The West's Role in Global Insecurity
The presentation discusses key global crises, focusing on disasters in the Middle East and the Ukraine Crisis in Europe. It evaluates the causes of these crises, emphasizing the role of the West, particularly the US. The talk argues that the West, especially the US, bears primary responsibility for these ongoing global security challenges.
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Presentation Transcript
The Wests Role in Causing Global Insecurity Matchpoints Seminar Aarhus University November 12, 2015 John J. Mearsheimer University of Chicago
Key Global Crises 1. The Disasters in the Greater Middle East 2. The Ukraine Crisis in Europe
Causes of These Global Crises Role of the West versus Local Actors Role of the US versus Europe Bottom line: The West, especially the US, is principally responsible for all of these crises.
The Disasters in the Greater Middle East I *Afghanistan * Iraq * Syria * Libya
The Disasters in the Greater Middle East II * Making the terrorism problem worse * Inflicting massive suffering on innocent civilians * Flooding Europe with refugees
The Disasters in the Greater Middle East * Afghanistan * Iraq * Syria * Libya * Making the terrorism problem worse * Inflicting massive suffering on innocent civilians * Flooding Europe with refugees
The Ukraine Crisis Crimea is lost to Ukraine for good Simmering civil war in eastern Ukraine Poisonous relations between Russia and the West that have negative effects inside and outside of Europe
Who Is Responsible? Conventional Wisdom: Putin My View: The West
Causes of the Conflict: My View Deep cause Precipitating causes Russian response
The Deep Cause The aim of the United States and its European allies to peel Ukraine away from the Soviet orbit and incorporate it into the West.
Key Elements in that Strategy ** NATO Expansion * EU Expansion * Fostering an Orange Revolution
NATOS Final Declaration Bucharest Summit, April 3, 2008 NATO welcomes Ukraine s and Georgia s Euro Atlantic aspirations for membership in NATO. We agreed today that these countries will become members of NATO.
Russias Deputy Foreign Ministers Response to Bucharest Declaration "Georgia's and Ukraine's membership in the alliance is a huge strategic mistake which will have most serious consequences for pan- European security."
Putins Response to Bucharest Declaration Georgia and Ukraine becoming part of NATO is a direct threat to Russia.
Russo-Georgian War When? August 2008 Four months after the April 2008 Bucharest Declaration that Georgia and Ukraine would eventually join NATO This was not a coincidence!
Causes of the Conflict: My View Deep cause Precipitating causes Russian response
The Precipitating Causes Ukrainian President Yanukovych rejects an agreement with the EU in November 2013, which leads to demonstrations on the Maidan The February 22, 2014 Coup: Yanukovych is overthrown
Understanding the Russian Response What is it? What motivates it? Was it surprising?
Causes of the Conflict: Conventional Wisdom I Vladimir Putin is the main cause. Putin is crazy or irrational. Putin bears marked resemblance to Hitler. Putin is bent on creating a greater Russia.
Causes of the Conflict: Conventional Wisdom II US is a benign hegemon seeking to promote European stability. Putin s behavior proves that it was wise to expand NATO eastward, to try including Ukraine and Georgia.