WorkFirst Performance Measures - Third Quarter 2024
This document provides insights into the WorkFirst program's performance measures for the third quarter of 2024, including details on state and federal statutes governing the program, performance measures for families and adults exiting, and reasons for exit among WorkFirst families. It also highlights the number of families exiting due to earnings and the employment status of WorkFirst adults at exit and in the first quarter after exit.
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WorkFirst Performance Measures WorkFirst Performance Measures Third Quarter 2024 Produced on July 31, 2024
State and Federal Statutes Governing WorkFirst Performance Measures State statute calls for WorkFirst performance measures for use in program evaluation (RCW 74.08A.400 & 74.08A.410). Measures suggested in statute include: Program exits Employment, job retention, and earnings Performance measures by contractor/partner must be reported quarterly (RCW 74.08A.410) Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 (H.R. 3746) requires states to report metrics related to employment and earnings after program exit 2
Performance Measures for Families and Adults Exiting WorkFirst 3
WorkFirst Families - Reasons for Exit July 2016 March 2024 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Exit Month Exceeded Earned Income Limit (RC 334) Other Income (RC 324, 331, 507) Requested Closure (RC 557) All Other Closure Reasons Note: Exit is defined as case closure followed by three months with no TANF/SFA receipt. Exits are measured at the household or assistance unit level. Only households with adult recipients participate in WorkFirst. The last month that the household received a TANF/SFA issuance is the exit month. The percentages in each month add up to 100%. The spike in Other Income exits from March 2020 to September 2021 is due to pandemic Unemployment Insurance benefits; the June 2023 spike in All Other Closure Reasons reflects the first month that the 60-month time limit was enforced after the pandemic. Reason codes (RCs) are used to explain why cases close. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 4
WorkFirst Families - Number Exiting Due to Earnings April 2022 March 2024 766 759 731 726 724 706 705 679 677 676 673 671 634 629 610 609 570 567 557 533 526 520 512 447 Mar-2023 Mar-2024 Sep-2022 Feb-2023 Jul-2023 Sep-2023 Feb-2024 Jun-2022 Oct-2022 Jun-2023 Oct-2023 Apr-2022 Jul-2022 Nov-2022 Jan-2023 Apr-2023 Nov-2023 Jan-2024 May-2022 Aug-2022 Dec-2022 May-2023 Aug-2023 Dec-2023 Exit Month Note: Exit is defined as case closure followed by three months with no TANF/SFA receipt. Exits are measured at the household or assistance unit level. Only households with adult recipients participate in WorkFirst. The last month that the household received a TANF/SFA issuance is the exit month. Exiting due to earnings is defined as an exit with a 334 Exceeded Earned Income Limit reason code. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 5
WorkFirst Adults - Employed at Exit Exit Quarter and First Quarter after Exit 6,000 70% 57.6% Q2 2019 # Employed % Employed 55.9% Q3 2016 48.0% Q3 2023 60% 5,000 44.2% Q1 2021 50% 4,000 4,246 3,923 3,817 3,761 40% 3,686 3,659 3,518 3,517 3,377 3,346 3,331 3,323 3,322 3,309 3,000 3,258 3,152 3,129 3,082 3,008 30% 2,859 2,836 2,784 2,622 2,473 2,412 2,410 2,378 2,326 2,000 2,226 20% 1,000 10% 0 0% Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2023 Q2 Q3 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Note: Exit is defined as at least one month with a TANF/SFA issuance followed by at least three months with no TANF/SFA issuance. The exit quarter includes the last month of TANF/SFA receipt. For percent employed, the denominator is the number of adults who exited TANF/SFA during the listed quarter; the numerator is the number of those exiting adults who had any employment recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in either the exit quarter or the quarter after exit. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 6
WorkFirst Adults - Employment & Earnings Second Quarter after Exit 49.7% Q1 2022 45.4% Q3 2016 $10,000 55% 41.6% Q2 2023 50% 37.3% Q3 2020 45% $8,000 40% Median Quarterly Earnings $7,363 $7,159 35% % Employed $6,746 $6,671 $6,569 $6,553 $6,000 30% $5,864 $5,815 $5,551 $5,542 $5,367 $5,258 $5,235 $5,197 $5,195 $5,079 25% $4,875 $4,873 $4,852 $4,757 $4,731 $4,608 $4,545 $4,525 $4,000 $4,399 $4,373 $4,220 20% $4,111 15% $2,000 10% 5% $0 0% Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2023 Q2 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Note: Exit is defined as at least one month with a TANF/SFA issuance followed by at least three months with no TANF/SFA issuance. The exit quarter includes the last month of TANF/SFA receipt. For percent employed, the denominator is the number of adults who exited TANF/SFA during the listed quarter; the numerator is the number of those exiting adults who had any employment recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the second quarter after exit. Median earnings are based on earnings recorded in the UI system in the second quarter after exit. Those with no earnings in the quarter are excluded. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 7
