Enrolment Projections for Academic Planning and Budgeting
Explore detailed enrolment projections for the next three years provided by SESC for budgeting purposes, based on methodology and assumptions involving input from academic deans and the International Education Centre (IEC). The projections cover a range of schools and institutes, showcasing trends in domestic and international enrolments, as well as year-over-year growth rates for various academic programs.
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Presentation Transcript
Three Year Enrolment Projections SESC June 21, 2017 Academic Operations and Planning
Purpose: SESC to provide Finance / CBC with enrolment growth projections for 2018- 19 budget purposes as well as 2019-20 & 2020-21 pro forma 2
Methodology and Assumptions Total enrolment projections based upon detailed program level input from Deans International enrolments based upon detailed input from IEC (Nadia) Domestic enrolments the difference between Total and International Projections factor in growth / decline of existing programs, introduction of new programs and retention 2018-19 year over year growth rate is in comparison to 2017-18 budget enrolment 3
Enrolment Projection - Total (Domestic & Intl) Projections - Overall (With International) Version 2 (June 12 2017) ACTUALS BUDGET 2017-18 PROJECTIONS Schools ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Total 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 540 1,312 1,044 6,954 7,107 7,018 6,949 2,729 600 1,338 1,654 6,997 7,381 7,623 7,079 2,852 203 600 1,348 2,013 6,729 7,250 8,052 7,075 2,876 332 652 1,353 2,150 6,863 7,673 8,353 6,953 2,833 401 565 1,372 2,076 6,431 7,831 8,777 7,064 2,744 497 628 1,385 2,325 6,558 7,938 8,962 7,046 2,682 423 673 1,377 2,312 6,656 8,097 9,362 7,010 2,707 445 739 1,391 2,362 7,076 8,300 9,922 7,518 2,728 458 753 1,405 2,422 7,397 8,486 10,287 7,871 2,920 471 64 33,717 35,727 36,275 37,231 37,357 37,947 38,639 40,494 42,012 2014 11.1% 2.0% 58.4% 0.6% 3.9% 8.6% 1.9% 4.5% 217.2% 2015 0.0% 0.7% 21.7% (3.8%) (1.8%) 5.6% (0.1%) 0.8% 63.5% 2016 8.7% 0.4% 6.8% 2.0% 5.8% 3.7% (1.7%) (1.5%) 20.8% 2016-17 (13.3%) 1.4% (3.4%) (6.3%) 2.1% 5.1% 1.6% (3.1%) 23.9% 2017-18 11.2% 0.9% 12.0% 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% (0.3%) (2.3%) (14.9%) 2018-19 7.2% (0.6%) (0.6%) 1.5% 2.0% 4.5% (0.5%) 0.9% 5.2% 2019-20 9.8% 1.0% 2.2% 6.3% 2.5% 6.0% 7.2% 0.8% 2.9% 2020-21 1.9% 1.0% 2.5% 4.5% 2.2% 3.7% 4.7% 7.0% 2.8% Year over Year (% Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Overall College - Year over Year 6.0% 1.5% 2.6% 0.3% 1.6% 1.8% 4.8% 3.7% 2014 60 26 610 43 274 605 130 123 139 0 2,010 2015 0 10 359 (268) (131) 429 (4) 24 129 0 548 2016 52 5 137 134 423 301 (122) (43) 69 0 956 2016-17 (87) 19 (74) (432) 158 424 111 (89) 96 0 126 2017-18 63 13 249 127 107 185 (18) (62) (74) 0 590 2018-19 45 (8) (13) 98 159 400 (36) 25 22 0 692 2019-20 66 14 50 420 203 560 508 21 13 0 1,855 2020-21 14 14 60 321 186 365 353 192 13 0 1,518 Year over Year (# Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Overall College - Year over Year 4
