NLETS Not started End CSC contract by 3/31/15 Finances Issues/Risks G G Risks & Issues: Issue 1: During initial OI System Integration Test the NWSTG socket feed didn t have all of the NWWS products on it. Resolution for Issue: AWIPS CCB approved the RC for AWIPS configuration change at Kansas City and Silver Spring to accommodate OI design change. Implemented the change at Silver Spring. Expect this issue to be resolved Funding Sources and Obligation Status through Mach 31, 2014 Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations Issues 2: Continue to have schedule slips. Resolution for Issue: Continue management support to: a) Complete preparations to transition NLETS to the production environment in the NWSTG with OPSNet. OPS3 has the action b) Approve the Operational Support Plan (for multi-tied support of NWWS after deployment). OPS3 has the action to review this plan c) Distribute the EUC Software . OPS1 has the action to obtain DOC legal approval for the Terms of Agreement and to post the software prior to deployment d) Distribute the revised NWS Instruction on Dissemination Systems. OPS1 has the action Hurricane Sandy HS8MHFC-PB2 (NWS 18b) $0 $926K $624K C&S NWR PAC $1,084K $0 $320K LWF $1,660K $0 $1,574K Total $2,744K $926.0K $2,518K 8 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required
NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Lead: Craig Hodan, Project Manager Scope: Operates and maintains a broadcast network of 1023 VHF transmitters to provide continuous weather information from the nearest National Weather Service office. Broadcasts official warnings, watches, forecasts and other hazard information 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Refurbishing four hundred (400) stations established in the 1970s, eliminating single points of failure and improving network reliability. Technology refresh / replacement of CRS with the AWIPS hosted Broadcast Message Handler (BMH). Estimated Benefits: NWR is an all hazards radio network providing the public a direct source for comprehensive weather and emergency information. NWR is an all hazards radio network that works with/activates the Federal Communication Commission's Emergency Alert System. Tech refresh eliminates single points of failure and improves network reliability. Q1 Complete 15 of 39 NWR sites completed OOS Q2 Complete 25 of 39 NWR sites completed OOS Q2 Complete Replace NWR Transmitter and Antenna at Kokee, Kauai. PR Q2 Complete NWR expansion. Install new NWR site at Malibu, CA. WR Q3 G 39 of 39 NWR sites completed - OSS Q4 G Procurement of 60 NWR Solid State transmitters - OOS Q4 G Installation of 10 Solid State transmitters- OOS Move NWR transmitter and antenna in Guam from Nimitz Hill to Mount Alutom - PR Q4 G Finances G G Issues/Risks Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Risks: Risk 1: Project costs are escalating due to increased in rents/leases and utilities. Mitigation for Risk: Working with RPMD to obtain cost effective/gratuitous terms for transmitter site leases outreach to benefactors and supporters. Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations Hurricane Sandy $0 $289.2K $32.1K PAC $3,910.2K $905.4K $1,617.3K Risk 2: Audio telecommunications technology used for WFO to transmitter site is obsolete and being discontinued by service providers. Mitigation for Risk: Evaluating alternative IP based telecommunications services including wireless service between WFO and transmitter sites. ORF LWF $10,294.6K $0 $4,084.5K Other ORF PPA $2,066.8K $69.2K $600.8K Total $16,271.6K $1,263.8K $6,334.7K Risk 3: CRS obsolescence causing risk to operations and maintenance. Mitigation for Risk: Developing a CRS replacement using a AWIPS hosted BMH system. Risk 4: Radio Frequency interference problems can and do occasionally impact broadcast operations at certain locations. Mitigation for Risk: Relief and/or resolution of interference problems are investigated and solved /mitigated on a case by case basis 9 Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention Y R G On Target Required
Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Steve Pritchett, Project Manager Milestone Date Status FOC MADIS Ingest servers initialized at NOAA Data centers at College Park 03/30/2014 On Track Scope: 1) NOAA will accelerate completing the full transition from research to operations of the Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) from OAR to NWS. The MADIS will be operated in the NOAA data center at College Park Md. with back up at the backup NOAA data center in Boulder Colorado by the NCO. Hardware has to be acquired for MADIS in the data centers and the transitions from OAR completed FOC MADIS Distribution servers initialized at NOAA data center College Park 06/30/2014 On Track 2) FOC MADIS Processing initialized at NOAA data center at College Park 08/15/2014 On Track MADIS FOC achieved including the operational MADIS archive 12/31/2014 On Track Estimated Benefits: 1) Achieve MADIS Full Operating Capability (FOC) within NWS by the end of FY15Q1. 2) Transition of the ingest and distribution servers from the NWS TOC , and the processing from WCOSS to servers in the NOAA data center. Issues/Risks Finances G G Risks: Funding Sources:. 1) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY13Q4 $1.234M 2) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to GSD FY14Q1 $1.25M 3) Sandy Supplemental BOP OST to NCO FY14Q2 $462K 4) 500K in FY14 Mesonet funds (MESONET PPA) 5) 550K in FY14 OAR Funds Risk 1: Hardware acquisition delays affect FOC schedule Mitigation for Risk: Adjustments to FOC schedule Status: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) Status: Complete Status: Complete (1 OAR grant not yet obligated in progress) Status: On track Status: On Track Status Complete Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention 10 Y R G On Target Required
NWS Internet Dissemination System (NIDS) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 Y Scheduling G Project Information and Highlights Y Lead: Kolly Mars, Project Manager Scope: Provide environmental, weather, hydrological, and tsunami advisories, watches and warnings as well as outlooks, text and data forecasts, weather radar displays, river hydrographs, future and past climate information, forecasts, air quality data, ocean and high seas forecasts, atmospheric model data, and surface and buoy observations. Provide Chat services via the NWSChat service to facilitate more effective communication with partners. Provide Global Telecommunications System (GTS) Internet File Service (GIFS) for World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional Association IV (RA-IV) Member States, and other WMO Regions that are adjacent to RA-IV. The GIFS is the primary service for GTS data within RA-IV. Milestone * Date Status Implementation of NWWS-OI Q2 Y Process to prioritize NIDS web service requirements Q2 Complete Complete 80% of ER web content migration to NIDS CMS Q3 Complete Make NDFD available to partners via OGC-compliant WMS Operational National Marine Weather Web Portal on NIDS Q3 G Q4 G STSD Transition a subset of SR WFO pages to NIDS Q4 G Strategy for an Integrated path forward for NWS web page information to be adapted and displayed on mobile devices. Q4 G Estimated Benefits