
Potential Factors Influencing Realization Rates & Fuel Savings Trends
Explore the factors affecting low realization rates, sustainability of flagship programs, and future projections for energy-saving initiatives. Analyze the impact of decreased non-electric savings and discuss potential strategies for maintaining fuel neutrality in HES and HES-IE programs amidst changing energy usage patterns.
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Presentation Transcript
July 9, 2025 HES & HES-IE Impacts Annual Planning Meeting Technical Consultants
Rebated Measures by Heating Fuel In 2019 and 2020, approximately 36% of homes were heated by electric, this drops to 9-12% in 2021 and 2022 Type 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2019 2020 Gas 2021 Propane 2022 * Electric Oil *2022 data provided through July
Potential Impact Using 2021 Gas Program Results Combined, HES and HES-IE recognized over 2 million ccfs in 2021 2021 cost of gas savings was $12.41/ccf A 50% realization rate would result in the same savings costing $24.81/ccf 2021 average cost per unit HES: $1,096, HES IE: $1,072 To achieve the same level of savings per unit, it would cost HES $2,034/unit and HES IE $2,173/unit
Discussion Questions What potential factors may be influencing the low realization rates? HES and HES-IE are flagship programs. How can they remain fuel neutral with a significant decrease in savings from natural gas, oil and propane heated homes? In 2023, HES and HES-IE program spending is projected to decrease. Coupled with reduced non-electric savings, what do the programs look like going forward?