Update on ZEV Sales and Vehicle Reclassification Trends
The latest trends in zero emission vehicle sales and vehicle reclassification. Discover insights on PHEV and BEV stock, legacy and new vehicle classes, and challenges in existing classification systems.
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Presentation Transcript
2020 2020 Light & Vehicle Reclassification & Vehicle Reclassification Light- -Duty Duty ZEV Update ZEV Update Presenter: Jesse Gage, Energy Commission Specialist Date: May 5, 2021
2020 in ZEVs Little change in overall ZEV sales versus 2019 Drop in overall light-duty (LDV) sales led to higher ZEV share of total LDV PHEV sales down 40% from their 2018 peak Source: Zero Emission Vehicle and Infrastructure Statistics (ca.gov) 2
PHEV Stock Stagnates BEV stock continues rise PHEV stock growth nearly flat since discontinuation of Volt Some signs of PHEV life in 1Q 2021 Prius Prime 400 Thousands of Light-Duty Vehicles 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Electric PHEV Hydrogen Source: CEC analysis 3
Check out our ZEVStats Portal Source: Zero Emission Vehicle and Infrastructure Statistics (ca.gov) 4
Legacy Vehicle Classes Crossover SUV Cars SUV Van Pickup Small-A (wagon, foldable seats) Compact (body-on- frame, <140) Compact (Inertia weight <4,250) Subcompact (<89 cu. Ft.) Compact (<180) Small-B (unibody, <140) Standard (Inertia weight >4,250) Compact (89- 95) Midsize (BoF, 140-180) Large (>180) Midsize (unibody, >140) Midsize (95- 105) Large (BoF, >180) Heavy (GVWR2) Heavy (GVWR2) Heavy (GVWR2) Large (105+) Sport (power/weight ratio) Source: CEC staff 5
Issues With Legacy Classes Inconsistency with models over time Power-to-weight ratio for sport cars ignores muscle cars such as Mustang or Camaro Body-on-frame SUVs are largely extinct Inertia weight for pickups is obscure, hard-to-research 6
New Vehicle Classes Cars SUV Van Pickup Subcompact (Subaru Outback) Compact (Dodge Grand Caravan) Compact (Toyota Tacoma) Subcompact (Nissan Versa) Compact (Honda Civic) Compact (Toyota RAV4) Large (Honda Odyessy) Standard (Ford F-150) Midsize (Toyota Highlander) Midsize (Tesla Model 3) Heavy (Ford Transit) Heavy (Ford F- 250) Large Large (Chevy Traverse) (Mercedes E- Class) Sport (Ford Mustang) Source: CEC staff 7