Include: Dissemination of information in a easily accessible, highly reliable protocols and formats Consolidate weather presentation to the public by fully integrating the Content Management System. *Note: Many of these milestones belong to projects other than NIDS. They have been included here for information only. Y G Finances Issues/Risks Risks: Risk 1: NWWS-OI re-design could delay implementation. Mitigation for Risk: Notify NWWS PM for full project briefing. Funding Sources and Obligation Status through March 31, 2014 Funding Sources FY2014 Funding Carryover Obligations Risk 2: Insufficient resources to maintain appropriate development lead times. Mitigation for Risk: Accept NIDS primary mission is operations. Prioritize activities and resources and communicate impacts. LWF $1,882.0K $0 $1,063.5K Risk 3: NIDS Missouri site not TICAP compliant. Mitigation for Risk: Work with CRH (hosting facility), and directly with TICAP facilities to find appropriate compliance plan. Execution Status No execution issues to report. On track to have all funding obligated by the end of the fiscal year. Risk 4: NIDS address space is not IPV6 compliant. Mitigation for Risk: Work with NOAA NOC and CRH to obtain IPV6 allocations and implement. Potential Management Attention Needed Management Attention 11 Y R G On Target Required
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Disseminate Portfolio FY 2014 Annual Operating Plan Milestones Dashboard Status through March 31, 2014 Milestone (MS) Status Legend No problem(s) exist. Problem(s) exist but they can and are being managed by the Project Manager. Problem(s) exists which require escalation and leadership responsiveness. MILESTONES COMPLETED Total Milestones Total Completed Percent Completed MILESTONE STATUS 31 Total Green 7 Total Yellow - Total Red MILESTONE PERFORMANCE Completed On Target Completed Before Target Completed After Target 38 8 21% 4 2 2 Dissemination Portfolio AOP Milestone Dashboard Details Actual Completion Quarter Q2 Quarter MS Status FMC Official Milestone Description Comments AR Aimee Devaris Deirdre Jones / Craig Hodan Ray Tanabe Deirdre Jones / Craig Hodan Jason Tuell /Deirdre Jones John Murphy/ Luis Cano Aimee Devaris Rusty Billingsley SOD Chief G Frame-relay comms circuits replaced by OPSnet in Juneau and Fairbanks Q1 OOS G Q1 15 of 39 NWR sites completed PR G Q2 Replace NWR Transmitter and Antenna at Kokee, Kauai. OOS G Q2 25 of 39 NWR sites completed ER G Q3 Complete 80% of Eastern Region web Content Migration to NIDS CMS Q2 OST Y GRB Assessment and Site Survey AR WR SR Y G G VSAT back up installed at all Alaska WFOs to ensure redundancy in forecast/warning dissemination. NWR expansion. Install new NWR site at Malibu, CA. Implement alternate transport bandwidth solution to at least 60% of SR WFOs and RFCs Make NDFD available to partners via OGC-compliant Web Map Services and add new data sources to the Map Viewer. OCONUS Network Hardware Order Complete GRB installations based on GRB Evaluation Study and Findings - FY14 to FY15 Process improvement in place to determine the priorities for what data goes on the SBN Initial geospatial capability to provide GIS Services to NWS partners & users Award NextGen Web Services Development and Implementation Contract to Transition Prototype to IDP operations Award NWS Network Upgrade & Optimization Contract John Murphy/ Luis Cano/ Deirdre Jones Q1 Q2 G - G Y Y G - - - - John Murphy / Louis Cano Q3 OST Y - Y - 13 G - NWSTG Re-architecture Contract Award
Disseminate Portfolio FY 2014 Annual Operating Plan Milestones Dashboard (continued) Status through March 31, 2014 Quarter Actual Completion Quarter MS Status FMC Official Milestone Description Comments OST Stephan Smith Deirdre Jones / Craig Hodan Bob Maxon VLab hosting to cloud G - OOS 39 of 39 NWR sites completed G - Q3 NCEP Award of AWC LAN lifecycle replacement contract SBN upgrade: dual illumination test SBN (and SBN-supporting) network upgrades in place to support of testing for GOES-R and additional Numerical Weather Prediction products Weather Warning Services Roadmap GIS web services for Global Precipitation, Temperature, Climate Outlooks, and Snow Analysis GIS web services from the Southern Region HQ system migrated to IDP primary site Strategy for an Integrated path forward for NWS web page information to be adapted and displayed on mobile devices. Procurement of 60 NWR Solid State transmitters Installation of 10 Solid State transmitters Deirdre Jones / Luis Cano Backup Internet access for OPSNet to address Silver Spring single point of failure G G - - G Y - John Murphy / Louis Cano OST G - G - Luis Cano G - G G G - - - Deirdre Jones / Craig Hodan OOS Q4 NCEP Mike Halpert/Ben Kyger CPC GIS operational services migrated to NCEP Central Processing Implement alternate transport bandwidth solution to at least 50% of CR WFOs and RFCs Get a solid JMA Himawari weather satellite data dissemination plan outlined for Pacific Region Offices Design PTWC High System with NIST Controls Built in for implementation at IRC Remove all non-supported systems (Windows XP, Linux 4) from PREN Move NWR transmister and antenna in Guam from Nimitz Hill to Mount Alutom STSD Transition a subset of SR WFO Pages to the National Internet Dissemination System (NIDS). Upgrade bandwidth at 2 WFOs through the NWS Alternate Transport Pilot Project. Upgrade 2 WFO phone systems to VOIP solution. G - CR Bob Brauch G - Bill Ward G Ray Tanabe / Ben Kyger G G G PR Ray Tanabe - SR STSD Chief G - G G Q2 WR Rusty Billingsley - 14
Agenda STI Portfolio Overview Quad DAM HFIP Next Generation Global Prediction System NextGen Science Storm Surge Near Shore Wave Prediction System National Blender WRN Training 15
Science and Technology Integration Portfolio Status as of: 31 December 2013 Y Scheduling Portfolio Information and Highlights Y G Milestone Date Status Acting Lead: Ming Ji DAM: major model upgrades - HRRR and GFS Q4 Delayed to Q4 Scope: 1) Develop and improve NWS operational environmental prediction modeling suite and data assimilation for all time scales. 2) Manage systematic R&D and R2O within NWS and with partners 3) Enhanced products, services and forecast processes (e.g., storm surge) 4) Manage end-to-end R2O process (R&D incl. Social Science-transition-training) HFIP Q1-Q4 On schedule NGGPS: implementation plan and FY14 spend plan Q2-Q4 On schedule NextGen Aviation Wx Science and Applications Q1-Q4 On schedule Estimated Benefits: Storm Surge Improvement Q3/Q4 On schedule 1) 2) 3) 4) Accelerated improvements for NWS decision support services Demonstrate centralized approach for local applications Tools to facilitate improved consistency Capitalize investments in observing, high performance computing, modeling to enhance NWS services Nationally coordinated and managed R2O for effective enhancements of field operations. Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) FY15Q4 On schedule National blender project: key decision point to proceed. Q4 On schedule WRN: Pilot projects and metrics for DSS efficiency Q4 New schedule 5) Training Q1-Q4 On schedule AirQuality Q4 On schedule Arctic: Extending Alaska sea ice service from 5 to 7 days/week Q3 On schedule Enable E.F.: VIIRS imagery on AWIPS-2/NCP demo. FY15 On schedule Y G Finances Issues/Risks Funding Sources: HFIP: $13M R2O: $14.8 Sandy Supplement (Carry Over): CFG (other than HFIP/R2O): LWF: NextGen Aviation: $3.77M Obligation Status Sandy Supplement (Carry Over): Base (LWF, CFG): Execution Status Issues/Risks: 1) HRRR: need to fit in 75 nodes/1 hour window in WCOSS. Risk in further delay. 2) WCOSS stability and I/O bandwidth issues (decreasing) 3) WCOSS developmental capacity limitation. 4) National Blender: available science/technology may not meet expectations Mitigation: 1) 2) 3) Watch: Weekly review by NCEP management on HRRR progress Mitigation: alternate file systems configuration on WCOSS Mitigation: accelerate the EC flow (job scheduling) approach to utilize the production machine capacity for HRRR and GFS testing. Use available products to benchmark performance 4) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
