September RENA Market Analysis and Validation Summary

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"Explore the market analysis and validation of RENA in September 2022, with insights into daily RENA trends, estimated DAM oversold amounts, CRR balance accounts, and more. Discover key highlights and impacts in this comprehensive analysis."

  • Market Analysis
  • RENA Trends
  • Validation
  • September Insights

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  1. Review of September RENA Market Analysis and Validation CMWG Jan. 9th, 2023

  2. Monthly Sum of RENA Monthly RENA 30 Millions 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 2020_9 2020_12 2021_3 2021_6 2021_9 2021_12 2022_3 2022_6 2022_9 2 PUBLIC

  3. Daily RENA with RT Congestion The total RENA in September was $5.6M, while the total SCED congestion rent was around $57.1M. Daily RENA vs RT Congestion Rent 15 Millions Millions 2.8 13 2.3 11 1.8 9 7 1.3 5 0.8 3 0.3 1 -0.2 -1 9/1/2022 9/6/2022 9/11/2022 9/16/2022 9/21/2022 9/26/2022 Sum of RT Congestion Rent RENA 3 PUBLIC

  4. Daily RENA and estimated DAM oversold The total estimated DAM oversold amount in September was around $6.3M. Estimated DAM oversold vs RENA 3.5 Millions 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 9/1/2022 9/6/2022 9/11/2022 9/16/2022 9/21/2022 9/26/2022 Sum of oversold RENA 4 PUBLIC

  5. OD 9/18/2022 About $2.8M RENA was observed on OD 9/18. Most of the RENA was related to the DAM oversold on the RT constraints. DAM oversold on the RT constraints: There was about $1.3M DAM oversold on the RT constraint MWHI58: NUECES_WHITE_2_1 during OD 9/18. LDFs at a nearby PUN were the major contributor to the observed DAM oversold on this constraint, as the PUN net load changed significantly due to its resource outages. 5 PUBLIC

  6. Summary The total monthly RENA observed in September 2022 was around 5.6M. The high RENA in September was observed on OD 9/18 with $2.8M, which was mostly related to the DAM oversold on the RT constraints. The impact from PTP w/links to options was relatively low in September, with a total of $0.5M. 6 PUBLIC

  7. September CRR Balance Account Daily CRR value vs DAM congestion Rent 10.0 Millions 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 9/1/2022 9/6/2022 9/11/2022 9/16/2022 9/21/2022 9/26/2022 Payment/Charge to CRRAH DACONGRENT Daily Credit/Charge to CRR Balancing Account 1.5 Millions 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 9/1/2022 9/6/2022 9/11/2022 9/16/2022 9/21/2022 9/26/2022 7 PUBLIC

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