Operational Forecasting for Distributed Generation Workshop
Explore the challenges and solutions in operational forecasting for distributed generation, including historical and current forecasting practices, net load variability, and future energy trends. Learn about weather impacts, generation commitments, ancillary services, and load forecasts to optimize energy operations. Gain insights into wind and solar forecasting, rooftop PV projections, price forecasts, and responsive demand predictions. Join the discussion on ensuring a reliable energy supply in the face of changing demand and generation patterns.
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Presentation Transcript
Unregistered Distributed Generation Workshop - Forecasting Jeff Billo June 15, 2023
Historical Operational Forecasting Day of Week/ Holiday/ Season Weather Do we have enough generation committed? How much ancillary services do we need? What is the load forecast? What are the risks it could be different? Operator Forecaster 2 PUBLIC
Changes More Net Load Variability 3 PUBLIC
Current Operational Forecasting Wind Forecast Day of Week/ Holiday/ Season Weather Do we have enough generation committed? How much ancillary services do we need? What are the net load and ramp forecasts? What are the risks they could be different? Solar Forecast Operator Forecaster 4 PUBLIC
More Changes 5 PUBLIC
Future Operational Forecasting Wind Forecast Day of Week/ Holiday/ Season Weather Do we have enough generation committed? How much ancillary services do we need? What are the net load and ramp forecasts? What are the risks they could be different? Solar Forecast Rooftop PV Forecast Price DGR/ SODG Forecast Responsive Demand Forecast ESR/ DESR Forecast 4CP Forecast Operator Forecaster For illustration purposes only 6 PUBLIC
Forecast Direction Future Current DGR DGR UDG UDG SODG SODG SODG UDG LOAD LOAD Load Load Gen Gen UDG Forecast Load Forecast SODG Forecast Load Forecast 7 PUBLIC
Questions? 8 PUBLIC