Data Assimilation and Modeling (DA&M) Status as of 30 April 2014 Y Y Scheduling G Lead: Hendrik Tolman, Project Manager Project Information and Highlights NWS Milestone Delivery Status Great Lakes WAVEWATCH III Q1 Completed Real Time Mesoscale Analysis Q2 Completed Contracting Officer: Catherine Perrin North American Ensemble Forecast System Q2 -> Q3 Completed Scope: Develop and maintain the NOAA operational numerical modeling capability. Includes data assimilation, dynamic models, ensembles and post processing for atmosphere, land, ocean, ice, space weather on time/spatial scales ranging from minutes/local to seasonal/global. Rapid Refresh Q2 Completed North American Model Q3 -> Q4 On Schedule High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Q3 -> Q4 At Risk Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast Q3 On Schedule Benefits: The Data Assimilation and Modeling project delivers foundational environmental numerical guidance used by government, public and private industry to improve public safety, quality of life and make business decisions that drive U.S. economic growth. Short Range Ensemble Forecast System Q4 Completed Global Data Assimilation / Forecast System Q4 On Schedule Smoke (HYSPLIT) Q4 On Schedule North American Land Data Assimilation Q4 On Schedule Community Multiscale Air Quality Model (QMAC) Q4 On Schedule Issues/Risks Finances Y Issues: 1) Cumulative effect of less than expected resources at WCOSS stresses many implementations (91% dev. availability in March). FY14 Expenses OC 21 22 23 24 25 26 31 Description Allocated Travel FEDEX Communications and Utilities Printing and Reproduction Contractual Services Supplies Equipment Base Labor TOTAL $103,500 $600 $24,000 $18,000 $11,402,000 $82,000 $136,400 $7,127,858 $18,894,358 Risks: 1) HRRR code to fit in available resources. 2) HRRR late code delivery and additional need for optimization may delay implementation. 3) GDAS / GFS upgrade time line stressed by resource availability at WCOSS, need to providing partners with early-view results. Risk Mitigation Strategy: 1) Increased HRRR run profile from 60 to 75 nodes. 2) Accelerated EMC/NCO interactions for parallel testing. 3) Moved some GDAS / GFS final testing from WCOSS to Zeus.. R Y G Red = Management attention required Yellow = Potential management action required Green = Necessary and on-track 17
Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) HFIP Project Status as of: 1 May, 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Y Milestone Date Status Lead: Fred Toepfer, Project Manager Complete Posted Evaluate /report results of 2013 experiments 03/31/2014 Scope: 1) Upgrade Submitted Improve numerical hurricane forecast system to reduce error in track and intensity by 50% (20% in first 5 years) Make better use of observing systems and define requirements for future systems to enhance research and operations capabilities Expand and improve forecaster tools and applications to enhance model guidance Upgrade HWRF for 2014 hurricane season 06/01/2014 2) Experimental HWRF in WPAC (started 06/01/2013) 12/01/2014 Begun 3) Planning Stage Update consolidated HFIP Products webpage 07/01 2014 Estimated Benefits: 1) Reduce Unnecessary Evacuations a) Increase accuracy and reliability of hurricane track and intensity forecasts b) Extend forecast skill beyond 7 days c) Improve prediction of rapid intensification; reduce false alarms 2) Overall reduction in preventable losses SOO Acquire & Install additional HPC capacity in Boulder 08/01/14 submitted Not Yet Begun Real-time experiment for 2014 hurricane season 10/31/2014 Plan, Develop and Demonstrate HWRF/COAMPS-TC Multi-model ensemble (joint EMC-NRL effort) 06/01/2015 Begun Issues/Risks Finances Y G Risks & Issues: Risk: Joint Navy-HWRF ensemble may be contingent upon identifying available HPCC capacity in Navy Funding Sources: 1) $6,662,062 Sandy Supplemental Carryover (HS) 2) $9,274,827 FY2014 ORF 3) $3,854,578 FY 2014 PAC Obligation Status Sandy Supplemental: All funds transferred and/or obligated ORF: Spend Plan finalized WCOSS: PAC funds transferred to NOAA OCIO Execution Status HS funds: NOAA organizations and labs processing contracts and grants (most awards by April) ORF funds: $62,769 PO support contract, developing MOU extensions for NRL, NSF (TCMT & DTC); preparing budgets for NOAA organizations and labs; finalizing University Grants Federally Funded Opportunities PAC funds : $2,100,000 for O&M support, $1,800,000 for HPC upgrade Boulder Jet HPC upgrade needed (in place and running) by Aug 1 (start of 2014 Experimental Forecast System). Procurement behind schedule. Mitigation Reduce scope of real-time experiment to stay within computing limitations. Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08
Y Next Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS) Research to Operations Initiative (R2O) Project Status as of: 1 May, 2014 Scheduling Project Information and Highlights Lead: Fred Toepfer & Steve Lord Project Managers G G Milestone Date Status Scope: Build NGGPS - Coupled NWP to 30 daysfor for Improved Model Guidance; 1) Expand and accelerate critical weather forecasting research to operations (R2O) 2) Accelerate development and implementation of improved global weather prediction models 3) Improve data assimilation techniques 4) Improve software architecture and system engineering 5) Promote hurricane forecast models that meet societal requirements Initiate Effort: Charter approved 02/13/2014 Complete Planning Teams Organized 03/31/2014 Complete Develop Spend plan for 2014 Appropriation 04/30/2014 Begun Begin Coupled System Development using NEMS 04/01/2014 Begun Funding Decision made Initiate Joint Physics/Land Projects with CPO 08/15/2014 Estimated Benefits: 1) Address growing service demands 2) Increase d accuracy and lead time for high impact weather forecasts 3) More reliable probabilistic forecasts 4) Effectively mitigate economic disruption from hurricanes and other predictable weather phenomena NGGPS Implementation Plan Complete 9/30/2014 Begun Award External Grants 3/30/2015 AO Begun NEMS Physics Interoperability Interface Implemented 9/30/2015 Begun Demonstrate Coupled NWP System 9/30/2015 Not Begun Y G Issues/Risks Finances Risks & Issues: 1. Obligating R2O funds subordinate to obligating Sandy Sup. funds 2. Increased WCOSS Developmental Computing Capacity Needed 3. Coordination with/completion of effort started under Sandy Supplemental Appropriation Mitigation 1. May need to carryover some funds 2. Working with NCO to identify WCOSS funds that can be used to increase Developmental Computing Capacity 3. Close coordination with HIWPP and Gap Mitigation Effort Funding Sources: ORF $7,797,934 Obligation Status $500,000 transferred to OAR/CPO Joint Support for Grants Execution Status Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08
