World Climate Research Programme Overview
Explore the mission, objectives, structure, and focus areas of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) that aims to analyze and predict Earth system variability and change for practical applications benefiting society. Learn about the possible restructuring of WMO Technical Commissions, WCRP tools, regional impacts, WCRP structure, and the vision for a data infrastructure. Stay informed about recent developments and upcoming plans within the WCRP community.
Download Presentation
Please find below an Image/Link to download the presentation.
The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author. If you encounter any issues during the download, it is possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.
You are allowed to download the files provided on this website for personal or commercial use, subject to the condition that they are used lawfully. All files are the property of their respective owners.
The content on the website is provided AS IS for your information and personal use only. It may not be sold, licensed, or shared on other websites without obtaining consent from the author.
E N D
Presentation Transcript
WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME Michel Rixen S2S SC meeting 8-9 Dec 2016 NYC, USA
WCRPs mission. ... is to facilitate analysis and prediction of Earth system variability and change for use in an increasing range of practical applications of direct relevance, benefit and value to society. The two overarching objectives of WCRP are: to determine the predictability of climate to determine the effect of human activities on climate
Big picture Restructuring of WMO Technical Commissions Possible morphing of CAS into Research Commission Possible restructuring of Research Dept Possible common research strategy across WCRP, WWRP and GAW around big concrete challenges
Scope and tools Models Observations Reanalyses Week Season Decade Century
Focus Regional Seal Level & Coastal Impacts Clouds, Circulation & Climate Sensitivity Water for Food Baskets Weather & Climate Extremes Near-Term Prediction (Decadal) Melting Ice & Global Consequences Carbon & Climate Week Season Decade Century
WCRP Structure Joint Scientific Committee Joint Planning Staff Modeling Advisory Council Data Advisory Council Working Groups on: Numerical Experimentation (WGNE), Seasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP), Coupled Modeling (WGCM), Regional Climate (WGRC) CORDEX CliC CLIVAR GEWEX SPARC Melting Ice & Global Consequences Regional Seal Level & Coastal Impacts Water for Food Baskets Weather & Climate Extremes Clouds, Circulation & Climate Sensitivity Near-Term Prediction (Decadal) Carbon & Climate
WCRP vision for a data infrastructure: Earth System Grid Federation Observations+ Reanalyses Simulations + +
JSC37 Two new GCs endorsed: Carbon and NTCP/Decadal The Young Earth System Scientists (YESS) network endorsed Regional climate reorganization: An ad hoc working group of the JSC will recommend focus (including urban issues possibly) and partnerships WCRP to support the research community on accessing the Lead Centre results Plans for next 12 months: new strategy, renewed communication plan, newsletter and revamp of the web
WCRP Ahead document Sponsor Review and strategic document currently under development Opportunity to convey achievements and plans for S2S Target date: JSC38 session, 3-5 April 2017
Some relevant events USA elections 8 November 2016 WDAC6, 22-23 March 2017, ESRIN/ESA, Italy JSC38, 3-5 April 2017, Paris, France WGNE Systematic Error Workshop, 19-23 June 2017, Montreal, Canada WCRP Earth System Model Evaluation workshop, 31 July 4 Aug 2017, Aspen, USA Joint WGs meeting, 9-13 Oct 2017, Exeter, UK (CORDEX, S2S, DCPP, DAOS, PDEF, ) International Conference on Reanalysis, 9-13 Nov 2017, Rome, Italy
Links to S2S and (some) notes from last 3 days MAPP TF: great initiative, lots of process studies, causality chain and impact on predictability and skill, needs some EU equivalent How to best connect basic research to operation (e.g. Malaquias comment)? WGSIP: snow initialization, initial shocks and drifts, teleconnections WGNE Systematic errors, Drag, Verification, Aerosols (?) Need for Research-Operations virtuous cycle: open data policy (cf Copernicus), protocols, formats, standards, transition and feedback Database of opportunity (S2S) vs common protocol (SubX) Process-based metrics: JWGFVR, WGCM-WGNE Metrics panel Evolution of S2S into a CMIP ambition (leverage the science community)? Subseasonal Outlook? (cf GSCU, GDA2DO) Data assimilation, ensemble generation, high resolution, coupling?
Last but not least Many thanks to IRI and Columbia University for hosting us during the week! Special thanks to Andy and colleagues!
WORLD CLIMATE RESEARCH PROGRAMME Thank you for your attention!
WMAC5 Joint WCRP/WWRP model development prize Next model development summer school at CPTEC in 2017, parameterisations in the grey-zone area Joint modelling working group meeting at the Met Office in October 2017 to support a WCRP modelling strategy for the following ten years Direct reporting to JSC recommended Solicit input from modelling centres about their expectations from WCRP Model improvement is central to GCs and core projects. Each one should provide a set of model development needs Cross-WCRP (ambitious) initiative to improve model precipitation.
WDAC5 WCRP-wide data policy developed Establishment of a WCRP-GCOS International Data Prize Reanalysis Task Team to foster intercomparison of reanalyses Flux Task Team: development of flux data sets to support the development of Earth System Models obs4MIPs Task Team: publication of (gridded) observational sets on the ESGF following CMIP principals
