Oil & Gas Tool Comparison Analysis in Oklahoma DEQ
Explore a detailed comparison analysis of oil and gas production, emissions, and statewide estimates in Oklahoma. Discover insights into total liquids production and top counties' differences from 2011 to 2014.
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Presentation Transcript
Area Oil & Gas Tool: Comparison Analysis Oklahoma DEQ Thursday, January 14, 2016
Topics Compared in this Presentation Production Total Liquids Total Gas Emissions (Exploration + Production) Total VOC Total Nox Statewide Emissions Estimates for 2011, 2014, and 2014 with Subpart W data 2
Comparison Analysis: Production For this topic: Dataset Label Description HPDI 2013 activity data from the November 2014 version of the 2011 NEI Tool 2011 HPDI 2015 activity data from the December 2015 version of the 2014 NEI Tool 2014 Activity data from the Subpart W spreadsheets ONLY 2014W 3
Comparison Analysis: Production Data for 2011 & 2014 was taken from the tool inputs activity tables. Input data is not affected by Subpart W data Data for 2014W was taken from the Subpart W spreadsheets (sent out by Jennifer Snyder in early December 2015) For Liquids: Condensate Tanks Excel file For Gas: NO PRODUCTION DATA, only activity factors (well counts, # of wells venting/flaring, etc.) 4
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Total liquids production includes: Oil Condensate Condensate CBM Units of BBL (1 barrel of oil = 42 gallons) 6
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Dataset Statewide TLP (BBL) # of Counties 2011 64,866,387 67 2014 117,319,665 67 2014W 81,261,178 40 (2014 2011) = 52,453,278 BBL (2014W 2014) = -36,058,487 BBL This makes sense because Subpart W is a subset of the HPDI data, and there are less counties 7
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Difference in TLP from 2011 to 2014 Top Ten Counties (absolute difference): Difference: 2014 2011 (BBL) ???? ???? ???? County % Difference: *100 ALFALFA WOODS GARFIELD GRADY ROGER MILLS 13,202,637 6,599,861 4,966,399 4,077,307 4,066,547 1148% 279% 871% 161% 334% KINGFISHER 3,225,486 311% STEPHENS 3,013,664 71% CANADIAN GRANT PAYNE 2,708,802 2,342,830 2,222,651 146% 301% 343% 8
2011 to 2014 Difference: Total Liquids Production (Million BBL) Top ten Differences 9
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Difference in TLP from 2014 to 2014W Top Ten Counties (absolute difference): Difference: 2014W 2014 (BBL) ????? ???? County Percent Subpart W: *100 137% 50% 3% 8% 6% 49% WOODS 3,342,956 LOGAN KAY CADDO OKLAHOMA -1,384,403 -1,537,109 -1,556,710 -1,796,372 KINGFISHER -2,159,590 21% 17% 37% 36% OSAGE GARVIN STEPHENS CARTER -2,241,754 -3,308,346 -4,558,046 -4,853,325 10
2014 to 2014W Difference: Total Liquids Production (Million BBL) Top ten Differences Positive Differences 11
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Discrepancy: 8 counties have higher Subpart W TLP than 2014 TLP County Difference: 2014W 2014 (BBL) WOODS 3,342,956 ALFALFA 1,299,874 CANADIAN 1,259,948 ELLIS 1,151,996 BEAVER 1,141,731 PAYNE 522,855 ROGER MILLS 89,802 JOHNSTON 43,773 12
Total Liquids Production (TLP) Key points: 1. Discrepancy: Eight counties have higher Subpart-W TLP than 2014 TLP 2. 2011 to 2014 production increase is centered in eastern & northern Anadarko Basin (along the eastern part of the Woodford Shale) 13
Total Gas Production Total gas production includes: Casinghead (Associated Gas) Gas Well gas CBM Units of MCF (thousand cubic feet) No gas production data in Subpart W, ONLY activity factors (well counts, # of wells venting/flaring, etc.) Comparison is between 2011 & 2014 tool inputs only 15
Total Gas Production Statewide Gas Production (MCF) Dataset # of Counties 2011 1,865,669,775 68 2014 2,162,187,694 74 (2014 2011) = 296,517,919 MCF 16
Total Gas Production Difference in gas production from 2011 to 2014 Top Ten Counties (absolute difference): Difference: 2014 2011 (MCF) ???? ???? ???? County % Difference: *100 Canadian Alfalfa Grady Stephens Roger Mills Carter Marshall Latimer Washita Pittsburg 114,824,856 80,081,730 59,110,227 57,417,825 31,305,891 29,636,575 26,742,129 -33,523,619 -40,390,959 -47,829,129 115% 246% 89% 186% 31% 112% 252% -37% -34% -22% 17