NOAA NextGen Weather Program: Science and Applications Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Lead: Mark B. Miller, Program Manager Aviation Forecast Verification Tool PDR 11/29/13 Comp. 11/20/13 Scope: 1) Develop, deploy, and support capabilities in a multi-agency effort to improve and enhance weather information and services to facilitate more efficient management of the National Airspace System Estimated Benefits: KDP for INSITE V3 development 12/31/13 Comp. 12/17/13 MRMS test software transferred to NCO 1/7/14 Comp. 12/17/13 GLAMP Convective Enhancements Operational 3/31/14 Comp. 4/8/14 1) Adverse weather impacts on air transportation cost nearly $30B annually; FAA estimates 2/3 are preventable, saving nearly $20B in economic impacts 2) Greater access to better weather information developed by NextGen Program critical to realizing these savings 3) NextGen capabilities and improvements extensible across NWS service areas INSITE V3 delivery 6/1/14 On Track GLAMP C&V Enhancements Running Experimentally 6/30/14 Proj. 7/31/14 MRMS IOC at NCEP (NWS AOP Milestone) 9/15/14 On Track Issues/Risks Finances G G Funding Sources: 1) $3,767,000 Aviation Weather PPA (ORF) Non-labor 2) $851,880 Sandy Supplemental for MRMS Implementation Risks and Issues: 1) NWS Forecast Process Evolution (R) 2) FAA Weather Requirements Instability (R) 3) NCO Implementation policies and resources for MRMS (R) Obligation Status 1) FY14 Q1/2: $684,419 Obligated; $694,000 Planned FY14 Q3: $3,053,000 Planned 2) FY13: $794,089 Obligated FY14 Q1: $0 FY14 Q2: $34,359 Obligated; $44,387 planned FY14 Q3: $15,000 Planned Mitigation: 1) Working with Digital Aviation Services to define aviation forecast process and identify how it fits in the broader NWS processes Engaging senior management in NWS and FAA, and working with FAA to participate in requirements development process Coordinating with NCO to ensure all policies are complied with and resources are available on planned schedule 2) 3) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
Storm Surge Project Status as of: 29 April 2014 Scheduling Project Information and Highlights G Milestone Date Status G Lead: Mark Tew, Project Manager Schedule for FY14Q2 p-surge model implementation on WCOSS Aug 30, 2013 Completed Scope: 1)Fully develop probabilistic hurricane storm surge model (P-Surge) 2)Development of the Storm Surge Warning In AWIPS to operationalize the GIS enabled high resolution inundation graphics 3)Develop Probabilistic Extra-Tropical Storm Surge (PETSS) Guidance 4)Operationalize PETSS post processing and dissemination Hire support scientists for AWIPS II storm surge warning implementation and integration of probabilistic storm surge modeling into AWIPS infrastructure Sep 17, 2013 Completed Update error statistics Jun 1, 2014 Updated Operationalize latest version of P-Surge (NAVD-88, AGL, Tide, 6hr) Jun 1, 2014 Updated Estimated Benefits: Implement experimental tropical inundation graphic Jun 1, 2014 On Track 1)Expect reduced number of deaths with hurricanes directly attributed to storm surge by a sizable factor 2)Increase public awareness of storm surge threats and potentially increase lead time for evacuation beyond 48 hours Nest tropical and extra-tropical SLOSH basins Sep 30, 2014 On Track Operationalize ETSS model post-processing improving the reliability of dissemination to WFOs, RFCs and the public Sep 30, 2014 On Track Finalize tropical Continuity of Operations Plan Mar 01, 2015 On Track Implement experimental tropical Storm Surge Watch/Warning Jun 01, 2015 On Track Develop ability to handle tropical storms Jun 01, 2015 On Track Develop PETSS guidance Sep 30, 2015 On Track Implement operational tropical Storm Surge Watch/Warning and inundation graphic June 1, 2016 On Track G G Finances Issues/Risks Issues: 1) Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplemental (Line 7): $245.3K 2) Sandy Supplemental (Line 23): $990.6K New MDL contract vehicle was awarded to obligate $579K for contract support (OST) on April 15, 2014. Mitigation: 1) Status: 1) 2) Delay two milestones & split one into two milestones: Operationalize P-Surge Delay from March 31 to June 1, 2014 Develop ability to handle tropical storms and update error statistics - Split into two milestones All funds received. All funds received. Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed Y On Target G V.2013 05 08
Sandy Supplemental Project #NWS-19: Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) Project Status as of: 28 April 2014 Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Milestone Date Status Lead: Nicole Kurkowski, Project Manager G G Inclusion of time-dependent probabilistic water level input from the P-Surge model, to account for hurricane-driven storm surges during tropical events. Dec 31, 2013 Completed Scope: 1) NCEP/EMC is developing the NWPS in collaboration with a number of WFOs nationwide. The NWPS will provide high-resolution model guidance in the nearshore, produced locally at the WFO level, within the new AWIPS II system. Key products include coastal partitioned wave field guidance and surge and inundation guidance. The NWPS will be implemented nationwide. The NWPS will establish a pilot for central execution of local applications on WCOSS. Funding will provide the necessary contractor support to successfully develop and test the NWPS, as well as the IT hardware needed for optimal performance and efficient on-demand execution of the wave modeling system. Testing of the NWPS will occur at multiple coastal WFOs and Centers. Estimated Benefits: 1) The NWPS will provide local, on-demand, high resolution nearshore wave model guidance to coastal forecasters in order to produce a higher level of graphical and text-based wave detail information to enhance decision support to the marine community. 2) The NWPS will: allow for configurable spatial resolution; address high-impact issues in the nearshore; include locally advanced wave physics; be driven by forecaster-developed wind grids within the GFE; include wave partitioning. Evaluation of the P-Surge implementation. Mar 31, 2014 Completed; See AMS Conf Paper Implement a two-way coupling between the wave model (SWAN/WAVEWATCHIII) and a surge model (ADCIRC) inside of NWPS, in order to account for the dynamic interaction between waves and storm surge at coastal locations. Evaluate the coupled ADCIRC implementation and operational testing of the enhanced NWPS. Dec 31, 2014 On track 2) 3) Several coastal WFOs participate in NWPS testing and provide feedback to developers. Mar 31, 2015 On Track National rollout of the NWPS. TBD On Track Issues/Risks Finances G G Funding Sources: 1) NCEP/NCO $147,180 Sandy Supplemental 2) NCEP/EMC $150,000 Sandy Supplemental 3) NCEP/NCO - $250,000 FY14 funding Issues: 1) 150K for NCEP O&M (maintain functional output and grids) has not been secured. Testing of the NWPS at coastal WFOs and the national rollout are highly dependent upon the AWIPS II schedule. Mitigation: 1) Recurring O&M support expected in FY15 budget. 2) The NWPS team and NCEP/NCO have determined NWPS testing and national rollout may be delayed. 2) Status: 1) $147,180 funding will support an NCO SPA contractor to onboard the NWPS onto the WCOSS supercomputer. The contractor will work toward establishing a pilot of the execution of the NWPS on the WCOSS hardware and assist in overall implementation of the NWPS on WCOSS. $150K was transferred to EMC in FY13Q4 for NWPS development and testing. $250K will be transferred to NCO for WCOSS to augment the system in order to allow for NWPS development and operational requirements. 2) 3) 22 Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08
