The Impact of Austerity

The Impact of Austerity
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Austerity measures have significantly affected Northern Ireland, with reductions in block grants, welfare reform, and public sector pay freeze exacerbating poverty and deprivation. Data shows the macro impacts on the economy and the sensitive nature of poverty measures in assessing circumstances.

  • Austerity
  • Poverty
  • Northern Ireland
  • Welfare Reform
  • Deprivation

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  1. The Impact of Austerity Income, Poverty & Deprivation on the Island of Ireland IHREC & NIHRC Conference Friday 16th of May Paul Mac Flynn NERI (Nevin Economic Research Institute) Belfast Paul.macflynn@nerinstitute.net

  2. Austerity in Northern Ireland How has austerity affected NI? o Block grant 13.2% real terms reduction 2010/11 2015/16. Largest of any UK region o Welfare Reform Yet to be apportioned, financial envelope decided. Estimates of macro impact up to 750m annually. (some already implemented) o Public Sector Pay Freeze Disproportionately affects NI, real terms pay cut

  3. Austerity in Northern Ireland Wider Macro impacts throughout economy Further Reductions beyond 2015. o Benefit cap o Block grant reductions to 2017/18 Effect of Austerity o Still to be felt, data available up to 2011/12

  4. Poverty in Northern Ireland o Data available for Absolute and Relative Poverty Relative Poverty incomes less than 60% of UK median Absolute Poverty incomes less than 60% of inflation adjusted UK median income of previous year

  5. Poverty in Northern Ireland

  6. Poverty in Northern Ireland

  7. Poverty in Northern Ireland

  8. Poverty NI & UK

  9. Poverty NI & ROI

  10. Deprivation Measures of poverty are sensitive to changes in the income distribution. Deprivation gives more realistic assessment of circumstances Better figures in Republic Latest overall figures for NI in 2010

  11. Deprivation Rate ROI

  12. Multiple Deprivation in NI Income Employment Health Deprivation & Disability Education Skills & Training Proximity to Services Living Environment Crime & Disorder

  13. Deprivation in NI Income Employment Health Deprivation & Disability Education Skills & Training Proximity to Services Living Environment Crime & Disorder

  14. Effects of Austerity on Incomes All components of income o Earnings o Benefits o Pension income o Investment income Austerity effects net incomes through o Changes to tax and benefit rates o Earnings directly in public sector, indirectly in private sector

  15. Incomes North and South

  16. Drivers of Poverty and Inequality Reduction in public services Withdrawal or reduction in cash benefits Reduction in earnings Key group affected the working poor o Group have seen wages fall at the same time they have borne the brunt of welfare reform through reduced tax credits

  17. Drivers of Poverty and Inequality Median Hourly pay rates in Northern Ireland, 2006-2013 ( stg)

  18. Low Pay in NI Percentage Earning at or below Minimum Wage or of Median Wage 2007-2013

  19. Low Pay in NI Official measure of low pay suffers same disadvantages as measure of relative poverty No evidence that those earning above 2/3 of median wage are in anyway comfortable Not enough to lift people above 60% of median income or 2/3 of the median wage. Achieving this would be pointless if same individual still deprived of basic needs Like deprivation, Living wage seeks to measure low pay with reference to basic needs 25% in NI earn below Living wage, disproportionately affects women, young people and those working in certain industries

  20. Low Pay in NI Percentage earning below Living Wage by industrial Sub Sector, Northern Ireland2013

  21. Rights Economic and Social rights o Hard to define a right to fair pay o Right to a living wage o Right to minimum guaranteed hours of work o Right to collective bargaining Access to public services and to appropriate benefits are crucial, but austerity s indirect impacts can be just as destructive.

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