2011 to 2014 Difference: Total Gas Production (Million MCF) Top ten Differences 18
Total Gas Production Key Points: 1. Overall increase in gas production from 2011 to 2014 2. 2011 to 2014 gas production increase in northern Cherokee Platform, Southern Oklahoma, and eastern Anadarko basins 3. 2011 to 2014 gas production decrease in Arkoma basin 19
Comparison Analysis: Emissions For this topic: Dataset Description Emissions data from the EIS Staging Tables populated by the November 2014 version of the 2011 NEI Tool Emissions data from the EIS Staging Tables populated by the December 2015 version of the 2014 NEI Tool 2011 2014 Includes effects of adding Subpart W data 21
Comparison Analysis: Emissions 2011 Tool is built with Exploration & Production, while 2014has separate Tools for Exploration & Production FOR THIS ANALYSIS, the Exploration & Production for 2014 have been combined (so a direct comparison can be made between 2011 & 2014) 22
Total VOC Emissions Looked at total VOC by county (includes all SCCs) Units of TPY (tons per year) Compared 2011 (November 2014 version) to 2014 (December 2015 version with E&P combined) Dataset VOC Statewide Total (TPY) # of Counties 2011 231,250 72 Production: 147,984 Exploration: 21,705 TOTAL: 169,689 2014 75 24
Total VOC Emissions Difference in VOC Emissions from 2011 to 2014 Top Ten Counties (absolute difference): Difference: 2014 2011 (TPY) ???? ???? ???? County % Difference: *100 ALFALFA 3701 115% PONTOTOC 3390 69% STEPHENS 3378 37% CUSTER -2900 -54% OSAGE -2925 -50% WASHITA -3429 -58% WOODWARD -3724 -53% TEXAS -4818 -46% BEAVER -4899 -46% MAJOR -6047 -63% 25
2011 to 2014 Difference: Total VOC (TPY) Top ten Differences 26
Total VOC Emissions Key Points: Statewide decrease in VOC emissions Decreases in VOC emissions in Anadarko Basin Increases in VOC emissions in the Southern Oklahoma Basin 27
Total NOx Emissions Looked at total NOx by county (includes all SCCs) Units of TPY (tons per year) Compared 2011 to 2014 Dataset NOx Statewide Total (TPY) # of Counties 2011 66,436 72 Production: 42,166 Exploration: 21,469 TOTAL: 63,635 2014 75 29
Total NOx Emissions Difference in NOx emissions from 2011 to 2014 Top Ten Counties (absolute difference): Difference: 2014 2011 (TPY) ???? ???? ???? County % Difference: *100 ALFALFA GARFIELD WOODS ROGER MILLS GRADY CANADIAN GRANT WOODWARD OSAGE MAJOR PITTSBURG 2572 1506 1398 1205 1039 900 -651 -651 -1023 -1317 -1326 375% 147% 75% 48% 56% 45% 112% -33% -59% -51% -38% 30
2011 to 2014 Difference: Total Nox (TPY) Top ten Differences 31
Total NOx Emissions Key Points: Statewide decrease (slight) in NOx emissions Increase in NOx emissions in the Anadarko Basin Decrease in NOx emissions in the Arkoma & Cherokee Platform basins 32
Comparison Analysis: Subpart W Emissions For this topic: Dataset Description Data from the 2011 NEI 2011 Data from the 2014 version 1 NEI Tool without Subpart W data 2014 Data from the 2014 version 1 NEI Tool with Subpart W data 2014W NOTE: All of the emissions data in this analysis came from Subpart W spreadsheets (sent out by Jennifer Snyder in early December 2015) 33
Subpart W: Total VOC Emissions PneuDev - CBM PneuDev - Gas PneuDev - Oil Heaters - CBM Source Category Heaters - Gas Heaters - Oil CrudeOilTanks 2014W CondTanks - CBM 2014 CondTanks - Gas 2011 AsscGas - Oil 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 VOC Emissions (TPY) Key Points: 2014W, largest emitter: crude oil tanks Greatest absolute change: pneumatic devices gas 34
Subpart W: Total NOx Emissions Heaters - CBM Heaters - Gas Source Category Heaters - Oil CrudeOilTanks CondTanks - CBM 2014W 2014 2011 CondTanks - Gas AsscGas - Oil 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 NOx Emissions (TPY) Key Points: 2014W, largest emitter: heaters gas Greatest absolute change: heaters gas 35
Thank You Questions? 36