Sandy Supplemental Project #NWS-13: Blend of Global Models Project Status as of: 1 May 2014 Y Scheduling Project Information and Highlights G Lead: Kathryn Gilbert -Project Manager, Steve Lord - Technical Advisor Scope: 1) Apply emerging and mature research together with existing techniques in post-processing , as appropriate, to develop a optimal gridded guidance from existing numerical guidance information 2) Develop and test an improved verification product set that minimizes bias and can, by consensus, be used to verify the blended output 3) Test and prepare for implementation an initial product set consisting of sensible weather elements comprising the National Digital Forecast Database 4) Fully support and improve an agreed upon proxy for truth for use in calibration and verification. Estimated Benefits: 1) Provides initial optimized guidance for forecasters 2) Provides improved verification product set for future use 3) Improves consistency in the official NWS forecast 4) Promotes a common analysis for downscaling, verification, and calibration Milestone Date Status G Review and finalize project scope with Plenary Team 12/17/2013 Completed Conduct sample sensitivity size tests for statistical calibration. Present recommendations for Reforecast Configuration 4/8/2014 Completed Develop initial set of blended guidance for internal evaluation 6/30/2014 Risk of Delay WPC increases horizontal resolution and adds Day 3 grids 7/8/2014 On Track Sign Cooperative Agreement between ECMWF and NWS and OAR 7/9/2014 On Track Key Decision Point to proceed with full evaluation 9/30/2014 Not Begun Develop common terrain file for all NWS downscaling applications 9/30/2014 Begun Implement upgrades to RTMA/URMA 12/30/2014 On Track Develop training plan for use of blended output and advanced dissemination technology 12/15/2014 Begun Prototype new BP and verification subset for stakeholder review 2/15/2015 Not begun Implement new BP set and verification set into operations 12/15/2015 Not begun Y Issues/Risks Finances G Risks & Issues: 1) Available science/technology may not meet goals of project (R) 2) ECMWF may not allow its products to be used in blender (I) 3) Upcoming GFS and GEFS model upgrades put calibration at risk without sufficient training data (R) 4) Recent outages on WCOSS development platform have slowed down initial statistical post-processing efforts and hampered generation of model parallels (I) 5) The NWSEO representative to this project has shared concerns that we are not sufficiently communicating the intention of this effort Mitigation: 1) Use current products and techniques as performance benchmark 2) NWS and ECMWF are proceeding to complete Cooperative Agreement. Techniques will allow for blended output with or without ECMWF inputs 3) In discussions with EMC to quantify sample needs and gather parallels, white paper drafted Recommended Reforecast Configuration Tom Hamill et al. 4) No more planned outages until August, increased HPC is coming 5) Outreach team has been formed, led by NWSEO representative and Regions Funding Sources: 1) Sandy Supplement (Gap Mitigation- Leveraging European Models) - $2,185,530 2) $340 K to ESRL/PSD 3) $563 to EMC ($280 K to RTMA, $283 K to NAEFS PP) 4) $174 K to NCO 5) $723.5 K to OST/MDL 6) $105K to COMET 7) $280 additional to NCEP/EMC for RTMA/URMA Status: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) Initial $570,000 in funds executed , MDL s service contract was awarded April 2014, contract modification needed to balance with final spend plan. 6) In progress , vetted through Model Blender Training subteam, submitted by S. Lord 7) Redistribution of funds approved , in progress Potential Management Attention Needed Spend Plan finalized Grant action completed Funds obligated, requires contract ceiling adjustment, in progress Direct Cite approved Management Attention Required R G Y On Target V.2013 05 08
Weather Ready Nation Initiatives and Pilot Projects Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Draft end-of-term report to NWS leadership on original 6 WRN Pilot Projects, including key findings, recommendations, and best practices Lead: Kevin Scharfenberg Sep 30, 2014 On Track Scope: 1) 2) Proposal to develop a system of metrics to measure efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services and progress toward enabling Weather-Ready Nation goals for NWS Leadership Moved to Sep. 30, 2014 On Track Develop end-of-term report on WRN Pilot Projects Proposal to develop a system of metrics to measure efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services Mar. 31, 2014 Evaluation of proposed DSS metrics at WRN Pilot Project Offices Sep. 30, 2014 Estimated Benefits: 1) Best practices and lessons learned identified for future WFO evolution 2) Measurements identified for efficacy of NWS Decision Support Services On Track Issues/Risks Finances G G Pilot budget On track. Risks: 1) 2) Pilot Project final report no significant risks identified. Metrics further delays bringing social science contractor on board may cause slip in schedule. Metrics STI: $80K in FY14 and $80K in FY15 for contract support Mitigation: 1) 2) Pilot Projects final report n/a. Metrics Be prepared to reduce scope/deliverables from contract in FY14 and defer project results into FY15. Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
Training Y Project Status as of: 30 April 2014 Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Lead: Milestone Date Status LeRoy Spayd, Chief Training Division, OCWWS WCM/DSS Bootcamp class held at NWSTC Dec 13, 2013 Complete Scope: 1) Provide training and education to all NWS staff to help them meet the duties of their position. This includes maintenance training for technicians, science infusion training for SOOs and forecasters, DSS training for WCMs and forecasters, safety training for staff and those who climb towers, appropriate law and budget officer training, leadership and management training, training for new hires, and training for advanced warning operations. Begin WSR-88D DLOC workshops at WDTB Jan 27, 2014 Complete 2) Hold Fall Protection class in PR Jan 31, 2014 Complete Conduct first of 4 DSS Bootcamps at OPG Mar 20, 2014 Complete Post AWIPS-2 Delta training on Web for ESAs Mar 31, 2014 Complete Estimated Benefits: To meet recommendation in NAPA report "examine NWS training and development strategies and technology to build an improved training and development framework that marries the science, leadership, and decision support skills needed to ensure the success of Weather-Read Nation" 1) Conduct last of 4 DSS Bootcamps at OPG Aug 29, 2014 On Track Conduct last of 2 Management & Supervision class at TC Sept 19, 2014 On Track Issues/Risks Finances G Y Funding Sources: 1) FY13 Carryover Base: $477.3K - includes NWSTC auditorium upgrade 2) FY14 LWF Omnibus: $1,142K 3) NEXRAD: $992K 4) AWIPS: $1,007K 5) ASOS: $116K 6) Dual Pol: $267K 7) NWR: $228K 8) Sustain COOP: $ 100K 9) Sandy Supplemental: $ 921K Obligation Status: 1) FY13 Carryover Base: $186K 2) FY14 LWF Omnibus: $155K 3) NEXRAD: $213K 3) AWIPS: Direct Cite. Funds for 1st-3rd quarter just received 4) ASOS: $13.3K 5) Dual Pol: Direct Cite 6) NWR: $40.3K 7) Sustain COOP: $26.6K 8) Sandy Supplemental: $ 170K Issues: 1) Current staffing not sufficient to meet many draft AOP milestones for FY15 given lead time for training development. MRMS may be deployed without training a draft training plan is ready. OPG IT contract ends on June 16th with no funding vehicle available. Equipment shutdown will delay Sandy Tropical VTEC test 4Q milestone. 