Should the One-Seat Exemption Be Kept? Insights from New Zealand Survey Results

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Discover public opinion on the one-seat exemption in New Zealand's electoral system based on a recent survey. Over 71% of respondents want the exemption dropped, with significant variations across voter demographics and regions. Explore the debate on whether parties should be awarded additional list MPs if they win at least one electorate seat without meeting the 5% threshold.

  • New Zealand
  • Electoral System
  • Survey Results
  • One-Seat Exemption
  • Public Opinion

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Presentation Transcript


  1. MMP and the one-seat exemption December 2013

  2. Should the one-seat exemption be kept? >Results in this report are from the UMR Omnibus, a fortnightly telephone survey covering a representative sample of n=750 New Zealanders. Fieldwork was conducted between November 28thand December 2nd, and the margin of error for a 50% figure at the 95% confidence level is 3.6%. >The survey shows nearly three quarters of New Zealanders (71%) wanting the exemption which sees parties that win electorate seats entitled to list seats even if they do not pass the 5% threshold. Only 13% want this exemption retained, while 16% are unsure. >Opposition to the one-seat exemption is across the board. > 75% of National voters want the exemption dropped, which is noteworthy as most recent speculation about deals in electorates relates to potential coalition partners for National. > 68% of Aucklanders want the exemption dropped. Again, recent speculation about possible deals in electorates has focussed on Auckland. 2

  3. Should the one-seat exemption be kept? As you may be aware, parties are entitled to additional list MPs if they win at least one electorate seat, even if they get less than five percent of the party vote. Should that continue to be the case, or should they have to get at least five percent of the party vote to get additional list MPs? } National voters 75 10 15 13 16 Labour voters 76 17 7 All Green voters 65 18 17 71 0% 50% 100% 3

  4. Should the one-seat exemption be kept? As you may be aware, parties are entitled to additional list MPs if they win at least one electorate seat, even if they get less than five percent of the party vote. Should that continue to be the case, or should they have to get at least five percent of the party vote to get additional list MPs? } Women 10 17 73 Men 17 14 69 Under 30 years 22 23 55 30-44 years 12 19 69 45-59 years 13 10 77 60 years or more 7 10 83 Auckland 12 20 68 Wellington 12 14 74 Other North Island 12 14 74 Christchurch 13 16 71 Other South Island 19 10 71 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 4

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