Strategic Analysis of OEF and Counterterrorism Efforts in Afghanistan
Explore the strategic evolution of Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) in Afghanistan, from the initial objectives of eliminating the Taliban regime and Al-Qaeda forces to the current efforts to prevent terrorist safe havens. Analyze the political and military objectives over the years, including the shift towards building governance and supporting Afghan security forces. Examine the challenges and conclusions regarding strategic disconnects and the importance of denying sanctuary to terrorists.
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Presentation Transcript
Denying Sanctuary: A Strategic Analysis of OEF Greg Roberts, PhD CSA OEF Study Group AWC Strategic Landpower Conference December 2015 U.S. Army Center of Military History
The Endstate Afghanistan no longer a safe haven for terrorists President Bush: GWOT Eliminate terrorist safe havens and support President Obama: War against al-Qaeda Prevent AQ s return to Afghanistan and Pakistan U.S. Army Center of Military History
2001-03 Political objective: A moderate, broad- based government Military objectives: Eliminate Taliban regime and leaders Eliminate al-Qaeda forces and leaders U.S. Army Center of Military History
2003-09 Political objective: A moderate, democratic government capable of effectively controlling its territory Military objectives: Defeat Taliban, AQ, and affiliated forces Stabilize the south and east Build Afghan security forces Defend the central government U.S. Army Center of Military History
2009-14 Political objectives: Prevent the Taliban from overthrowing the government Reconciliation and reintegration Selectively build government capacity Military objectives: Reverse the Taliban s momentum Deny access to key population centers Degrade insurgency to point ANSF can handle Build ANSF up for security transition U.S. Army Center of Military History
Post-OEF NATO: Resolute Support Train, advise, and assist ANDSF Operation FREEDOM S SENTINEL Counterterrorism operations against the remnants of al-Qaeda to ensure that Afghanistan is never again used to stage attacks against our homeland U.S. Army Center of Military History
Conclusions Strategic disconnects Internal logic: eliminating sanctuary = building governance Resources Political will Flawed assumptions & endstate feasibility Safe havens & international borders Terrorist safe havens as ungoverned spaces U.S. Army Center of Military History