2) 3) Mitigation: 1) Need decision to re-staff Training Division or lower expectations for training deliverables for FY 15 Need decision on MRMS training resources NWS management attention to OPG IT support contract. OPG should have its own quad chart. Note: A program change summary was developed to request persistent funding for the OPG for FY 15 and beyond. 2) 3) 4) Execution Status -On Track Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
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National Air Quality Forecasting Capability (NAQFC) Project Status as of: 31 March 2014 G Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Lead: Ivanka Stajner, Project Manager Migrated all operational Air Quality predictions to new operational NCEP supercomputers. Sept 30, 2013 Complete Scope: Ongoing implementation of NOAA/NWS National Air Quality Forecast Capability operationally to provide graphical and numerical guidance, as hourly gridded pollutant concentrations. Maintain operational dispersion predictions of wildfire smoke, windblown dust, volcanic ash and dispersion predictions in support of the emergency management community. Sept. 30, 2014 Started Estimated Benefits: Provide predictive information to help prevent loss of life and adverse health impacts from exposure to poor air quality (Exposure to fine particulate matter and ozone pollution leads to premature deaths: 50,000+ annually in the US, Science, 2005; recently updated to 100,000 deaths; Fann, 2011, Risk Analysis). Sept. 30, 2014 Complete the transition of air quality upgrade to emissions/chemistry. Started Sept. 30, 2014 Maintain operational ozone predictions and developmental particulate matter predictions. * Started * Program milestones not in AOP Issues/Risks Finances G G Funding Sources 1. $755K carryover from FY13 Air Quality Forecasting. 2. $865K from FY14 Air Quality Forecasting. Issues: Frequent and extended developmental machines outages impacted delivery of experimental ozone predictions and developmental PM2.5 predictions. Obligation Status Per AA guidance of Dec 18, 2013, OST coordinated FY14 tasks with NCEP and OAR/ARL based on FY13 carryover funding and appropriated FY14 funding. Transferred $375K to NCEP and $375K to ARL from FY13 carryover funding. $300K of FY14 funding was transferred to NCEP. Mitigation: In preparation for transition of this run into NCO operations, EMC to begin producing these test predictions in Q3 using dev high queue, which is expected to improve on-time delivery. Execution Status Funds were BOPed to ARL and NCEP. Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target Y G R
Improving Arctic Sea Ice Prediction Services Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Lead: NCEP (CPC, OPC, EMC, NCO), AR G Milestone Date Status Establish Navy Arctic Cap model data to NCEP (NCO) Scope: 1) Develop seasonal outlooks for Arctic Sea Ice melting and freezing time Use Pan Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation (PIOMAS) sea ice analysis to initialize sea ice in CFS v2 Provide experimental seasonal outlook for melting/freezing time for 2015 season 2) Enhance short range (1-3 days) Alaska Region sea ice forecast services Incorporation realtime Evaluation Environment Canada and U.S. Navy operational sea ice forecast model guidance into NWS operational data flow and AWIPS-2 Incorporate model guidance to enhance AR operational sea ice forecast products and DSS services Estimated Benefits: Establish data flow for EC RIPS model data to NCEP (NCO) Begin sea ice initialization development using PIOMAS (CPC) Incorporate Navy model guidance into AWIPS-2/NCP (OPC) On Track Incorporate Canadian model guidance into AWIPS-2/NCP (OPC) On Track Extending AR sea ice service from 5 to 7 days/week Q3 On Track Complete the sea ice initialization development (CPC) Q4 Experimental/operational enhanced sea ice forecasts (AR) Q1FY15 1) Seasonal sea ice outlook for melting/freezing time to support marine transportation/recreation planning, and support BOEM for management for Arctic oil/gas exploration activities; Enhanced DSS services to a broad Alaska coastal and marine users Complete hindcasts Q1FY15 2) Issue experimental melting outlook for 2015 season (AR, CPC) Q2FY15 Issue experimental freezing outlook for 2015 season (AR, CPC) Q3FY15 WaveWatch-III domain expanded to cover the entire Arctic Ocean Q4FY15 Coupled operational atmosphere-ocean-wave-sea ice NWP model demonstrated Q4FY15 Issues/Risks Finances Issues: 1) Funding Sources: 1) LWF/STI for CPC: $150K (FY14, Fy15) 2) LWF for NCO/EMC: $50K (FY14) 3) LWF/STI for OPC: $50K (FY14, FY15) 4) LWF/STI for AR: $200K (FY14, FY15) 5) STI for EMC: Base FTE and contract support + NGGPS development funds G G Need R&D HPC resource. NOAA R&D HPC resource is over subscribed Mitigation: Status: Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed Y On Target G V.2013 05 08
Agenda Corporate Portfolio Overview Quad Internal Controls Governance/HQ Reorganization IT Security Budget Restructure 29
Corporate Portfolio Portfolio Status as of: 30 April 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y Y Lead: John Potts, Portfolio Manager Milestone Date Status RFP for consultant services to improve and reshape labor management relationship Complete in Q3 Scope:Corporate and Common Services which enable NWS mission for the Nation. These include Leadership Guidance; Financial, Budget, and Administrative Support; EEO; International; Human Resource Support; IT Security; and Strategic Planning. Major FY 2014 Initiatives: 1) Establishment of Internal Control Environment 2) Portfolio-based Budget Restructure and HQ Re-organization 3) Establishment of Change Management Process 12/31/13 Integration of Restructured Budget in FY 2015 President's Budget 3/31/14 Complete HQ reorganization plan to NOAA Workforce Management Organization To be 3/31/14 complete Q4 New portfolio based budget process 9/30/14 On track Estimated Benefits: 1) A high-performing organization with integrated, efficient, and effective management processes 2) Re-energized Labor Management Partnership 3) Sound resource management practices and reduced risk 4) IT security which protects integrity of scientific enterprise Y Establish new NWS Internal Control Environment 