Qualitative Model of Climate Change Interdependencies
Climate change risks, adaptation, and mitigation present complex interdependencies across sectors, leading to knock-on risks and response challenges. The "KNOWING" project under Horizon Europe explores optimized pathways for heat waves & health, soil fertility & agriculture, and flooding & infrastructure. This presentation at THE 41st INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE delves into constructing a qualitative model using a system dynamics framework, incorporating insights from literature reviews and expert advisory boards. Various causal loop diagrams (CLDs) highlight the interconnectedness of factors such as energy and housing, inviting feedback and questions for further development.
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Presentation Transcript
WIP Presentation Climate change risks, adaptation and mitigation: Qualitative Model of the interdependencies and responses Martin Zach, AIT Austrian Institute of Technology Ernst Gebetsroither, AIT Marianne B gelmayer-Blaschek, AIT 0:00-0:30 @systemdynamics_ #isdc2023 THE 41st INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE Chicago, USA and Virtually
Problem Statement Climate change risks, adaptation and mitigation Influence each other, through a multitude of cross- sectoral dependencies Mostly result in knock-on risks or response risks in other sectors how to manage these risks? The Horizon Europe project KNOWING Adresses these interdependencies by means of a system dynamics framework Tries to find optimized mitigation and adaptation pathways for three climate impact contexts - (1) Heat waves & health, (2) Soil fertility & agriculture, and (3) Flooding & infrastructure 0:30-2:00 @systemdynamics_ THE 41st INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE THE 40TH INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE #isdc2022 #isdc2023 Chicago, USA and Virtually Virtually everywhere!
Approach or Dynamic Hypothesis 2:00-3:30 @systemdynamics_ THE 41st INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE THE 40TH INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE #isdc2022 #isdc2023 Chicago, USA and Virtually Virtually everywhere!
Progress, Insights, and Questions Constructing qualitative model Based on literature review and domain models Complemented by an external expert advisory board Huge set of CLDs Example: Energy Housing Thoughts, feedback, and questions welcome 3:30-5:00 @systemdynamics_ THE 41st INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE THE 40TH INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS CONFERENCE #isdc2022 #isdc2023 Chicago, USA and Virtually Virtually everywhere!