WorkFirst Adults - Employment Retention & Earnings Fourth Quarter after Exit 80.6% Q3 2016 83.0% Q3 2021 81.0% Q4 2022 70.8% Q2 2019 $10,000 90% 80% $8,000 70% $8,198 $8,126 Median Quarterly Earnings $7,710 $7,389 $7,386 $7,340 60% $7,125 % Retained Employment $7,007 $6,933 $6,844 $6,789 $6,000 $6,442 $6,330 $6,161 $6,120 50% $5,901 $5,895 $5,891 $5,765 $5,628 $5,624 $5,569 $5,494 $5,390 $5,314 $5,038 40% $4,000 30% 20% $2,000 10% $0 0% Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Note: Exit is defined as at least one month with a TANF/SFA issuance followed by at least three months with no TANF/SFA issuance. The exit quarter includes the last month of TANF/SFA receipt. For percent retained employment, the denominator is the number of adults who exited TANF/SFA during the listed quarter and had any employment recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the second quarter after exit. The numerator is the number of those exiting adults who had any employment recorded in the UI system in the fourth quarter after exit. Median earnings are based on earnings recorded in the UI system in the fourth quarter after exit. Those with no earnings in the quarter are excluded. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 8
WorkFirst Adults - Exits Lasting at Least One Year July 2016 June 2023 85.5% May 2020 75.5% Jul 2016 76.4% Jun 2023 67.1% Oct 2019 Mar-2022 Mar-2017 Mar-2018 Mar-2019 Nov-2019 Mar-2020 Mar-2021 Sep-2022 Mar-2023 Sep-2016 Sep-2017 Sep-2018 Sep-2019 Sep-2020 Sep-2021 Jul-2016 Nov-2016 Jan-2017 Jul-2017 Nov-2017 Jan-2018 Jul-2018 Nov-2018 Jan-2019 Jul-2019 Jan-2020 Jul-2020 Nov-2020 Jan-2021 Jul-2021 Nov-2021 Jan-2022 Jul-2022 Nov-2022 Jan-2023 May-2017 May-2018 May-2019 May-2020 May-2021 May-2022 May-2023 Exit Month Note: Exit is defined as at least one month with a TANF/SFA issuance followed by at least one month with no TANF/SFA issuance. The exit month is the last month of TANF/SFA receipt. The denominator is the number of adults who exited TANF/SFA in the listed month; the numerator is the number of those exiting adults who did not return to TANF/SFA for at least 12 months following that exit. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 9
Performance Measures for Adults Exiting WorkFirst Service Pathways 10
Employment after Exiting WorkFirst Service Pathway Percent Employed in Second Quarter after Pathway Exit 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2023 Q2 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Employment Security Job Search Vocational or Postsecondary Education Community Jobs LEP Job Search Note: Exiting WorkFirst service pathway is defined as not being enrolled in the WorkFirst service pathway for three months after being enrolled for at least one month. The exit quarter includes the last month of enrollment in the WorkFirst service pathway. The denominator is the number of adults who exited that WorkFirst service pathway during the listed quarter; the numerator is the number of those exiting adults who had any employment recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the second quarter after exit. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 11
Quarterly Earnings after Exiting WorkFirst Service Pathway Median Quarterly Earnings in Second Quarter after Pathway Exit $11,000 $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2023 Q2 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Employment Security Job Search Vocational or Postsecondary Education Community Jobs LEP Job Search Note: Exiting WorkFirst service pathway is defined as not being enrolled in the WorkFirst service pathway for three months after being enrolled for at least one month. The exit quarter includes the last month of enrollment in the WorkFirst service pathway. Median earnings are based on earnings recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the second quarter after exit. Those with no earnings in the quarter are excluded. Adults in LEP Job Search typically work more hours in the quarter than adults in the other three pathways. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 12
