Transforming Energy and Climate Economics: ClimTrans2050 Workshop Insights
Explore the challenges and need for rethinking modeling energy and climate economics with the ClimTrans2050 workshop. Discover the project framework, research plan elements, and discussions on a web-based knowledge exchange platform, all aimed at understanding long-term transformation processes. Uncover insights into policy analyses, transition tools, and modeling issues in the energy system, moving away from conventional "black box" approaches to capture the complexities of energy and economic interactions.
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Presentation Transcript
ClimTrans2050 Expert Workshop ClimTrans2050 24 April 2015 WIFO, Arsenal Object 20, 1030 Vienna Gro er Sitzungssaal 10:30-15:00
Objective of the workshop Presentation of the project framework Involvement of experts with respect to experience on modeling long-term transformation processes Necessary elements and content of a research plan for an open source model Exchange platform on modeling expertise presentation of web-based knowledge platform
Agenda 10:30-10:45 Welcome and presentation of the project 10:45-11:50 Presentation of the work packages (10-15" each) 11:50-12:00 Presentation of the web-based knowledge platform 12:00-12:30 Lunch break 12:30-13:30 Table discussions (4 groups) 13:30-14:10 Presentation of result of table discussions 14:10-15:00 Discussion in plenum 15:00 End of workshop
ClimTrans2050 Why should we rethink modelling energy and climate economics? Aspects of a research plan Angela K ppl Stefan Schleicher 24 April 2015
The need for a long run transition ClimTrans2050 Policy analyses often call for a long run transition Tools to capture these processes not sufficient Application of existing economic models to the very long run faces limitations Pindyck (2013, 2015) Rosen (2015) State of EU Environment (2015)
Challenges for modelling and issues of interest ClimTrans2050 Assumptions on prices and economic development Explicit treatment of energy services Interaction between energy services and energy flows with stocks Breakthrough technologies and changes in the capital stock Incremental vs. radical path changes Detailed structure of the energy system
The conventional "black box" approach ClimTrans2050 Presumed causalities between economic activities/prices and energy flows Energy Flows GDP Energy System Energy Prices Typically poor representation of technologies, behaviour Black Box
A more differentiated look at the energy system ClimTrans2050 Modelling the whole energy chain Energy System Energy Services Cascade Structure Starting from welfare relevant energy services Useful Energy Final Energy Consum Primary . Energy Supply
The ClimTrans2050 project ClimTrans2050 Development of an operational framework and research plan for an open source model The project team WIFO: Claudia Kettner, Angela K ppl, Stefan Schleicher, Christian Hofer WegenerCenter: Gabriel Bachner, Thomas Schinko, Karl Steininger UBA: J rgen Schneider, Ilse Schindler, Thomas Krutzler, Thomas Gallauner IIASA: Matthias Jonas, ebrowski Piotr
The structure of ClimTrans2050 ClimTrans2050 Task 4 Interaction with the research community and project management All tasks will involve a close interaction with the research community and policy stakeholders by offering a web-based knowledge platform usable model components feedback workshops Task 1 Evaluating current modeling practices Task 2 Designing a research plan for an open source model Task 3 Identifying knowledge gaps and steps towards an operational model The requirements for a full-scale modeling tool are identified by emphasizing issues of knowledge gaps institutional and behavioral aspects different policy mechanism designs Transgressing current modeling practices by developing a structure for an open source tool that focuses on an operational research plan 2050 transition strategies the global context Surveying the current generation of modeling tools as to their suitability for long-term climate policy design by checking e.g. time horizon conceptual assumptions treatment of technologies
The potential merits of ClimTrans2050 ClimTrans2050 Developing a research plan for modelling activities in view of a 2050 horizon An open source approach should generate synergies within the research community National emission target paths consistently embedded into global context Providing a web-based platform for exchanging and disseminating relevant information with the research community