Enrolment Projection - Domestic Projections - Domestic Only Version 2 (June 12 2017) ACTUALS BUDGET 2017-18 PROJECTIONS Schools ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Total 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 540 1,303 1,038 6,768 6,964 6,428 6,271 2,362 596 1,329 1,645 6,812 7,211 6,908 6,300 2,456 194 589 1,344 2,010 6,485 7,043 7,105 6,143 2,485 324 648 1,348 2,146 6,548 7,440 7,139 5,911 2,420 393 563 1,365 2,074 6,071 7,571 7,264 5,792 2,231 483 626 1,376 2,323 6,156 7,645 7,285 5,640 2,124 408 671 1,368 2,312 6,236 7,790 7,598 5,529 2,119 425 736 1,381 2,362 6,614 7,963 7,983 5,886 2,083 436 750 1,394 2,422 6,889 8,114 8,154 6,075 2,210 448 58 31,732 33,451 33,528 33,993 33,414 33,583 34,048 35,444 36,456 2014 10.4% 2.0% 58.5% 0.7% 3.5% 7.5% 0.5% 4.0% 234.5% 2015 (1.2%) 1.1% 22.2% (4.8%) (2.3%) 2.9% (2.5%) 1.2% 67.0% 2016 10.0% 0.3% 6.8% 1.0% 5.6% 0.5% (3.8%) (2.6%) 21.3% 2016-17 (13.1%) 1.3% (3.4%) (7.3%) 1.8% 1.8% (2.0%) (7.8%) 22.9% 2017-18 11.2% 0.8% 12.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% (2.6%) (4.8%) (15.6%) 2018-19 7.2% (0.6%) (0.5%) 1.3% 1.9% 4.3% (2.0%) (0.2%) 4.2% 2019-20 9.8% 1.0% 2.2% 6.1% 2.2% 5.1% 6.4% (1.7%) 2.7% 2020-21 1.9% 0.9% 2.5% 4.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 6.1% 2.6% Year over Year (% Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Overall College - Year over Year 5.4% 0.2% 1.4% -1.7% 0.5% 1.4% 4.1% 2.9% 2014 56 26 607 44 247 480 29 94 136 0 1,719 2015 (7) 15 365 (327) (168) 197 (157) 29 130 0 77 2016 59 4 136 63 397 34 (232) (65) 69 0 465 2016-17 (85) 17 (72) (477) 131 125 (119) (189) 90 0 (579) 2017-18 63 11 249 85 74 21 (152) (107) (75) 0 169 2018-19 45 (8) (11) 80 145 313 (110) (5) 17 0 465 2019-20 66 13 50 378 173 385 356 (36) 11 0 1,396 2020-21 14 13 60 275 151 171 190 127 11 0 1,012 Year over Year (# Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overlay / (Underlay) Overall College - Year over Year 5
Enrolment Projection - International Projections - International Only Version 2 (June 12 2017) ACTUALS BUDGET 2017-18 PROJECTIONS Schools ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE Total 2012-13 1,985 2013-14 2,276 2014-15 2,747 2015-16 3,238 2016-17 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 - 4 9 9 11 4 5 4 2 7 2 2 9 2 2 9 3 3 9 6 4 3 10 - 462 337 1,939 1,632 645 11 - 508 372 2,133 1,796 710 - 186 143 590 678 367 185 170 715 779 396 244 207 947 932 391 315 233 1,214 1,042 413 360 260 1,513 1,272 513 402 293 1,677 1,406 558 420 307 1,764 1,481 588 6 9 8 8 14 15 20 22 23 3,943 4,364 4,591 5,050 5,556 2014 0.0% 0.0% 50.0% (0.5%) 18.9% 21.2% 14.9% 7.9% 50.0% 2015 175.0% (55.6%) (66.7%) 31.9% 21.8% 32.4% 19.6% (1.3%) (11.1%) 2016 (63.6%) 25.0% 33.3% 29.1% 12.6% 28.2% 11.8% 5.6% 0.0% 2016-17 (50.0%) 40.0% (50.0%) 14.3% 11.6% 24.6% 22.1% 24.2% 75.0% 2017-18 9.3% 25.0% 0.0% 11.6% 12.6% 10.8% 10.6% 8.7% 9.3% 2018-19 4.6% 4.6% (100.0%) 4.5% 4.8% 5.2% 5.3% 5.4% 30.7% 2019-20 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 2020-21 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 10.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.1% 8.2% Year over Year (% Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE SVPA Overall College - Year over Year 14.7% 20.7% 17.9% 21.8% 10.7% 5.2% 10.0% 10.0% 2014 4 0 3 -1 27 125 101 29 3 291 2015 7 (5) (6) 59 37 232 153 (5) (1) 471 2016 (7) 1 1 71 26 267 110 22 0 491 2016-17 (2) 2 (2) 45 27 299 230 100 6 705 2017-18 0 2 0 42 33 164 134 45 1 421 2018-19 0 0 (2) 18 14 87 74 30 5 227 2019-20 0 1 0 42 30 175 152 57 2 459 2020-21 0 1 0 46 35 194 163 65 2 506 Year over Year (# Change) ALGON COLLEGE HERITAGE INSTITUTE ALGON COLLEGE IN THE OTTAWA VALLEY CENTRE FOR CONTINUING & ONLINE LEARNING FACULTY OF ARTS MEDIA & DESIGN FACULTY OF HLTH, PUBLC SFTY & COMM STUD FACULTY OF TECH & TRADES SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY & TOURISM LANGUAGE INSTITUTE Overall College - Year over Year 6