Hourly Wages after Exiting WorkFirst Service Pathway Median Hourly Wages in Second Quarter after Pathway Exit $24 $22 $20 $18 $16 $14 $12 $10 Q3 2016 Q4 Q1 2017 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2020 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2021 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2022 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2023 Q2 Exit Quarter (Calendar Year) Employment Security Job Search Vocational or Postsecondary Education Community Jobs LEP Job Search State Minimum Wage Note: Exiting WorkFirst service pathway is defined as not being enrolled in the WorkFirst service pathway for three months after being enrolled for at least one month. The exit quarter includes the last month of enrollment in the WorkFirst service pathway. Median hourly wage is based on earnings and hours worked recorded in the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the second quarter after exit. Those with no earnings or hours worked in the quarter are excluded. State minimum wage reflects the minimum wage in effect two quarters after the quarter listed on the horizontal axis. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 and ESD s UI wage data 13
WorkFirst Adults Enrollment by WorkFirst Partner July 2016 June 2024 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Oct-2018 Apr-2017 Apr-2018 Apr-2019 Apr-2020 Month Apr-2021 Apr-2022 Apr-2023 Apr-2024 Oct-2016 Oct-2017 Oct-2019 Oct-2020 Oct-2021 Oct-2022 Oct-2023 Jul-2016 Jan-2017 Jul-2017 Jan-2018 Jul-2018 Jan-2019 Jul-2019 Jan-2020 Jul-2020 Jan-2021 Jul-2021 Jan-2022 Jul-2022 Jan-2023 Jul-2023 Jan-2024 Employment Security Community & Technical Colleges Commerce LEP/ORIA Note: For Commerce, Community and Technical Colleges, and LEP/ORIA, counts are based on contractor type as listed in eJAS. Because Employment Security contractors do not have a contractor type, they are defined as those in the JS (job search), OT (on-the-job training), and RI (job search preparation) components without a contractor type. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 15
WorkFirst Adults Enrollment by WorkFirst Service Pathway July 2016 June 2024 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Apr-2022 Jan-2017 Apr-2017 Jan-2018 Apr-2018 Jan-2019 Apr-2019 Jan-2020 Apr-2020 Month Jan-2021 Apr-2021 Jan-2022 Jan-2023 Apr-2023 Jan-2024 Apr-2024 Oct-2016 Oct-2017 Oct-2018 Oct-2019 Oct-2020 Oct-2021 Oct-2022 Oct-2023 Jul-2016 Jul-2017 Jul-2018 Jul-2019 Jul-2020 Jul-2021 Jul-2022 Jul-2023 Employment Security Job Search Vocational or Postsecondary Education Community Jobs LEP Job Search Note: These numbers reflect WorkFirst adults enrolled in each WorkFirst service pathway in the listed month. Adults may be enrolled in more than one WorkFirst service pathway in each month; they are counted once per month for each WorkFirst service pathway. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 16
WorkFirst Adults Enrollment in Educational Activities July 2016 June 2024 21.1% Apr 2017 5,000 25% 14.7% Jul 2016 # Enrolled in Educational Activities 4,500 % Enrolled in Educational Activities 4,000 20% 14.6% Jun 2024 3,500 3,000 15% 2,500 4.2% Jul 2021 2,000 10% 1,500 1,000 5% 500 0 0% Apr-2017 Apr-2018 Apr-2019 Apr-2020 Month Apr-2021 Apr-2022 Apr-2023 Apr-2024 Oct-2016 Oct-2017 Oct-2018 Oct-2019 Oct-2020 Oct-2021 Oct-2022 Oct-2023 Jul-2016 Jan-2017 Jul-2017 Jan-2018 Jul-2018 Jan-2019 Jul-2019 Jan-2020 Jul-2020 Jan-2021 Jul-2021 Jan-2022 Jul-2022 Jan-2023 Jul-2023 Jan-2024 Note: Enrollment in educational activities is defined as enrollment in at least one of the following component codes: BE (Basic Education), ES (English as a Second Language), GE (High School Equivalency), HS (High School), DC (Degree Completion), HW (High Wage or High Demand), JT (Skills Enhancement Training), PE (Customized Job Skills Training), VE (Vocational Education), and VU (Vocational Education - Unapproved) component codes. WorkFirst adults may be enrolled in more than one educational activity in each month, but each adult is only counted once per month. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 17
WorkFirst Adults Enrollment by Type of Educational Activity July 2022 June 2024 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Month # Enrolled in Basic Education # Enrolled in High School/GED Completion # Enrolled in English as a Second Language # Enrolled in Vocational Education # Enrolled in Postsecondary Education/Training Note: English as a Second Language includes the ES (English as a Second Language) component code, and Basic Education includes the BE (Basic Education) component code. High School/GED Completion includes the GE (High School Equivalency) and HS (High School) component codes. Vocational Education includes the VE (Vocational Education) and VU (Vocational Education - Unapproved) component codes. Postsecondary Education/Training includes the DC (Degree Completion), HW (High Wage or High Demand), JT (Skills Enhancement Training), and PE (Customized Job Skills Training) component codes. WorkFirst adults may be enrolled in more than one educational activity in each month, but each adult is only counted once per month per category. Source: ESA-EMAPS using the ACES Data Warehouse as of July 2024 18
For any additional questions, please contact: Lisa Nicoli ESA Management Analytics and Performance Statistics (EMAPS) Economic Services Administration (ESA) Department of Social and Health Services (DSHS) lisa.nicoli@dshs.wa.gov 19