9/30/14 On track Establish Change Management Process 9/30/14 At risk Issues/Risks Finances G Issues: 1) 2) Funding Sources: $70,700,252 (Original Omnibus Budget ) IT Redirect - $6,400,000 Management Reserve - $1,500,000 M&A - $22,403,800 NOAA & Direct Bills - $10,207,268 Common Services - $16,768,164 Proposed Reprogramming Programmatic Holding - $2,411,976 LWF Initiate Staffing Analysis - $500,000 LWF Reserve for Dissemination/Buoy Gaps - $1,009,044 CFG Temp Hold Pending Reprogramming to NESDIS Jason - $3,000,000 LWF Hold for Proposed Reprogramming - $6,500,000 Obligation Status YTD BOP Amount - $29,525,855 Annual Allocation Amount - $40,671,964 (M&A, CS, MR) Actuals - $18,275,358 Obligation Rate vs. BOP Amount = 61.9% Obligation Rate vs. Allocation Amount = 44.93% Vacancies in field and HQ Systemic and cultural challenges with budget restructure implementation Adapting to Change Management Headquarters reorganization aggressive schedule IT Systems security posture potentially compromises mission Mitigation: 1) Processing of vacancy announcements at WFMO 2) Budget Restructure Team and Charter established; coordination with Portfolios and FMCs; training and communications 3) NWS/NWSEO team and charter established to develop alternatives for change management 4) Coordination with NOAA leadership/WFMO and DOC HR; increased team staff 5) Tracking of IT systems and bench marking to ensure best practices ; NWS HQ reorganization will provide centralized IT operations 3) 4) 5) Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
New Internal Controls Environment Implementation Plan Project Status as of: 30 April 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y G Estimated Completion Date Lead: Dawn McClure, Project Manager John Potts, Project Sponsor Milestone Status Target Date Signed Annual Spend Plan Management Contract 12/3/2013 Complete 12/3/2013 Scope: Identify weaknesses under current internal control environment Develop and establish a new internal control environment Document new internal controls Implement new internal control environment Monitor and modify new internal control environment Estimated Benefits: Signed Budget Delegation Memos 11/15/2013 Complete 11/15/2013 FMC Statement of Assurance check list FMC Director Clearance 5/31/14 1/3/2014 NWS Appropriations Reference Manual Re-baselined schedule 7/15/2014 12/26/2013 1) 2) Establish a new stronger internal control environment Increase documentation of processes which will increase knowledge and communication with the FMCs Streamline & formulize the monthly budget execution meeting with the FMCs NWS Budget and Administrative Staff Core Curriculum Incorporating NOAA Version 7/1/14 12/17/2013 3) Directives- Numerous 13 directives in final draft 6/30/2014 3/31/2014 Issues/Risks Finances Y Issues: 1) Labor in Kind Implementing budget restructure may create new internal control risks Mitigation: 1) Established Project team and charter with an established scope that includes communication, training and new code structure objectives Reworking Appropriations Reference Manual in the new budget structure NOS Detailee assisting with CFO2 leadership re-baseline for new structure 2) 3) Issues: 1) Directive Implementation behind schedule. 3 of the original 15 directives are behind. After evaluation 5 new additional directives have been added. Mitigation: 1) Completed Prioritization , identified POCs, confirmed scope 2) Weekly meetings on review and status with POCs Issues: 1) Training on internal control environment Mitigation: 1) Working with NWSTC on centralized training module 2) Budget conference in 2015 Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
Budget and Headquarters Restructuring Project Project Status as of: April 2014 Y Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G Milestone Date Status Lead: Andrea Bleistein, Deputy Project Manager (Currently Acting Project Manager) Marie Lovern, Project Manager (On Leave) Establish FY14 governance structure while in transition to new portfolio-based budget Dec 31, 2013 Complete Scope: 1) To develop the governance framework, associated management processes and HQ organization structure to operate within a new portfolio-based budget by FY 2015 while effectively managing in FY 2014 during transition. Estimated Benefits: 1) Development of governance playbook that supports a new budget structure and a portfolio management approach to prioritizing and managing organization s resources. 2) Development of a HQ organization structure that supports ability to plan, execute and govern under a new portfolio-based budget and also better support mission operations. 3) Addresses significant management and organizational challenges that exist today (27 issues / gaps identified from Local Office Teams and NAPA Report Recommendations). Missed Q2 delivery. Expect to be Completed by Q4 Reorganization Materials and Artifacts to CFO3 (INTERNAL) March 31, 2014 Missed Q2 delivery. Expect to be Completed by Q4 HQ reorganization plan to NOAA Workforce Management Organization March 31, 2014 Y Issues/Risks Finances G Risks (Top 6): 1) RSK24:If NWS Reprogramming Package is not submitted prior to end of May then NWS Reprogramming Package will not be submitted to NOAA CFO and eventually to Congress prior to Congressional Recess (August) resulting in not meeting an October 1 HQ Reorganization Package approval date. 2) RSK26: IF National Water Center is added to the HQ Reorganization Package scope THEN the submission of the HQ Reorganization Package on 7/30/2014 could be delayed 3) RSK4: IF NOAA, DOC, OMB, and Congress take longer to approve the reorganization than anticipated, THEN the current schedule of having an approved reorganization by Oct 1, 2014 may not be realized and Transitional Governance may need to be extended into FY15 4) RSK14: IF Portfolio Leads are not provided with additional support staff (i.e., budget analyst) THEN they and/or their portfolio will not have the capacity to support the transition to the new organization structure 5) RSK23: IF Transition Team needs to focus on Reprogramming Package and the Reorganization Package THEN based on the project s prioritization of activities, the Long- term Governance schedule will be pushed out due to resource limitations 6) RSK28: IF the HQ Office Relocation Analysis and Implementation Plan is not finalized prior to October 1,2014 and the HQ Reorganization package is approved for implementation on October 1, 2014 THEN the HQ Office Relocation implementation will not start on Oct 1, 2014 hence HQ Employees ability to be co-located with their new office will be delayed Funding Sources: Funding from AA Reserve (Total budget for FY13 and FY14): $540,154 for contractual services, travel, supplies and equipment Obligation Status $395,679 was obligated in FY13 for Consulting Services Execution Status Total amount executed in FY14 Q2: $128,351.50 Contract invoiced and paid for $128,051.50 for Consulting Services Facilities expense for auditorium reservation of $300 (1/24/14 & 2/19/14) Total amount executed in FY14 Overall: $259,953.00 Contract invoiced and paid for $256,103.00 for Consulting Services Software license expense of $2,400 Facilities expense for auditorium reservation of $450 Contractor background investigation $1,000 Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
IT Security Y Project Status as of: 30 April 2014 Project Information and Highlights Scheduling Y G Lead: Clem Boyleston, Project Manager 100 90 Scope: 1) 80 NWS has 42 systems that were evaluated for TIC compliance. Of those 42, 32 were deemed complaint. 10 were required to develop POAMs to be compliant by the end of the Fiscal year. NWS has 42 FISMA systems across the US that require annual assessments and re- authorization. The timely completion of POAMs is necessary to ensure that insecurities of IT systems are corrected promptly as agreed to by the Authorizing Officials . 70 60 50 2) 40 3) 30 20 Estimated Benefits: 10 0 1) The NWS CIO provided support, assistance, and oversight to ensures confidentiality, integrity and availability of data and systems in support of mission assurance for the protection of life and property. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Jun July Aug Sep TICAP (Goal 95%) A&A (Goal 100%) POAM Clousre rate (Goal 80%) Issues/Risks Finances Y G (1) Issues/Risk: TICAP completion dependent on funding and communication paths available for each system. Mitigation: Dissemination Portfolio provides the engineering and funding necessary for successful migration. (2) Issues/Risk: Authorizing Officials and System Owners fail to conduct their A&A prior to their expiration date. Mitigation: The NWS CIO has established a tracking system for the Authorizing Officials and Systems Owners and provides routine updates and reminders. (3) Issues/Risk: Delayed POAMs exceed the due dates which delays remediation and increases security vulnerabilities. Mitigation: NWS ACIO provides routine reminders to System Owners and Authorizing Officials prior to the POAM due dates. Authorizing Officials should assume the risk and remove the POAM prior to the delay date. Funding Sources: 1) NWS Common Services IT Program 09-01-04-000 2) NWS LO M&A Program 09-01-04-000 Obligation Status Option Year 1 FISMA support ($529K) Execution Status PR NWWA2000-14-01972 in process A&A Support Services ($1.14M) Y G Management Attention Required R Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
Budget Restructuring Project Project Status as of: 30 April 2014 Y Project Information and Highlights Scheduling G G Milestone Date Status Team Charter Signed Early May Lead: Ken Pavelle,, Project Manager Alicia Taylor, Dawn McClure, Linda Rubio, Core Team Program Codes Complete Early May Project Codes Complete End of June Scope: 1) July - Remediation Activities Develop new program and project codes consistent with the portfolio-based appropriation structure. Identify business systems and processes impacted, develop and implement remediation, including communication and training as necessary. Estimated Benefits: September 2) June - September Training 1) Ensure ability to perform FY15 budget transactions with correct / appropriate accounting codes. Maintain ability to provide meaningful reports and controls on budget execution. Minimize rework. 2) 3) Issues/Risks Finances G Y Risk: Necessary resources from budget and management communities will not be available for remediation efforts Risk: Execution in new budget structure inconsistent with appropriation. Mitigation: Subteam, with NWSEO representation, to be formed. Training. Labor in Kind Ken Pavelle 2/3 time Alicia Taylor 1/4 time Dawn McClure 1/4 time Linda Rubio 3/4 time Risk: HQ transition occurs coincidental with budget transition. Changes to organization codes threaten funding transition activities Mitigation: Frequent communication with Transition Team. Budget Focal Points from representing Portfolios, FMCs Risk: Continuing Resolution on October 1 Mitigation: Scenario planning. Support from NOAA Finance Center (Germantown) Subject Matter Experts Risk: New project code structure leaves gaps, hampers future reporting / transaction efforts Mitigation: Develop crosswalk of old program project codes to new ones, with guidance as necessary. Risk: Missing risks because full risk assessment has not been performed Mitigation: Risk register to be developed NLT 5/16 Y G R Management Attention Required Potential Management Attention Needed On Target
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Governance HQ Reorganization ID Risk Description Mitigation RSK24 If NWS Reprogramming Package is not submitted prior to end of May then NWS Reprogramming Package will not be submitted to NOAA CFO and eventually to Congress prior to Congressional Recess (August) resulting in not meeting an October 1 HQ Reorganization Package approval date IF National Water Center is added to the HQ Reorganization Package scope THEN the submission of the HQ Reorganization Package on 7/30/2014 will be delayed 1) Work with Jackie Bray and obtain reprogramming guidelines 2) Re-prioritize the Transition Project activities and make NWS Reprogramming Package top priority so package can be submitted RSK26 1) Met with AA on 4/17 to discuss risk and next steps 2) Met with Workforce Management on 5/1 to discuss NWC 3) Discuss with AA on 5/7 1) Ensure that Reorg Package approvers (NOAA, DOC, OMB) are given advance notice of submission schedule of package to allow for them to schedule availability for reviews. RSK4 IF NOAA, DOC, OMB, and Congress take longer to approve the reorganization than anticipated, THEN the current schedule of having an approved reorganization by Oct 1, 2014 may not be realized and Transitional Governance may need to be extended into FY15 2) Ensure informal buy-in and support prior to submission. 3)Need to schedule meeting and brief NOAA CFO Office to bring them up to speed 1)Transition Team to brief DAA/AA on elevated risk and consequences on 3/7/2014 RSK14 IF Portfolio Leads are not provided with additional support staff (i.e., budget analyst) THEN they and/or their portfolio will not have the capacity to support the transition to the new organization structure 2)Transition Team to continue to work with Portfolio leads to help identify federal analysts that can provide support for restructure as well as governance processes such as FY15 AOP development and FY16 strategic planning 3)Stand up a Portfolio Management Office consisting of Portfolio Management contractor and federal SMEs 1) Meeting with AA on 5/15 to discuss Long-term Governance, schedule, risks and next steps RSK23 IF Transition Team needs to focus on Reprogramming Package and the Reorganization Package THEN based on the project s prioritization of activities, the Long-term Governance schedule will be pushed out due to resource limitations IF the HQ Office Relocation Analysis and Implementation Plan is not finalized prior to October 1,2014 and the HQ Reorganization package is approved for implementation on October 1, 2014 THEN the HQ Office Relocation implementation will not start on Oct 1, 2014 hence HQ Employees ability to be co-located with their new office will be delayed 2) Continue to work on Long-term Governance when time permits. Focused processes: Corporate Decision Making, Strategic Planning, Annual Planning and Portfolio Management RSK28 1) Submit the HQ Reorganization Package to NOAA Workforce Management 2) Obtain funding for HQ Office Relocation Analysis 3) Develop a Selected HQ Organization Implementation Plan 4) Work closely with Bruce Giza on CAO activities